Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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Table of Contents 📖
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"I feel deeply ashamed that our help came so late. It took so long and it was too late. I feel deeply ashamed."
Hello Team!
Jonathan welcomes viewers to his Ukraine war news update for 4th April 2023.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Ukrainian official figures on Russian losses
- Ukraine claims 530 Russian soldiers were killed yesterday, above the war average
- 8 tanks, 6 APCs, 3 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 15 drones and 9 vehicles/fuel tanks were also destroyed
- Only 69 attacks were reported across front lines, a relatively low number, apart from flashpoints like Avdiivka, Marinka and Bakhmut
Oryx visually confirmed losses
- Russian and Ukrainian equipment losses were closer than usual in recent Oryx data, but the types of equipment lost differed significantly
- Of 15 Russian losses, 6 were tanks (including a T-90) and 3 IFVs, while of 10 Ukrainian losses, 6 were trucks
- Oryx's methodology involves carefully verifying each vehicle loss with photo/video evidence to avoid double counting. To date they have visually confirmed 1,915 Russian tanks lost, compared to the Ukrainian claim of 3,627.
Drone strikes in Odesa
- Odesa was hit by Iranian-made Shahed kamikaze drones overnight, with 14 out of 17 drones shot down
- A large fire, possibly at a fuel or ammunition depot, was reported in the city
- Two drones hit targets in Odesa, with another two remaining near the coast. Residents heard explosions for over an hour.
- One drone reportedly hit a military airfield in Odesa
Other military news
- A Russian T-90 tank, one of their most modern, was destroyed near Avdiivka. Most T-90 losses have previously been near Kreminna.
- Thermal imaging footage claims to show Wagner troops being hit near Avdiivka, though this is hard to verify. Wagner's presence there has been debated.
- Ukraine reportedly conducted a localized counterattack in Marinka, forcing Russian troops back several hundred meters, though the full impact is unclear
Civilian casualties and the Orthodox Church
- The UN reports 22,607 civilian casualties in Ukraine since the war began, with 8,451 killed and 14,156 injured. 765 casualties were recorded in March alone.
- In Khmelnytskyi, western Ukraine, Russian-leaning Orthodox priests beat up a Ukrainian veteran who criticized their Moscow affiliation. Locals later drove the priests out and held a service in Ukrainian, reflecting ongoing tensions over the Russian Orthodox Church's role in the war.
Military aid to Ukraine
- Poland has sent several MiG-29 jets to Ukraine, with Slovakia also providing some. In total, Ukraine may now have 30 MiGs, restoring their pre-war numbers, but they still need modern NATO jets for an advantage.
- Ukrainian pilots interviewed by the Telegraph emphasized the urgent need for F-16s to control the airspace. Training could take 6 months and some prospective trainees have already been killed in action.
- Norway and Denmark will supply Ukraine with 8,000 155mm shells, about 2 days' worth, highlighting the ammunition shortage on both sides.
- Photos and videos suggest British Challenger 2 tanks and German Leopard 2s may now be in Ukraine, though this is unconfirmed.
Geopolitics and international relations
- Japan has been granted an exemption to the G7's $60 price cap on Russian oil due to its energy needs and dependence on Russian imports, drawing criticism.
- A Chinese spy balloon gathered intelligence from sensitive US military sites before being shot down, despite American efforts to block its signals, according to NBC News.
- Russia is reportedly confiscating passports from elites, fearing they may defect due to opposition to the war and sanctions impacting their lifestyles. This suggests concern within the Kremlin about the war's trajectory.
- German Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck expressed deep shame over Germany's delayed support for Ukraine during a visit to Kyiv, in a rare admission of political mistakes.
- Armenia faced significant Russian pressure after joining the International Criminal Court, including economic threats, forcing them to soften their stance on arresting Putin. While this is a concerning double standard, it highlights the complex geopolitical pressures faced by countries in Russia's traditional sphere of influence.
Wrap up
Jonathan encourages viewers to like, subscribe, and share the video. He also mentions an upcoming interview with Anastasia, a resident of Kharkiv, and invites viewers to participate in the live stream.
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