Ukraine War Update NEWS: Geopolitical News, Global Hegemony Analysis
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Table of Contents 📖
"And so why is it that they are so freaking compromised morally and politically by their desire to appease some pro-Russian positioning. They do not see themselves in alliance with Iran despite the fact that Iran and Russia would regard one another as partners and this then goes back to maybe one of the best ways of getting them on board with supporting Ukraine is for Russia to go in to militarily support Iran and then these guys will suffer cognitive dissonance as their core beliefs uh the Iran are the bad guys but Russia are kind of good-ish or Ukraine are the bad guys then oh those two ideas can't work I'm gonna have to harmonize them they don't work together so maybe that means we need to defeat Russia as well as Iran okay maybe that's your way into getting support for Ukraine aid."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-01:05⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to the third part of the Ukraine War news update for the 16th of April 2024. He mentions the Iran-Israel conflict as well as four prospective US bills concerning aid to Ukraine, and the various viewpoints on this issue.
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John Kirby on the US's Position on the Iran-Israel Conflict
🎦 01:05-01:52⏩
Jonathan discusses John Kirby's comments regarding the US's stance on the Iran-Israel conflict, highlighting the point that the US is not going to be involved in the conflict, despite the different perspectives on whether the US should be doing more to protect Ukraine. He believes there needs to be a bit more honesty in the way this is being handled.
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Arab Nations' Support for Israel
🎦 01:52-03:59⏩
- Jonathan shares information from a Wall Street Journal article about how Arab nations are quietly supporting Israel against Iran, despite the potential for a perceived alliance between Iran and Arab nations based on religion.
- He discusses how this unexpected scenario highlights the complexity of the situation due to Sunni and Shia Islam differences.
- He highlights how the Israeli move into CENTCOM facilitated intelligence sharing and early warning systems across countries.
- Jonathan also notes the interesting detail that Iranian officials briefed Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries on their plans to attack Israel, without knowing if Iran was aware that information would be shared with the US.
Russia's Potential Arms Transfer to Iran
🎦 03:59-05:47⏩
- Jonathan mentions a Washington Post article that states Russia is looking to transfer air defense systems and Su-35 fighter jets to Iran to bolster its defense against potential airstrikes by Israel or the US.
- He references a comment from Thomas Tyner, who believes that if Russia does provide Iran with S-400s and Su-35s, it would be a "game changer" that could ultimately work against Russia in the long run.
- Jonathan connects this development to the US political landscape, explaining how this potential transfer could further solidify Republican support for Israel and against Iran, which could be beneficial for Ukraine in the long run.
Poland's Grain Import Issues and Potential Russian Exploitation
🎦 06:55-09:23⏩
- Jonathan discusses the current tension between Poland and Ukraine over Ukrainian grain imports, which have been blocked by Polish farmers since November 2023.
- He shares quotes from Polish Foreign Minister Radislav Sikorsky and trade expert Peter Soroszynski, emphasizing the difficult situation Poland is facing as they strive to support Ukraine while addressing concerns of their own farmers and hauliers.
- Jonathan recognizes the potential for Russia to exacerbate these grievances and exploit them for their own ends, noting that these issues likely have deeper roots than just Russian influence.
Norwegian Support for Ukraine's Strike Capabilities
🎦 09:23-12:54⏩
- Jonathan discusses the direct message delivered by Norwegian Foreign Minister Todd Iverson in Kyiv, calling for increased and strategic aid to Ukraine to help them win the war and defeat Russia.
- He highlights Iverson's comment that while air defenses are important, Ukraine also needs to be able to strike behind enemy lines, both in occupied Ukrainian territories and within Russia itself.
- Jonathan agrees with this assessment, highlighting the importance of long-range strike capabilities for Ukraine using missiles and drones, which could potentially cripple Russia without heavy losses for Ukraine.
Protests in Georgia Against Anti-Democratic Legislation
🎦 12:56-15:27⏩
- Jonathan highlights the protests occurring in Georgia against a proposed law that mirrors similar legislation enacted in Hungary and Russia, aiming to tighten control over democratic mechanisms and processes.
- He notes the strong opposition to this law, evident in the demonstrations outside the parliament building and the brawl that erupted within the parliament itself.
- He also discusses the heavy-handed tactics used by Georgian law enforcement to quell the protests, with accusations of the Georgian government being a Russian puppet state.
French Aid to Ukraine and Political Polarization
🎦 15:30-17:10⏩
- Jonathan briefly discusses the French political landscape in the run-up to European elections, noting a polarization between pro-Ukraine and anti-Ukraine camps.
- He highlights the extreme left and extreme right's tendency to criticize President Macron's support for Ukraine, while emphasizing that the majority of pro-Ukraine voters and politicians are more centrist.
Russian Influence Operations in Germany
🎦 17:10-23:47⏩
- Jonathan dives into an article from the New York Times about the increasing concerns regarding Russia's influence on far-right politicians in Germany, particularly within the AFD party.
