Ukraine War Update EXTRA - AP's Loss Lists - First 10 of Massive Backlog
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
"I think what we're taking from this is that both sides have been absolutely rinsed of equipment over these 10 days."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:10⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to an ATP Geopolitics Ukraine War Update Extra, promising additional "tidbits and nuggets".
Return to top⤴️
🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Andrew Perpetua Loss Lists: Introduction and Methodology
🎦 00:10-02:33⏩
* This video will analyse the first 10 days of a 19-day batch of Andrew Perpetua's (AP) daily loss lists, clearing a 40-day backlog.
- The period covered goes back to around 1st March (approx. 6 weeks prior to filming), coinciding with Ukrainian cross-border operations ("Kursk retreats" mentioned, likely referring to Ukrainian actions/losses in Kursk/Belgorod Oblasts).
- Jonathan anticipates significant Ukrainian losses during this period.
- He plans to track the use of "track garden sheds" (tanks used as APCs) as a percentage of overall tank losses, linking to his previous discussion on tank obsolescence.
- He notes technical difficulties required restarting the video recording twice.
- He will largely ignore pink entries (surveillance/comms like Starlink) as they are not comparable to major combat assets like IFVs.
- He observes Russians typically lose more trucks and ATVs, bumping up their totals, but notes these are often used as combat assets (e.g., for attacks), blurring the lines with traditional combat vehicles.
Day 1 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Artillery, Radar, 3 Damaged Bradleys)
🎦 02:33-03:58⏩
* Ukrainian losses for Day 1:
- Air Defence/Radar: Couple of unspecified air defence assets, small Go-12 radar system (most damaged vs destroyed).
- Artillery: A few unspecified pieces.
- IFVs: Three damaged Bradley IFVs noted as significant losses, future replacements uncertain. Several unlabelled damaged IFVs.
- APCs: Captured M113 (likely Kursk region), destroyed British FV103 Spartan, Land Rover, M113.
- MRAPs/IMVs: A number of Western-provided Humvees and other vehicles listed (IMVs less protected than MRAPs).
Day 1 Loss Analysis: Russia (Pantsir, TOS-1, 9 Tanks inc. 5 Sheds, High ATV Losses)
🎦 03:59-05:27⏩
* Russian losses for Day 1 (appear higher overall, but much is comms/trucks/ATVs):
- Air Defence: One destroyed Pantsir S1 (significant loss), one damaged Tor M2.
- Radar: Krieger M1 radar (small, personal type).
- Artillery: One TOS-1 Thermobaric launcher destroyed, one BM-21 Grad MLRS damaged.
- Engineering: Recovery vehicle damaged, engineering vehicle destroyed.
- Tanks: Nine total losses, five of which were "track garden sheds" (over 50%), used as APCs.
- IFVs: Eight destroyed.
- APCs: Some losses, mainly destroyed.
- Trucks/Civilian Vehicles: Significant numbers lost.
- ATVs: Very high numbers lost (motorcycles, quads, golf buggies), indicating widespread use in attacks.
Day 2 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Air Defence, Artillery, Leopard, Bradley Losses)
🎦 05:28-06:58⏩
* Ukrainian losses for Day 2 (combat assets marginally worse than Russia's):
- Air Defence: Buk M2 damaged, Tunguska damaged.
- C2: Command and control vehicle damaged.
- Artillery: M109 destroyed, AHS Krab damaged.
- Tanks: Leopard 1A5 damaged.
- IFVs: Captured Bradley and BMP-2 (likely Kursk region), another Bradley destroyed, other BMPs.
- APCs: Stryker damaged, M113s damaged, VAB destroyed.
- MRAPs/IMVs: Fewer losses today.
- Civilian Vehicles: Quite a few lost (about half destroyed).
