Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update, Robotine Analysis
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"When I make light early at the beginning of the video, of course we must remember that this is a war. People are losing their lives in exactly the places we're talking about. Lines on a map represent people dying in large numbers, equipment being destroyed, and all for a futile project of a narcissistic, megalomaniacal, autocratic despot."
Hello Team!
Jonathan introduces the video, apologizing for the later timing due to family commitments for his twin's birthday. He is celebrating with a Hugo cocktail after everyone has left.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Bakhmut Area Update
- Not much new information from the northeast or north of Bakhmut. Repelled attacks as usual.
- Some Ukrainian gains around Andriivka and Klishchiivka.
- Suriat Maps oddly shows Klishchiivka fully under Russian control, which seems unlikely given other data.
- Russians are throwing reserves into Klishchiivka to hold the line.
- Deep State Map and Andrew Perpetua show Ukrainians controlling southern Klishchiivka, with Russian defensive line pushed back to railway.
- Minor Ukrainian advance east of Andriivka is actually significant - if they can breach Russian defensive line anywhere, it allows them to get behind and have a breakthrough.
Avdiivka Area Update
Andrew Perpetua's map shows Ukrainian gains north of Avdiivka, pushing back the Russian line from a railway they previously held. This area had been quiet for some time. Significant as Russians may need to move troops to plug holes, playing "whack-a-mole".
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Southwest of Pavlivka Update
Andrew Perpetua shows Ukrainian gains southwest of Pavlivka. Unclear if this is a definite recent gain or map adjustment based on new information. The area is challenging for mapping due to less satellite coverage.
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Staromaiorske to Urozhaine Area Update
- Not much news in the last 3-4 days other than some first-person view strike footage.
- New reports of further Ukrainian gains northeast of Priyutne, an area of high ground that had been heavily mined by Russians.
- Ukrainians were struggling to take it head-on, waiting for flanking moves from Staromaiorske.
- Global War Monitor shows flatter Ukrainian front line, a considerable gain adding 6 sq km to liberated area.
Robotyne Area Update
- Ukrainian forces have liberated Robotyne according to the General Staff, despite some Russian claims of a counterattack.
- Russians are shelling southern outskirts of Robotyne, confirming they no longer control it.
- Ukrainians are attacking outskirts of Novoprokopivka. Taking the area between there and Verbove is key to flanking the Russian defensive line.
- Emil Kastehelmi provides detailed analysis of the fortifications and topography in the area.
- Several Russian sources acknowledge a Ukrainian breakthrough near Verbove. Lack of Russian reserves is a problem.
- NASA VIRS satellite data and Russian reports indicate Ukrainians may have breached the Russian tank ditch defensive line west of Verbove.
- If so, this is highly significant. The question is how far they have advanced in the last two days since the data.
Wrap Up
Jonathan notes the human toll of the war, with lines on a map representing large numbers of deaths, all for the futile ambitions of a narcissistic despot. He hopes the update was informative and useful. No time for an extra video but more content to come.
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