- He highlights various instances of alleged Russian involvement with the AFD, including financial ties, links to Russian intelligence operatives, and travel to Moscow to observe Russia's staged elections.
- He expresses concern about the AFD's growing influence, particularly in light of upcoming European and state elections, which could potentially lead to the party gaining control of a state government.
Russian Propaganda in US Politics
🎦 23:53-33:31⏩
- Jonathan highlights the alarming trend of Russian propaganda influencing US politics, particularly among Republicans.
- He cites a CBS News poll that found 79% of Republicans trust Donald Trump for accurate information on the Ukraine war, compared to only 27% who trust the State Department.
- He also discusses the concerning comments made by Marjorie Taylor Greene regarding the connection between aid to Israel and Ukraine, with Chief Rabbi Bleich responding that there are no Nazis in Ukraine.
- Jonathan then discusses Joe Scarborough's comments on MSNBC, where he discusses how Republican leaders are increasingly aligning with Russian talking points and spreading disinformation, even accusing them of being "Putin propagandists."
US Aid to Ukraine and Republican Opposition
🎦 33:31-38:52⏩
- Jonathan highlights the seven months of stalled aid to Ukraine from the US, with only minimal presidential drawdown authority amounts being allocated.
- He expresses concern about the potential for delayed or blocked aid to Ukraine due to the proposed four-bill split in the US Congress, which could further hinder Ukraine's efforts.
- He shares an article by Anne Applebaum in The Atlantic, discussing the US's reluctance to send military aid to Ukraine, which she attributes to the balance of nuclear power and Russian propaganda.
- Jonathan discusses how the Republican Party's pro-Russia stance contrasts sharply with their strong support for Israel and opposition to Iran, leading to a lack of bipartisan solidarity and hindering the US's ability to effectively support Ukraine.
US Sanctions Against Belarus
🎦 39:44-40:26⏩
- Jonathan acknowledges the US's efforts to combat Russia's influence through sanctions, highlighting the latest sanctions package targeting entities in Belarus that profit from the war in Ukraine.
Global Hegemony Analysis and the US's Role
🎦 40:26-43:46⏩
- Jonathan delves into a broader analysis of the global hegemonic chess game, highlighting the emergence of two main sides: the US/EU/NATO and the BRICS/China/Russia axis.
- He admits his criticisms of American imperialism but emphasizes that he does not condone Russia and China's actions, highlighting the difficult choices facing the world in this context.
- He discusses an interview on The Daily Show with David Sanger, author of "The Perfect Weapon: War, Sabotage, and Fear in the Cyber Age," which explores the American role in creating the chaos that Russia and China are exploiting.
The Hypocrisy of US Foreign Policy
🎦 43:46-48:26⏩
- Jonathan further elaborates on the hypocrisy inherent in US foreign policy, pointing out how the US often claims to be fighting for democracy and freedom while simultaneously pursuing its own economic and strategic interests.
- He highlights examples of US involvement in Iraq, Libya, and Syria, suggesting that the US's actions in these cases were motivated by the desire for oil and control over trade routes rather than genuine concern for democracy.
- He also criticizes the US's selective involvement in conflicts, only intervening when it serves their interests.
- He emphasizes that this behaviour can create the very chaos that other countries, like Russia and China, are exploiting.
The Military Industrial Complex and its Role in Global Conflicts
🎦 48:26-52:11⏩
- Jonathan explores the role of the military industrial complex in perpetuating global conflicts, arguing that their primary motivation is profit, regardless of the human cost.
- He raises the concern that the US's ongoing involvement in global conflicts could be feeding this cycle, potentially leading to greater chaos and instability.
- He further examines the potential consequences of US isolationism, suggesting that it could create a power vacuum that would be filled by other, potentially more authoritarian regimes.
The Importance of Honesty and Accountability in US Foreign Policy
🎦 52:11-53:12⏩
- Jonathan emphasizes the need for honesty and accountability in US foreign policy, arguing that the US should acknowledge its own flaws and imperfections rather than portraying itself as morally superior to other nations.
- He contends that this transparency would ultimately strengthen the US's position in the world, rather than undermining it.
The US-China Rivalry and the Taiwan Crisis
🎦 53:12-54:16⏩
- Jonathan delves into the US-China rivalry, highlighting the potential for a future Taiwan crisis.
- He discusses the importance of semiconductors in this context, noting that the Chinese acquisition of advanced semiconductor technology could potentially erode the US's technological advantage and increase the likelihood of a conflict.
- He concludes that the next few decades are likely to be dominated by these kinds of "new Cold Wars," and that the consequences of these conflicts will be far-reaching.
Wrap up
🎦 54:16-54:29⏩
Jonathan ends the video by thanking viewers for their time and encourages them to share their thoughts on the topics discussed in the video.
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