Day 2 Loss Analysis: Russia (EW, Artillery, Tanks, Massive ATV/Civilian Vehicle Losses)
🎦 06:58-09:14⏩
* Russian losses for Day 2 (massive list dominated by low-value items):
- EW: Some equipment taken out.
- Artillery: Mainly older D-30 howitzers, some Soviet self-propelled pieces.
- Tanks: Six losses, one being a "track garden shed", others T-80s (two destroyed).
- IFVs/AFVs/APCs: 100% abandoned or destroyed, mostly hit by FPV drones after being abandoned (possibly due to mines).
- Trucks: Many damaged, few destroyed.
- ATVs: Massive numbers (quads, motorcycles, golf buggies), almost all destroyed, mostly by FPV drones.
- Civilian Vehicles: Huge numbers, mostly destroyed.
- Personnel: High losses observed from drone footage (estimated 80+, down from 100+ the previous day).
Day 3 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Tanks, Bradley, Western APCs/IMVs - Kursk Link?)
🎦 09:15-11:09⏩
* Ukrainian losses for Day 3 (substantial, appears more equipment lost than Russia today):
- Comms/Surveillance: Awful lot listed, ignored by Jonathan.
- Radar: Two smaller types lost.
- Tanks: Several Soviet-era tanks, high proportion abandoned/destroyed. More tanks listed further down (also Soviet-era).
- IFVs: Another destroyed Bradley.
- APCs: Captured Stryker, common M113 losses, two abandoned Bushmasters (abandoned kit possibly linked to Kursk operations).
- MRAPs/IMVs: Host of Western-provided vehicles (Cossacks etc.).
- Civilian Vehicles: A lot lost.
- Jonathan notes this was "not a great day for the Ukrainians".
Day 3 Loss Analysis: Russia (High Artillery Losses, ~12 Tanks inc. Sheds, ~12 IFVs Lost)
🎦 11:09-12:15⏩
* Russian losses for Day 3:
- Artillery: Quite a lot lost, including Soviet self-propelled (Msta-S), towed (D-20, D-30, M-46), and even very old anti-tank guns (likely MT-12 Rapira misidentified as 'Saturn').
- Tanks: About a dozen lost, including a few "track garden sheds" and mine roller variants. Most destroyed/abandoned.
- IFVs: About a dozen lost, all irretrievably lost (destroyed/abandoned).
- APCs: Some losses.
- ATVs: Fewer than previous days.
- Civilian Vehicles: Quite a lot lost.
Day 4 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Heavy Artillery/MRAP Losses, Mostly Western Kit)
🎦 12:16-13:53⏩
* Ukrainian losses for Day 4 (losing slightly more combat assets than Russia, excluding comms/ATVs):
- Comms: Heavy losses noted but ignored.
- Artillery: Quite a few pieces, mostly damaged (M777s, M109s), also older Soviet D-20s/D-30s being used and lost.
- Tanks: Single T-64.
- IFVs: Bradley damaged, rest BMPs.
- APCs: M113s, VABs (mostly abandoned/destroyed). Only 5 total APC losses.
- MRAPs: High number (approx. 15), about half destroyed/abandoned (mostly Western: MaxxPros, Senators, Bushmasters, Kirpis, Cossacks).
- IMVs: Single truck, single ATV, some civilian vehicles.
- Jonathan notes a lot of Western kit features in these losses.
Day 4 Loss Analysis: Russia (High-Value Radar Loss - 96L6 TSP, T-90M Destroyed)
🎦 13:53-15:55⏩
* Russian losses for Day 4:
- EW: Quite a lot listed.
- Radar: Significant loss of a 96L6 TSP radar, identified as a high-value component of S-300/S-400 systems (cost potentially very high).
- Artillery: BM-21 Grad MLRS destroyed, four other artillery pieces.
- Tanks: Seven losses, including three "track garden sheds" and one destroyed T-90M (latest Russian tank).
- IFVs: About 10 losses (some are tracked APCs like MT-LBs). Many damaged rather than destroyed in latter categories.
