Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
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"To do a withdrawal from there is going to be difficult because that's a narrowing neck. The cauldron is bubbling and yeah, it's not looking good."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the frontlines of the Ukraine war as of 15th March 2023. He starts by mentioning the recent incident where a Russian jet clipped a US MQ-9 Reaper drone, causing it to crash. Russian sources claim they have retrieved parts of the drone wreckage from the Black Sea.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast Sector - Kupyansk to Svatove to Kreminna
The ISW reports that Russian forces continue building defences along the border with Ukraine in Kursk and Bryansk oblasts to pin Ukrainian troops to northern border areas. There were repelled attacks around Hranyukivka and Dvorichna. Some sources claim a Ukrainian presence west of the Oskil River but this is unconfirmed. Russian forces are losing up to a company (30-100 personnel) per day in this area but are not reducing their attacks.
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Bakhmut
The situation remains dire for Ukrainian forces in Bakhmut. Key developments:
- A Russian Su-25 fighter plane was shot down by Ukrainian forces near the city
- The 93rd Brigade commander reports a "catastrophic" shortage of shells, with Ukrainian forces only able to hit 25% of known Russian firing positions
- Russian forces have made gains:
- Captured the Vostokmarsch plant in NW Bakhmut
- Entered the AZOM industrial area, taking selfies in a building Zelenskyy had visited months prior
- Advanced to Korsunsky Street in SW Bakhmut
- The Russians are increasing pressure from the north and south, tightening the encirclement
- Ukrainian leadership has unanimously decided to keep defending the city despite the deteriorating situation
- Concerns that this may be a politically motivated decision rather than a military one
- Withdrawing forces will be very difficult given the narrowing access to the city
Avdiivka, Marinka and Vuhledar
Heavy fighting continues around Avdiivka, with the Russians increasing pressure and likely to focus on this area after Bakhmut. The status of Krasnohorivka is disputed, with some sources claiming Russian control while others say Ukraine still holds it. In Marinka, fierce fighting is reported but without significant changes. Around Vuhledar, the ISW has expanded their assessed area of Russian control northwards based on geolocated footage, although this likely occurred some weeks ago. Three Russian tanks were reportedly destroyed by Ukrainian artillery near Pervomayske.
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Southern Front - Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts
There are no major changes in these areas. Key updates:
- Ongoing partisan activity and attacks, including an IED explosion in Novykovka and a fatal car bombing in Melitopol
- Video footage of smoke and explosions in Russian-occupied Mariupol, likely from Ukrainian Vilkha-M missile strikes
- Russian bloggers speculating about a potential Ukrainian counter-offensive in the south, suggesting concern about Ukraine's combat power in this region
Wrap Up
Jonathan concludes by asking viewers to like, subscribe and share the video. He also plugs his upcoming "Ukraine War Update Extra" video which will include additional recordings and insights. As always, he thanks his audience for tuning in.
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