Ukraine War Update NEWS: Geopolitical News
Table of Contents 📖
"We worry about Russian oligarchy and anti-democratic behavior in Russia. But, you know, we also need to look closer to home. And if Musk starts getting the ability to affect British politics, then, you know, it's just this is democratic backsliding. This is not cool."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:10⏩
Welcome to the third ATP Geopolitics video for 19th December 2023, a Ukraine War News Update focusing on Geopolitics.
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Anton Gerashchenko's Summary of Putin's Annual Press Conference
🎦 00:11-04:07⏩, 05:35-05:45⏩
Anton Gerashchenko summarised Putin's annual press conference based on his observations over four and a half hours, stating that it was terrible.
- Gerashchenko noted that Putin is increasingly emotional and paranoid, living in his own world.
- Putin has not abandoned the idea of seizing Ukraine and sees the war as the only way to stay in power.
- Putin threatened to strike Kyiv, which he has not done before, and is focused on going down in history as the victor over the West.
- Gerashchenko concluded that Putin, at 72, is now effectively the Russian Tsar and is indifferent to Russia's long-term development.
- Jonathan discussed Putin's health, mentioning claims of cancer and Parkinson's disease, which might affect his decision-making.
- Putin is not interested in the welfare of ordinary Russians but in creating a new Russian empire.
- Putin rarely takes questions from the press, making this conference a significant event.
Steve Rosenberg's Question to Putin
🎦 06:56-07:19⏩
- Steve Rosenberg from the BBC asked Putin whether he had taken care of Russia as Yeltsin had asked him to 25 years ago.
- Rosenberg pointed to significant losses in Ukraine, sanctions, and inflation as potential failures.
Putin's Response to Steve Rosenberg's Question
🎦 04:07-05:34⏩, 05:46-06:55⏩, 07:20-08:37⏩, 08:42-09:32⏩
- Putin claimed he had pulled Russia back from the edge of the abyss and prevented a total loss of sovereignty.
- Jonathan questioned Putin's claim about sovereignty, suggesting that Russia has become dependent on China and India due to the war.
- Putin criticised the West's treatment of Yeltsin, saying they turned a blind eye to his faults until he supported Yugoslavia.
- Putin claimed Russia has economic growth despite inflation and is ranked fourth in the world in terms of purchasing power parity.
- Jonathan pointed out that Russia's economic growth is largely due to the production of military equipment and that the ruble is tanking.
- Putin stated that Russia is first in Europe in terms of purchasing power parity and is prepared to work with Great Britain if it wants to.
- Jonathan noted that the UK is not in the top five for purchasing power parity.
Putin's Comments on Potential Dialogue with Ukraine
🎦 12:33-13:09⏩
- Putin stated that Russia is ready to conduct a dialogue with Ukraine without preconditions, based on the Istanbul agreements and the realities on the ground.
- He mentioned constant contact with President Erdogan of Turkey.
- Jonathan questioned whether Putin would actually ever compromise in negotiations.
Putin's Delusions and Claims
🎦 06:15-06:34⏩, 09:32-10:02⏩, 13:10-13:55⏩
- Putin claimed there are people in Ukraine who want to rid the country of a Nazi regime.
- He boasted about the destruction of NATO armoured vehicles in the Kursk region.
- Jonathan noted that while some Western equipment has been destroyed, Russian losses have also been significant.
- Putin held up the 155th Naval Infantry Brigade flag, which Jonathan noted has been decimated.
Putin's Comments on Payments to Soldiers and Situation in Syria
🎦 13:56-14:25⏩
- Putin found out that Russian soldiers in the Kursk region were not receiving the same payments as those in the Special Military Operation (SMO) and promised to fix it.
- He claimed that Russia was not defeated in Syria and achieved its goals there.
Zelensky's Response to Putin's Comments
🎦 14:26-14:52⏩, 15:35-15:52⏩
- Zelensky responded to Putin's comments by tweeting, "People are dying, and he thinks it's interesting, dumbass."
- Jonathan noted that Putin's comments about the war being "interesting" justify Zelensky's response.
Putin's Proposal for a "Technological Duel"
🎦 10:02-12:32⏩, 14:52-15:34⏩
- Putin proposed a "technological duel" with the West, suggesting they concentrate their air and missile forces in Kyiv and that Russia would strike there with the "Ereshnik" missile to see what happens.
- Jonathan described this as a trial to see how many people Russia could kill in Kyiv.
- Zelensky's response to this proposal was, "People are dying, and he thinks it's interesting. Dumbass."
Russian Disinformation and Deepfakes
🎦 15:53-21:30⏩
- Jonathan discussed examples of Russian disinformation, including deepfake videos.
- One example featured a British environmental commentator whose video was manipulated to make her appear to support Russia's actions in Ukraine.
- Another deepfake video from the University of Warwick was similarly manipulated.
- Elliot Higgins from Bellingcat highlighted these deepfakes and their spread on social media platforms like Blue Sky.