- ATVs: A few motorcycles/quads.
- Trucks: Quite a few, mostly damaged.
- Jonathan highlights the radar loss as a significant success for Ukraine.
Day 5 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Higher Combat Asset Losses, Bradleys Destroyed, Marder Damaged)
🎦 15:55-17:53⏩
* Ukrainian losses for Day 5 (Ukrainians lost more combat assets):
- Artillery: M777 damaged, M109 damaged, D-20/D-30 lost (older Soviet).
- Tanks: Three T-64s.
- IFVs: Three Bradleys destroyed or abandoned (bad news), one Marder 1A3 damaged.
- APCs: Almost 10 lost, mix including many M113s, a Puma (likely German IFV, possibly miscategorised or rare loss?), VAB.
- MRAPs/IMVs: Three MRAPs, five IMVs (couple captured/destroyed/abandoned, many damaged). Includes Ukrainian Novator damaged by drone.
- Jonathan reflects that while Ukraine is losing more high-value kit, it might indicate they have more high-value kit available compared to Russia relying on lower-value items. Ukraine's domestic production (MRAPs/APCs) is ramping up.
Day 5 Loss Analysis: Russia (Very High Personnel Losses - 298, Grad MLRS, High ATV/Civilian Losses)
🎦 17:53-18:48⏩
* Russian losses for Day 5:
- Personnel: Extremely high visually confirmed losses at 298, noted as one of the highest seen.
- EW: Some listed.
- Naval: Couple of boats.
- Artillery: BM-21 Grad MLRS destroyed, some D-30s.
- Tanks: Couple of old Soviet tanks.
- IFVs/APCs: BMPs, BTRs, mainly destroyed.
- Trucks: A lot more lost.
- ATVs: Phenomenal numbers (quads, motorcycles), daily occurrence.
- Civilian Vehicles: Significant numbers.
- Overall: Russia losing far more lower-value equipment.
Day 6 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Captured CV-90, M113s, Sisu, Kozak, Humvees - Kursk Link?)
🎦 18:48-20:15⏩
* Ukrainian losses for Day 6:
- Artillery: Couple of M109 howitzers, M101, three Soviet Gvozdika SPGs.
- Tanks: Couple of Soviet tanks.
- IFVs: Three losses, including a captured CV-90 (significant loss of advanced Swedish IFV), couple of destroyed Soviet ones.
- APCs: Almost all destroyed (M113s, Finnish Sisu, VAB).
- MRAPs/IMVs: Captured Kozak, destroyed Senator, quite a few Humvees.
- Jonathan suggests this type of equipment (mobile, less armoured) points towards losses during the Kursk/Belgorod operations and expresses concern about sensitive tech on the captured CV-90.
Day 6 Loss Analysis: Russia (Major Radar Losses - 2x Kasta-2E1 ~$120m, High IFV/AFV Losses)
🎦 20:15-22:17⏩
* Russian losses for Day 6 (long list):
- Radar: Two destroyed Kasta-2E1 radar systems. Jonathan investigates and finds reports suggesting a cost of ~$60 million each, making this a ~$120 million loss.
- Artillery: D-20s, D-30s, quite a few pieces.
- Tanks: About 10-11 losses, four were "track garden sheds". Most destroyed/abandoned.
- IFVs: About 15 lost, all irretrievably lost.
- AFVs/APCs: Eight losses, all but one irretrievably lost.
- ATVs: Good dozen lost (quads, motorcycles).
- Civilian Vehicles: A lot lost.
- Jonathan emphasizes the huge financial hit from the Kasta radar losses.
Day 7 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Abandoned Leopard 2A4, Soviet Tanks, Western APCs/MRAPs)
🎦 22:17-23:08⏩
* Ukrainian losses for Day 7 (much better day for Ukraine, losses contained on one sheet):
- Artillery: A few bits, normal levels.
