Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
Title:Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update Topics:
Table of Contents 📖
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"Let me know what you think, of course, and whether you agree."
Hello Team!
- Ukrainian Defence Minister Oleksii Reznikov stated on March 27th that Ukrainian forces may launch a counter-offensive in April or May, depending on weather conditions and delivery of equipment like tanks and air defence systems
- The troops need to be fully trained on the new equipment first
- Jonathan believes the counter-offensives are unlikely to begin before May as a result
📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast Frontline Update
- Limited attacks reported by both sides along the Kupyansk to Svatove to Kreminna axis
- Russian forces using classic army tactics with armoured vehicles in the Kupyansk-Lyman direction
- Footage of a Russian special forces boat being blown up in the Siverskyi Donets river south of Kreminna, but no geolocation
- Claims of Russian advances towards Torske and Ukrainian advances near Bilohorivka, but no visual confirmation from ISW
- Reduced tempo of attacks reported, with only 60 attacks along the entire frontline, indicating potential culmination
Bakhmut Update
- Repelled attacks reported all around Bakhmut area
- Russians trying to push towards Khromove in the north to cut off supply road
- Wagner fighters intensifying assaults within Bakhmut city itself as Russian forces strengthen positions north and south
- UK MoD reports Russians continuing assaults at a reduced tempo compared to recent weeks
- ISW assesses Wagner likely occupied AZOM industrial complex in northern Bakhmut and made additional gains
- Differences between pro-Russian and pro-Ukrainian maps on extent of Russian control in southern Bakhmut
- Interesting point that Ukraine has around 80,000 troops in reserve near Bakhmut vs 50,000 Russian troops
- More Ukrainian troops are not being sent in as it would lead to unsustainable losses - current approach of defensive attrition is considered optimal
Avdiivka Update
- No confirmed changes in control reported by WarMapper
- Pro-Russian claims of gradual expansion of control around Kamyanka and Krasnohorivka, and occupation of several blocks in Pervomaiske
- Pro-Ukrainian Deep State Map adjusted their mapping considerably on March 29th, showing territory lost by Russians, but unclear if this represents actual losses or just map adjustments
- Tough fighting continues in the area but without significant territorial changes
Marinka and Southern Front Update
- Pro-Russian Rybar claims Russian forces took control of central Marinka east of Druzhby Avenue, but this is not confirmed by other sources
- No particular claims about Vuhledar, Zaporizhzhia or western Donetsk fronts
- Geolocated footage of Ukrainian forces striking Russian positions in Oleshky across the Dnieper River from Kherson
- Continued routine artillery duels and Russian fortification building in Zaporizhzhia, Kherson and Crimea
Wrap up
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