- Jonathan noted that 21% of Blue Sky accounts updated their profiles on 16th December with near-identical descriptions in Portuguese.
Andrew Perpetua on Russian Propaganda
🎦 21:31-22:43⏩
- Andrew Perpetua stated that Russia aims to make people feel hopeless and disengaged through propaganda.
- Jonathan emphasised the importance of not being disenchanted by Russian rhetoric and highlighted how disinformation leads to people being angry at Ukrainians for fighting back.
Lithuania's Position on Negotiations Between Ukraine and Russia
🎦 22:44-23:30⏩
- The President of Lithuania, Gitanas Nausėda, believes it is too early for negotiations between Ukraine and Russia.
- Nausėda stated that Europe does not support Ukraine enough to allow it to negotiate from a position of strength.
Zelensky's Meeting with Czech Prime Minister Petr Fiala
🎦 23:30-23:46⏩
- Zelensky met with Czech Prime Minister Petr Fiala in Brussels.
- They discussed priorities such as air defence, strengthening Ukraine, and bringing an end to the war with a just peace.
Kaja Kallas on Peace Talks
🎦 23:46-24:57⏩
- Kaja Kallas, the EU foreign policy chief, stated that Western capitals should stop pushing Zelensky into peace talks.
- Jonathan highlighted that there is no point in pushing for talks when Putin does not want peace.
European Council President on Ukraine's EU Membership
🎦 24:58-25:15⏩
- Antonio Costa, President of the European Council, stated that the EU wants to welcome Ukraine as a member one day.
- He emphasised that the war is about upholding international law, which must prevail.
Ukraine's Support for Macron's Peacekeeping Mission Proposal
🎦 25:15-25:30⏩
- Zelensky stated that Ukraine supports Macron's proposal to send a peacekeeping mission.
- He mentioned that Macron has contacted other leaders and received positive feedback.
Zelensky on Ukraine's Army Strength and Potential Peace Talks
🎦 25:31-26:29⏩
- Zelensky stated that Ukraine will not agree to reduce its armed forces as part of potential peace talks, even if invited to join NATO.
- He emphasised that Ukraine will strive to be strong enough in 2025 to end the war through diplomacy.
- Jonathan highlighted the risk of Russia demanding a reduction in Ukraine's army and Zelensky's rightful refusal.
Zelensky on the 2022 Istanbul Agreements
🎦 26:30-27:00⏩
- Zelensky described the 2022 Istanbul agreements referenced by Putin as a Russian ultimatum for Ukraine's surrender.
- He called Putin a fantasist living in his own world.
Shooting in Abkhazia Parliament
🎦 27:01-27:26⏩
- A shooting occurred in the parliament of Abkhazia, an occupied part of Georgia.
- The incident resulted in deaths and injuries among deputies, likely triggered by protests over an agreement with Russia on investments.
US Sanctions on Entities Involved in Nord Stream 2 Construction
🎦 27:27-27:39⏩
- The US imposed sanctions on entities involved in the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline.
Ukraine's Decision Not to Extend Russian Gas Transit
🎦 27:39-28:09⏩
- Zelensky confirmed that Ukraine will not extend the transit of Russian gas.
- Hungary claimed a potential exemption from EU sanctions on Gazprom Bank and worked out an alternative payment method.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz's Phone Call with US President-Elect Donald Trump
🎦 28:10-29:58⏩
- German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and US President-elect Donald Trump agreed that the war in Ukraine has gone on for too long and that it is important to get on the road to a fair, just, and sustainable peace.
- Jonathan initially thought Scholz was being weak but later realised that the emphasis on a "fair, just, and sustainable peace" was significant and aligned with his views.
- Jonathan believes that a fair resolution would involve Russia being penalised and facing continued sanctions.
Elon Musk's Influence on US Politics
🎦 29:59-35:52⏩
- Jonathan discussed Elon Musk's growing influence on US politics, comparing him to a Russian oligarch.
- Musk reportedly influenced a last-minute decision to avert a government shutdown by tweeting against a deal agreed upon by both parties.
- Jonathan highlighted that Musk has effectively trumped Mike Johnson, a MAGA Republican Speaker of the House, and dictated political outcomes.
- He expressed concern about Musk's potential involvement in British politics, specifically mentioning a possible donation to Reform UK.
- Jonathan argued that Musk's actions represent democratic backsliding and that his influence is a significant problem.
- He compared Musk's influence to that of George Soros, suggesting that Republicans would be outraged if a similar situation occurred on the Democratic side.
Wrap up
🎦 35:53-37:07⏩
- Jonathan thanked viewers for their support.
- He reminded viewers about the ongoing campaign to provide trucks for Ukraine, mentioning that nearly three trucks have been funded (28,000 euros raised).
- He praised the ATP community's efforts and mentioned that they will be helping other channels as well.
- Jonathan highlighted the contributions of Dimitri from War Translator and expressed gratitude for the support.