- Tanks: One abandoned Leopard 2A4 (significant loss), rest Soviet-era tanks.
- IFVs: Only two.
- APCs: Three lost.
- MRAPs: Three lost.
- IMVs: Three lost.
- Most APC/MRAP/IMV losses were Western-provided and irretrievably lost.
Day 7 Loss Analysis: Russia (Better Day for Ukraine - OSA Lost to USV Drone, ~15 Tanks, ~12 IFVs Lost)
🎦 23:08-24:41⏩
* Russian losses for Day 7 (much higher than Ukraine's):
- Air Defence: Two losses, including an OSA abandoned after being hit by a boat-launched FPV drone (likely via USV repeater near Kherson/Crimea coast - damage level uncertain).
- Artillery: Four pieces, including a damaged TOS-1A thermobaric launcher.
- Tanks: High number, about 15 lost, including five "track garden sheds" (again, about a third). ~10 irretrievably lost.
- IFVs: About a dozen lost, 100% irretrievably lost (BMPs, BMDs).
- AFVs/APCs: Bunch lost, most damaged.
- Trucks: A lot lost today.
- ATVs: Fewer than some days, but still present.
- Civilian Vehicles: A lot lost.
- Jonathan concludes it was a "bad day at the office for the Russians".
Day 8 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Higher Combat Asset Losses, AS-90, Captured/Abandoned Strykers, Kursk Withdrawal Cost)
🎦 24:41-26:04⏩
* Ukrainian losses for Day 8 (Ukraine losing more combat assets than Russia):
- Artillery: Damaged UK-provided AS-90 SPG, damaged M119, other older pieces.
- Tanks: Couple of older Soviet tanks.
- IFVs: Single loss.
- AFVs: Couple lost.
- APCs/MRAPs/IMVs: Captured Stryker (significant loss), another Stryker abandoned, VABs, Oshkosh, Senator, MaxxPros, Humvees, Ukrainian Novator.
- Jonathan reiterates these heavy losses of Western kit are likely linked to the high cost of the "withdrawal from Kursk" (i.e., the cross-border operations).
Day 8 Loss Analysis: Russia (EW, Grad MLRS, Older Artillery, Low Tank/IFV Losses)
🎦 26:04-27:19⏩
* Russian losses for Day 8 (not a crazily bad day):
- EW: Lots of Groza-04K man-portable anti-drone systems (judged not high value).
- Artillery: BM-21 Grad MLRS, D-30s, very old M-46 pieces.
- Tanks: Only three lost.
- IFVs: Only four lost.
- MRAPs: Single loss.
- (Most tank/IFV/MRAP losses irretrievable).
- Trucks: A bunch lost.
- ATVs: A bunch lost (mainly motorcycles).
- Civilian Vehicles: A lot lost.
- Overall: Fewer combat assets lost compared to Ukraine today.
Day 9 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (~1:1 Losses, M60 ARV, Captured L119, Bradleys Lost)
🎦 27:20-28:44⏩
* Ukrainian losses for Day 9 (roughly 1:1 overall losses with Russia):
- Engineering: Abandoned M60 ARV (Armoured Recovery Vehicle, likely based on M60 tank chassis).
- Artillery: Captured L119 howitzer (UK origin, but used by many, possibly made under license in Ukraine via BAE Systems), damaged FH-70, couple of ZU-23-2 auto cannons.
- IFVs: Five losses, including two Bradleys irretrievably lost (significant).
- APCs/IMVs: Usual mix (Humvees etc.), not a crazy amount, but losses accumulate over time.
- Trucks: Couple lost.
- ATVs: Few lost.
- Civilian Vehicles: Quite a few lost.
Day 9 Loss Analysis: Russia (Pantsir S1 Destroyed, Strela Damaged, TOS-1A Damaged, High IFV/APC Losses)
🎦 28:44-29:50⏩
* Russian losses for Day 9 (Losing more than Ukraine, including high-value air defence):
- Air Defence: Pantsir S1 destroyed (really high-level loss), Strela (likely Strela-10) damaged.
