Ukraine War Upd. EXTRA: Ram-a-Reaper, Truth & Criticism, & Predicting Russian Collapse
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Table of Contents 📖
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"Russia is a great Potemkin village that has successfully tricked the West into believing that it is strong and powerful."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides some extra nuggets and tidbits in this Ukraine War Update Extra video. He notes the channel is approaching 10,000 subscribers.
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Reaper Drone Incident
- The US released footage showing a Russian jet clipping the propeller of a Reaper drone, causing it to crash.
- The jets had made around 19 passes, dumping fuel on the drone, likely trying to interfere with its operation or bring it down.
- Jonathan believes the US should respond by increasing military aid to Ukraine rather than direct retaliation to avoid escalation.
Situation in Russian-Occupied Territories
- Dmitry from War Translated reports that looting and stealing are prevalent in Russian-occupied areas of Ukraine.
- A Russian reporter compared the situation to the chaotic 1990s in Russia after the fall of the Soviet Union.
- There is a lack of rule of law, with various officials exploiting the situation for personal gain. The quality of personnel is also an issue.
Debate on Spreading Truth vs. Helping Ukraine
- Andrew Perpetua criticized the demotion of a Ukrainian commander for going public about losses, arguing it damages Ukraine's ability to fight.
- Jonathan believes that while the commander's complaints may be valid, going outside the command structure has consequences in any military.
- He explores the philosophical question of whether spreading an untruth can be justified if it brings about a positive outcome, such as helping Ukraine win the war.
- Jonathan personally leans towards disseminating the truth, but acknowledges there can be instances, like in war, where propaganda and disinformation might bring beneficial gains.
State of Russian Military Equipment
- The Ukrainian General Staff reports that Russia is masking the foreign origin of electronics in its tanks by placing its own markings on them.
- Russia only has around 100 of its most modern T-90M tanks left and is increasingly relying on older T-62 and T-72 models, sometimes with engines dating back to 1937.
- While Russia is working to upgrade some tanks, Ukraine is steadily being supplied with more advanced Western equipment.
- Jonathan believes this degradation of Russian forces and simultaneous upgrade of Ukraine's bodes well for Ukraine in the long run, barring significant intervention from China.
Analysis Predicting Potential Russian Collapse
- A German journalist argues that Russia may collapse before the end of the year if the West delivers promised aid to Ukraine in time.
- He estimates Russia is losing around 5 tanks per day but can only produce around 100 per year, far short of the 1,500 needed to keep up with attrition.
- The appearance of superior Western tanks will further shift the balance in Ukraine's favour.
- Russia has committed most of its operational material to Ukraine, leaving other areas bare. A point may come where the front simply collapses.
- However, Jonathan notes that Ukraine is also suffering heavy losses and will need more than enough equipment for successful counter-offensives.
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for their patience and support. He will continue posting videos as usual and appreciates likes, shares and subscriptions. The ways to support the channel are in the description.
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