Ukraine War Update NEWS
Table of Contents 📖
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"This is real life. You have to look at things realistically. There is too much fantastical thinking."
Hello Team!
Jonathan welcomes viewers to another update video on the 22nd of September 2023, mentioning his upcoming 47th birthday. He notes time is flying by.
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Russian Losses
According to Ukrainian General Staff figures, Russia lost 480 personnel, 6 tanks, 8 APVs, 40 artillery systems, 4 MLRS, 8 drones, 38 cruise missiles, and 20 vehicles/fuel tanks in the previous day. Jonathan notes the high artillery losses and shows footage of Russian equipment being destroyed, including trenches being hit. He acknowledges the Ukrainians are also taking losses as they push through heavily defended Russian lines.
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Visually Confirmed Losses
- Oryx visually confirmed 17 Russian and 12 Ukrainian units lost, including a Ukrainian counter-battery radar and Marder IFV
- Andrew Perpetua's list showed more Ukrainian losses than Russian for once, likely from failed attacks in Novomyorsk. He notes Ukraine appears to have abandoned attacking the town for now.
- Perpetua mapped Russian gains in Novomyorsk. There are rumors Ukrainian troops may be moving from there to the hotter Robotyne sector.
Crimea and Russia Strikes
- Crimea continues to be targeted day and night. Sevastopol Bay was hit, stopping maritime transport. Explosions also reported in Chornomorske.
- A Russian naval HQ building in Sevastopol was half-demolished according to satellite imagery. The Saky airfield at Novofedorivka was also struck, with a hangar burning out.
- In Russia, a blackout occurred in Tula after explosions, leaving about 5,000 without power.
- Today, more strikes hit Sevastopol Bay and Chornomorske in Crimea. The Crimean bridge was also reported smoking but this is unconfirmed.
UK Intelligence Update
The UK MOD reports unusually intense attacks deep behind both Russian and Ukrainian lines in the past 4 days. Russia's Black Sea Fleet was likely heavily targeted. Explosions at the Shchyolkovo air base near Moscow, damaging a COOT transport plane, are of most strategic concern to Russian leaders. With the ground battle relatively static, each side is seeking advantage by striking their adversary's strategic depth.
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Attrition Warfare
Andrew Perpetua argues the Ukrainian offensive is going as predicted by serious analysts - periods of attrition followed by movement, repeated. Success is measured not by land captured but by resources destroyed. He believes Russia is losing equipment faster than it can be replaced. Ground taken matters less than resources expended. At some point, Ukraine will be able to take advantage of Russia's losses, but it won't be a sudden breakthrough - they still need to overcome multiple defensive lines. The side that can keep resourcing those defenses will prevail in the end.
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Wrap Up
Jonathan notes the video went a bit long and the next one will be shorter without the frontline update. He appreciates viewer support and asks them to like, subscribe and share.
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