- EW: 'Kop 2' listed (unknown type), comms stuff.
- Artillery: TOS-1A thermobaric launcher damaged.
- Tanks: Three losses, including two "track garden sheds", irretrievably lost.
- IFVs: About 10 lost, majority irretrievably lost.
- APCs/AFVs: Most irretrievably lost.
- Trucks: High numbers.
- ATVs: Quite a lot lost (motorcycles, quads).
- Civilian Vehicles: Significant numbers.
- Jonathan highlights the Pantsir loss and damaged TOS-1A as notable.
Day 10 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Heavy Losses - Grad Damaged, Soviet Tanks, Bradley Damaged, Abandoned Strikers, Captured Bushmaster)
🎦 29:50-31:18⏩
* Ukrainian losses for Day 10 (heavy losses):
- Engineering: Couple of vehicles lost.
- Artillery: Own BM-21 Grad MLRS damaged, few other pieces damaged.
- Tanks: Six losses, all older Soviet T-family tanks.
- IFVs: Single Bradley damaged.
- AFVs: Three damaged.
- APCs: Almost 10 lost, including two abandoned Strikers, abandoned M113.
- MRAPs/IMVs: Captured Australian Bushmaster (likely Kursk region), Kozaks, MaxxPros, Patria, Novator, Titan, Humvee - mostly Western-provided, damaged or destroyed.
- Civilian Vehicles: Fair number lost.
Day 10 Loss Analysis: Russia (Heavy Losses - Strela-10 Destroyed, Nebo-SV Radar Lost, Grad Destroyed, ~20 IFVs Lost)
🎦 31:18-33:31⏩
* Russian losses for Day 10 (heavy losses, possibly similar overall combat asset value to Ukraine):
- Air Defence: Strela-10 destroyed.
- Radar: Nebo-SV radar lost (Jonathan investigates, identifies as potentially high-value, but cannot confirm cost).
- Artillery: BM-21 Grad MLRS destroyed.
- Tanks: 10 losses, including three "track garden sheds".
- IFVs: Very high number, probably 20 lost, mostly BMPs, couple of BTRs, most destroyed/abandoned.
- APCs/MRAPs: Some losses.
- ATVs: A lot lost (quads, golf buggies, motorcycles).
- Civilian Vehicles: A lot lost.
- Jonathan notes the significant number of IFV losses.
10-Day Loss Summary: Both Sides Rinsed, Russia Losing More Overall
🎦 33:31-34:44⏩
* Overall Conclusions from the 10 Days (Early-Mid March period):
- Air Defence: Russia losing more.
- Artillery: Russia losing more (though Ukraine lost more than expected).
- IMVs/APCs: Ukraine lost more (linked to Western kit attrition, possibly Kursk ops).
- Tanks: Russia lost more (including consistent use of "track garden sheds").
- IFVs: Losses might be roughly similar overall, despite high Russian losses on some days.
- Both sides were "absolutely rinsed" of equipment.
- Russia is losing more equipment overall, especially huge numbers of ATVs and civilian vehicles.
- Reasons for high Russian ATV/Civilian vehicle use/loss could be: easier/cheaper supply, tactical advantages, or necessity due to lack of proper military vehicles.
Wrap up
🎦 34:44-34:55⏩
* Jonathan thanks viewers for their support.
- He confirms this video covers 10 days of AP's backlog analysis.
- He will cover the remaining nine days in a future video to catch up on understanding the loss trends over time.
- He signs off.
🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
The provided YouTube video title did not contain a date code (e.g., YYYYMMDD) or part code (e.g., 'a' or 'b'), so the `` and `` tags could not be populated as per instructions based on the title.
