Ukraine War Upd. EXTRA: Self-Propelled Mortars, Breaching Defences, & Conscripts
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"The future are automated systems like the Archer, the Susanna II, the RCH-155, the Panzerhaubitze 2000 Crab or K9 self-propelled howitzers for heavy and medium forces with systems like Caesar for light forces."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides a personal update, mentioning his kids are doing a muddy run for Race for Life to raise money for cancer research. He thanks those who contributed to their fundraising.
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Russian conscripts sent to front lines
- Russian law forbids sending conscripts to fight abroad, but the Russian army has found a loophole
- Hundreds of conscripts who committed crimes are being sent to Ukraine as part of penal battalions, a revival of Stalin-era practice
- In WWII, penal battalions were used as cannon fodder to assault enemy positions
- This is similar to how Wagner used "human waves" in Bakhmut
- Russia is exploiting this loophole to replenish heavy losses in Ukraine as they become desperate for manpower
Mariupol photo op
Jonathan discusses a photo of someone wearing a "Z" shirt standing in front of a destroyed building in Mariupol. He sees two possible interpretations:
- It's someone making a point against the Russians, showing what their ideology leads to
- It's a pro-Russian person whose choice of photo op location shows their moral unacceptability
Breaching Russian defenses
- Dom Nichols and Hamish de Breton-Gordon from the Ukraine Latest podcast discuss the challenges of breaching Russian defensive lines
- The first line of defense includes personnel, mechanized equipment, and minefields; the second line is the large trench lines
- Mines are defining this conflict and slowing down Ukrainian advances
- Breaching minefields requires artillery cover, mine plows, and multiple breach lanes
- The Russians are throwing undertrained troops and tanks to the front while Ukraine has been doing combined arms training
- If Ukraine can maneuver around the defenses, their advance may accelerate
Self-propelled mortars
Thomas Tyner provides a detailed thread on the development of self-propelled mortars:
- Mortar carriers allow for faster deployment and higher rates of fire compared to towed mortars
- The US pioneered mortar carriers in WWII and they have evolved over time to incorporate automatic laying, loading, and adjusting
- Modern systems like the Polish M120 RAK are fully automatic, allowing for sustained high rates of fire
- For light forces, truck-mounted solutions like the Israeli Spear provide rapid deployment
- Towed mortars will become a niche capability as self-propelled systems take over
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and supporting the channel. He will provide a frontline update later and update the members list soon.
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