Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"Imagine you lived there and this was put upon you, against your will. That's what we're dealing with".
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:20⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to another Front Line Update, reminding viewers to familiarise themselves with the key to the map if they haven't seen it before. This update is slightly later than usual.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Front Line Summary: No updates from Deep State Mapping or Andrew Perpetua
🎦 00:20-00:57⏩
Jonathan begins by observing that there might be some changes to the map from when he last looked. He notes that there are no updates from Deep State Mapping or Andrew Perpetua, only Syriac Maps.
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Kharkiv: Claims of mass surrenders and desertions by Russian forces - potential logistical starvation
🎦 00:57-03:07⏩
Jonathan shares a tweet by Trent Telenko who claims that the Russian army is in slow-motion collapse in Kharkiv, specifically in the Lipsy sector. Jonathan proceeds to read an assessment by an analyst (the source of which is unclear), which suggests that there have been mass surrenders and desertions by Russian forces and that morale is dire. Supply lines have been targetted by Ukrainian forces and barrier troops are struggling to stop Russian soldiers retreating.
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Kharkiv: Reports of Chechen forces acting as barrier troops and targeting of Russian soldiers
🎦 03:07-04:05⏩
Jonathan notes that there were claims earlier that ACMAT forces had been called in to act as barrier troops and that there were already reports from Russian sources that this was already happening. Further reports (originating from both sides) suggest large-scale desertions and huge losses in the north and that Belgrade hospital was overflowing with military patients.
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Kharkiv: Chechen forces targetted by Ukrainian forces
🎦 04:05-04:47⏩
Jonathan highlights that Chechen forces, brought in to try and restore discipline, appear to have been deployed to the front line to act as barrier troops. Ukrainians have been targeting their positions, reducing their numbers and abilities.
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Kharkiv: Russian reinforcements from Kherson and Donetsk
🎦 04:47-05:28⏩
Jonathan points out that over the past week, it has become clear that Russia has deployed units from all over the front line to Kharkiv, some from as far away as Kherson. This has created an incoherent and unstable front line which is far from ideal when defending against Ukrainians.
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Kharkiv: Ukrainian attrition strategy
🎦 05:28-06:02⏩
Jonathan explains that Ukraine has opted for an attrition strategy, wearing the Russians out of equipment and weakening them, forcing them to deploy new units to Kharkiv where they can be contained rather than exploit a weakness elsewhere.
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Kharkiv: Russian rumours of expanding the front line
🎦 06:02-07:07⏩
Jonathan states that it's hoped that eventually the Russians will be weakened to such an extent that Ukraine will be able to launch an offensive to retake captured territory. He casts doubt on rumours that Russia is looking to expand the front line in the area to create a buffer zone - they are struggling to maintain their current position and are having to bring in units from the entire front line.
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Kharkiv: Jonathan's view - a sunk cost fallacy
🎦 06:02-07:07⏩
Jonathan shares his view that Russia has fallen victim to a sunk cost fallacy in the Kharkiv area, comparing it to chasing good money after bad. He adds that one of the key aspects of being a good military commander is knowing when you are wrong and accepting it but this doesn't happen in Russia without severe consequences.
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Kharkiv: Russian commanders nervous of new ideas
🎦 07:07-08:15⏩
Jonathan notes that the claims he has just shared are from a Ukrainian source and acknowledges that this means they should be treated with caution. However, he points out that they are consistent with what is being reported elsewhere. He goes on to say that the Kharkiv area continues to be a death zone for Russian units and that their commanders appear to be nervous of new ideas, resorting to brutal tactics to control their forces.
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Kharkiv: Syriac Maps - Russian advances near the Kreminna-Svatove line
🎦 07:26-08:15⏩
Moving on to the map, Jonathan highlights that Syriac Maps has indicated a small advance by Russian forces in the area of the Azot plant which contradicts the claims of Deep State Mapping and Andrew Perpetua.
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Kupiansk-Svatove: No changes to the more westerly salient - potential Russian gains in the Sinkivka area
🎦 08:15-09:08⏩
Moving south to the Kreminna-Svatove front, Jonathan explains that there have been no changes to the more westerly salient. He observes that there are potential Russian gains along the Sinkivka area where Syriac Maps shows an increase in size of territory gained.