Transcript contained potential mishearings/misspellings:
"Kursk retreats" (00:32): Context suggests this refers to Ukrainian cross-border operations into Kursk/Belgorod regions around March 2024, and subsequent equipment losses during those actions/withdrawals, rather than Russian retreats from Kursk Oblast itself.
"Krieger M1 radar" (04:21): Spelling uncertain, possibly Kredo-M1?
"Grab" MLRS (18:16, 26:47, 32:50): Should be "Grad". Corrected in summary.
"Xenonosa" Air Defence (28:52): Likely a mishearing of "Strela-10" (which is mentioned elsewhere). Corrected based on context.
"Cop 2" EW (29:00): Unclear system name.
"Vandal drone" (17:08): Possibly mishearing of "Lancet drone"?
"Grodzikas" (19:17): Should likely be "Gvozdikas" (2S1 Gvozdika). Corrected in summary.
"Castor-2E1" radar (20:24): Likely "Kasta-2E1". Corrected in summary.
"NEO-BSV" radar (31:34, 31:47): Identified by Jonathan as "Nebo-SV". Corrected in summary.
'Saturn' artillery (11:27): This is likely a misidentification; the context suggests older towed guns like D-20/D-30/M-46. Could possibly be MT-12 Rapira anti-tank gun.
"Puma" APC loss for Ukraine (17:38): This is unusual as Puma is a German IFV, not typically classed as an APC, and few have been supplied. Could be a misidentification or a rare loss confirmation.
Accuracy of AI-provided cost estimates (e.g., Kasta-2E1 at $60m) should be treated with caution but included as Jonathan referenced them.
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
Understand the Goal: Summarise an ATP Geopolitics video transcript about Andrew Perpetua's (AP) loss lists, focusing on insights and analysis for the "ATP Distilled" project using British English and specific XML formatting.
Parse Input: Receive the video title "Ukraine War Update EXTRA - AP's Loss Lists - First 10 of Massive Backlog" and the transcript with timestamps.
TASK 1: Title, Date, Part:
Extract Title: "Ukraine War Update EXTRA - AP's Loss Lists - First 10 of Massive Backlog". Remove any date/part code (none present).
Extract Date: The provided title doesn't contain a date in YYYYMMDD format. Note this limitation. Leave tag empty or indicate missing. I will leave it empty and note in queries.
Extract Part: No part letter present in the title. Leave tag empty.
Format: Use ``, ``, `` tags.
- TASK 2: Topic Titles:
- Scan transcript for logical breaks and distinct subjects.
- Topic 1: Standard intro -> "Hello Team".
- Topic 2: Context setting - AP's lists, backlog, timeframe (March 1st), methodology -> "Andrew Perpetua Loss Lists: Introduction and Methodology".
- Topic 3: Day 1 Ukraine losses -> "Day 1 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Artillery, Radar, 3 Damaged Bradleys)".
- Topic 4: Day 1 Russia losses -> "Day 1 Loss Analysis: Russia (Pantsir, TOS-1, 9 Tanks inc. 5 Sheds, High ATV Losses)".
- Topic 5: Day 2 Ukraine losses -> "Day 2 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Air Defence, Artillery, Leopard, Bradley Losses)".
- Topic 6: Day 2 Russia losses -> "Day 2 Loss Analysis: Russia (EW, Artillery, Tanks, Massive ATV/Civilian Vehicle Losses)".
- Topic 7: Day 3 Ukraine losses -> "Day 3 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Tanks, Bradley, Western APCs/IMVs - Kursk Link?)".
- Topic 8: Day 3 Russia losses -> "Day 3 Loss Analysis: Russia (High Artillery Losses, ~12 Tanks inc. Sheds, ~12 IFVs Lost)".
- Topic 9: Day 4 Ukraine losses -> "Day 4 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Heavy Artillery/MRAP Losses, Mostly Western Kit)".
- Topic 10: Day 4 Loss Analysis: Russia (High-Value Radar Loss - 96L6 TSP, T-90M Destroyed)".
