Ukraine War BREAKING NEWS: Ukraine's Biggest Drone Strike on Russian Territory
Table of Contents 📖
"They blew up our port. They blew up our port right in front of me. They blew up the port."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:20⏩
Jonathan introduces the video as a breaking news update on the significant drone strikes carried out by Ukraine overnight on the 17th of May 2024. He emphasises that this event warrants a dedicated update, even though it will be covered in his regular 'Hits and Losses' video.
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Ukraine's Drone Production and Strategy
🎦 00:21-01:47⏩
Jonathan highlights how he's been anticipating an increase in Ukraine's offensive drone usage. He points out that while Ukraine has claimed to match Russia's drone production, they have primarily used them in limited, targeted strikes. He believes this latest attack signifies a shift towards more extensive and impactful drone operations by Ukraine, potentially surpassing Russia's capabilities.
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Effectiveness of Ukrainian and Russian Air Defences
🎦 01:47-04:15⏩
- Jonathan discusses the effectiveness of air defences, noting that Ukraine has been successful in intercepting Russian drones.
- He observes that while Ukraine's interception rate for missiles is declining due to Russian tactics, their ability to counter drones is improving.
- He attributes this success to Ukraine's strategic placement of air defences and the increasing support from Western allies.
- He speculates that Russia's air defence capabilities might be weakening, citing the recent attacks on S-300 and S-400 batteries and radars in Crimea as evidence. He links this to the repeated successful strikes on Belbek airbase.
- He connects these events with the anticipation of F-16 fighter jets arriving in Ukraine, seeing it as part of a systematic and effective approach by Ukraine.
Scale and Impact of Ukraine's Drone Attack
🎦 04:15-05:50⏩
- Jonathan compares the scale of Ukraine's attack to a typical Russian drone attack, stating that while Russia launched 20 drones into Ukraine, Ukraine reportedly countered with 105 drones targeting Russian territory.
- He questions the Russian authorities' claim of shooting down 105 drones, citing previous instances, such as the attacks on Belbek airbase, where Russian claims of successful interceptions were proven false. He emphasises that the evidence suggests Russia is downplaying the true extent of the damage inflicted by Ukrainian drone strikes.
Targets and Damage in Novorossiysk
🎦 05:50-11:42⏩
- Jonathan highlights that multiple targets across various regions in Russia, including Novorossiysk, Crimea, Belgorod, and Kursk, were hit in this drone attack.
- He draws attention to numerous videos circulating online depicting explosions and drone activity, indicating widespread impact.
- He focuses on the port city of Novorossiysk, emphasising its strategic importance as the new base for the Russian Black Sea Fleet and therefore likely to be heavily defended.
- He details the specific targets hit in Novorossiysk, including the Grishinvaya Balka oil depot, Gazprom oil depot in Kirillovka, and the Mazutny terminal of the port.
- He emphasises the significance of the port itself being struck, noting it as a critical piece of infrastructure for Russia. He supports this claim by citing local testimony from social media where residents express shock and disbelief at the attack.
- He cites reports of power outages and disruptions to public transport as further evidence of significant damage caused by the strikes, contradicting Russian claims of minimal impact.
Additional Targets and Analysis
🎦 11:42-17:03⏩
- Jonathan continues listing the targets hit in the attack, adding a mining site, a cement factory, a metallurgy plant, and potentially a grain terminal to the list.
- He acknowledges the uncertainty regarding the full extent of the damage but underscores that even small explosions at these facilities could significantly disrupt Russian operations.
- He showcases footage of the Tuapse oil refinery being hit by Ukrainian Luty long-range strike drones, resulting in a large fire. He points out what he perceives as a missed opportunity, observing that one of the drones struck the same spot that was already on fire instead of targeting other critical infrastructure. He speculates that this might be intentional, with multiple drones aimed at the same target to ensure at least one hits, maximising the damage.
- He briefly mentions the attack on Belgorod, stating that a fuel station was hit, but doesn't elaborate further.
Significance and Potential Ramifications
🎦 17:03-18:40⏩
- Jonathan reiterates the significance of the drone attack, calling it a "significant moment" in the war and suggesting it marks a turning point in Ukraine's offensive capabilities.
- He believes this unprecedented scale of attack will likely cause panic within Russia and provoke a response.
- He speculates on Russia's possible reactions, suggesting they might retaliate with missile strikes or downplay the events in their public communications to minimise domestic concern.
- He expresses uncertainty about the long-term consequences but anticipates further escalation in the conflict.
Wrap Up
🎦 18:40-18:47⏩
Jonathan concludes the update, promising to provide more information as it becomes available.
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