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Kupiansk-Svatove: Russian advances to the east of Sinkivka - encirclement attempt
🎦 09:08-09:48⏩
Jonathan refers to footage from No Reports which confirms Russian advances to the east of Sinkivka. He explains that Russia is trying to encircle the city from the east. He recalls that Syriac Maps previously showed Russia in control of a large part of the area but have since retracted these claims. He speculates that Russia may have picked up momentum in the area.
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Kupiansk-Svatove: Russian 25th Motor Rifle Brigade take territory from the Ukrainian 30th Mechanised Brigade east of Sinkivka
🎦 09:48-10:40⏩
Jonathan highlights a tweet by Global War Monitor reporting that the Russian 25th Motor Rifle Brigade have taken territory east of Sinkivka from the Ukrainian 30th Mechanised Brigade 2nd Battalion. He points out that this is a much wider area of control than the Syriac Maps update and advises viewers to take it with a pinch of salt. Jonathan moves on to a claim by Syriac Maps that during the last 48 hours, Russia made advances south of Vil'shana.
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Kupiansk-Svatove: Russian gains near Stelmakhivka
🎦 10:40-11:38⏩
Moving south to the area west of Svatove, Jonathan points out that Syriac Maps is reporting that Russian forces have made gains near Stelmakhivka. He notes that no other sources are confirming these claims yet.
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Kreminna-Svatove: No changes around the Serebryansky Forest, Siversk or Bakhmut
🎦 11:38-12:08⏩
Moving further south, Jonathan observes that there appear to be no changes around the Serebryansky Forest area, the Siversk front line or around Bakhmut.
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Bakhmut: Syriac Maps: Russian gains in Rozdolivka
🎦 12:08-13:17⏩
Jonathan points out a late update by Syriac Maps which appears to show Russian gains north of Bakhmut in the Rozdolivka area. He confirms that Syriac Maps is claiming that Russian forces are now halfway through Rozdolivka. He acknowledges that there have been lots of claims about the town in recent days. When questioned about the significance of the potential loss to Ukrainian forces, Jonathan doesn't feel that it is hugely problematic but does concede that every bit of lost territory is a blow for Ukraine. He does not feel that it is of particular strategic importance.
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Donetsk: No changes along the Chasiv Yar front line, good news for Ukraine
🎦 13:17-14:45⏩
Moving south to the Donetsk front line, Jonathan confirms that there have been no changes along the Chasiv Yar front line which he describes as good news for Ukraine. He shares photographs of Chasiv Yar, describing it as another Popansa or Bakhmut. He invites viewers to reflect on what this 'liberation' looks like and expresses his despair at the destruction, describing it as an absolute disgrace. He goes on to report that there have been no changes in the areas south of Chasiv Yar past New York and Toretsk which he also sees as good news for Ukraine because it indicates that Russia has not made any further gains there. There have been no gains along the Avdiivka front line or in Krasnohorivka, Mariinka or Novomykhailivka.
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Vuhledar: Syriac Maps catches up - Russian gains south of Solodke
🎦 14:45-15:41⏩
Jonathan reports that the only other changes to the front line are to be found in the Vuhledar area where Russian forces appear to be pushing south of Solodke. He explains that Syriac Maps appears to be catching up with the other map makers (Deep State and Andrew Perpetua) who had already allocated these areas to Russian control.
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Southern Front: No changes in Velika Novosilka, Robotyne or along the Dnipro River
🎦 15:41-16:06⏩
Jonathan points out that there have been no changes to the front line in Velika Novosilka, Robotyne or along the Dnipro River. He notes that the lack of activity in Robotyne is good news for Ukraine as Russia was starting to gain momentum in the area.
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Wrap Up
🎦 16:06-16:30⏩
Jonathan concludes the update by acknowledging that it is marginally out of date. He thanks viewers for watching, reminding them to like, subscribe and share his videos. He reminds them to press the bell notification and select 'all' to be notified when he uploads.
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