Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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"That's why both sides are shell-hungry, because artillery warfare is incredibly expensive in terms of that kind of munition."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides a full frontline update of the Ukraine war as of 25 March 2023, using maps from WarMapper and other sources.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast Sector - Kupyansk to Svatove to Kreminna
- The ISW reports unsuccessful Russian ground attacks in Hranikivka, Bilohorivka and Serebryansk Forest
- A prominent Russian mil-blogger claimed marginal Russian advances near Makiivka using old combat footage from November 2022
- Ukrainian forces appear to have retaken a segment of the E-40 Bakhmut-Sloviansk highway north of Bakhmut
Tactical Overview of Trench Battle
Jonathan analyses compelling footage of a small battle for a trench network between Bilohorivka and Hryhorivka:
- Around 15-20 Russian troops tried to storm a trench defended by about 3 Ukrainians
- The Russians were taken out by Ukrainian artillery directed by a drone, requiring about 30 shells
- This illustrates why both sides are "shell-hungry" as artillery warfare consumes a lot of munitions
Bakhmut
- After two days of little change, the Russians made significant gains in Bakhmut on 24 March, especially in the north and south of the city
- Geolocated footage confirms Russian advances towards the T-0504 highway west of Bakhmut and within northern Bakhmut itself
- The Bakhmutka River is less of a natural defensive barrier now that Russians have crossed it in the north and south
- Ukrainian forces appear to have unblocked the O0506 supply route west of Bakhmut towards Chasiv Yar
- FIRMS data shows numerous large fires in both Russian and Ukrainian-held parts of Bakhmut, indicating heavy fighting
- Some Ukrainian sources claim the front has stalled and Russians are short of armoured equipment, but this is debatable given the day's Russian advances
Avdiivka
- Pro-Russian source Rybar claims Russian troops have completely captured Kamyanka and made advances in Pervomaiske, but this is not confirmed by other sources
- Defmon reports increased Russian attacks around Avdiivka, Pervomaiske and Marinka
- The ISW says Russian sources claim advances towards Avdiivka and a semi-encirclement, but confirmation is needed
Vuhledar
- Geolocated combat footage confirms Russian forces are operating in the dacha area south of Vuhledar
- Russian mil-bloggers are pessimistic about prospects for offensives on Vuhledar due to challenging terrain and poor force capacity
Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Fronts
- Russian sources claim Ukrainians are preparing to counterattack south of Orikhiv, but such claims are common
- The Ukrainian General Staff incorrectly reported a Russian withdrawal from Novokivka due to an erroneous forced rotation, but later retracted this
- The Russians continue to lower the reservoir at Nova Kakhovka, which threatens agriculture and the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant's cooling system, a bizarre decision for an area they control
Wrap Up
Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and reminds them to like, subscribe and share. He mentions an upcoming "Ukraine War Extra" video with further analysis.
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