- Topic 11: Day 5 Ukraine losses -> "Day 5 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Higher Combat Asset Losses, Bradleys Destroyed, Marder Damaged)".
- Topic 12: Day 5 Loss Analysis: Russia (Very High Personnel Losses - 298, Grad MLRS, High ATV/Civilian Losses)".
- Topic 13: Day 6 Ukraine losses -> "Day 6 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Captured CV-90, M113s, Sisu, Kozak, Humvees - Kursk Link?)".
- Topic 14: Day 6 Loss Analysis: Russia (Major Radar Losses - 2x Kasta-2E1 ~$120m, High IFV/AFV Losses)".
- Topic 15: Day 7 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Abandoned Leopard 2A4, Soviet Tanks, Western APCs/MRAPs)".
- Topic 16: Day 7 Loss Analysis: Russia (Better Day for Ukraine - OSA Lost to USV Drone, ~15 Tanks, ~12 IFVs Lost)".
- Topic 17: Day 8 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Higher Combat Asset Losses, AS-90, Captured/Abandoned Strykers, Kursk Withdrawal Cost)".
- Topic 18: Day 8 Loss Analysis: Russia (EW, Grad MLRS, Older Artillery, Low Tank/IFV Losses)".
- Topic 19: Day 9 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (~1:1 Losses, M60 ARV, Captured L119, Bradleys Lost)".
- Topic 20: Day 9 Loss Analysis: Russia (Pantsir S1 Destroyed, Strela Damaged, TOS-1A Damaged, High IFV/APC Losses)".
- Topic 21: Day 10 Loss Analysis: Ukraine (Heavy Losses - Grad Damaged, Soviet Tanks, Bradley Damaged, Abandoned Strikers, Captured Bushmaster)".
- Topic 22: Day 10 Loss Analysis: Russia (Heavy Losses - Strela-10 Destroyed, Nebo-SV Radar Lost, Grad Destroyed, ~20 IFVs Lost)".
- Topic 23: Summarising the 10 days -> "10-Day Loss Summary: Both Sides Rinsed, Russia Losing More Overall".
- Topic 24: Standard outro -> "Wrap up".
- Number topics sequentially with `id=X`. Use `
` format.
- TASK 3: Topic Timestamps:
- Map the identified topics to transcript timestamps.
- Use `
MM:SS-MM:SS` format. Ensure IDs match TASK 2. Check coverage.
- TASK 4: Topic Summaries:
- For each topic, write bullet points summarising content.
- Include specifics (equipment, numbers, status: destroyed/damaged/abandoned/captured).
- Capture Jonathan's commentary (source: Andrew Perpetua, shed tanks, ATV use, value judgements, Kursk link, Western kit attrition).
- Use British English, correct spellings (Perpetua, Gvozdika, Kasta, Grad, Nebo-SV etc.).
- Use markdown for emphasis sparingly.
- Use `` format. Ensure IDs match.
- TASK 5: Quote:
- Select a poignant quote reflecting the video's theme (heavy losses).
- Chosen quote: "I think what we're taking from this is that both sides have been absolutely rinsed of equipment over these 10 days."
- Use `
` tags.
- TASK 6: Queries:
- List any uncertainties or potential errors.
- Note missing date/part in title.
- Note potential misspellings/mishearings ("Krieger M1", "Grab"->Grad, "Xenonosa"->Strela?, "Cop 2", "Vandal"->Lancet?, "Grodzikas"->Gvozdikas, "Castor"->Kasta, "NEO-BSV"->Nebo-SV).
- Clarify "Kursk retreats" context (likely Ukrainian ops in Russia).
- Use `
🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
` tags.
- Final Review: Check XML structure, tag correctness (opening/closing match), content accuracy, British English, and adherence to all instructions. Ensure no stray XML tags from the thinking block appear in the final output.
