Ukraine War Update NEWS: Military Aid News, NATO in Ukraine
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"I think this war is as serious as needing to do that. Anyway that's just my opinion take that with a big block of salt."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:13⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to the second part of the Ukraine War News Update for 09/05/2024. This video focuses on military aid and equipment.
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Zelensky claims Ukraine will regain battlefield initiative if more weapons arrive
🎦 00:13-01:36⏩
- Zelensky has stated that Ukraine will be able to regain the battlefield initiative if more weapons arrive.
- He claims Ukraine will be able to blunt a Russian offensive if its allies increase weapon supplies.
- Jonathan agrees with Zelensky's assessment, noting that the Russians have seen some battlefield success in recent weeks.
- He believes Ukraine is slowing the Russian advance and that the increased use of HIMARS, Atakum, and artillery strikes are a positive sign.
- Jonathan points out that the key to success for Ukraine will depend on the continuation of large-scale military aid packages, potentially influenced by the US presidential election in November.
Germany pledges to buy three HIMARS from US stocks and donate them to Ukraine
🎦 01:36-04:51⏩
- Germany has pledged to buy three HIMARS from US stocks and donate them to Ukraine.
- This was announced by Boris Pistorius at a press conference in Washington.
- While one HIMARS has been confirmed destroyed and two damaged in Ukraine, Jonathan suggests that Germany is likely replacing lost Ukrainian capabilities.
- He acknowledges that the constant use of HIMARS requires consistent maintenance and that additional units would be appreciated.
- Jonathan discusses the Foreign Military Sales (FMS) program, suggesting that Germany's purchase might open the door for other European countries to utilize this program for Ukraine's aid.
Germany has delivered another Patriot radar to Ukraine
🎦 04:51-06:29⏩
- One of the Patriot radars in Ukraine is no longer operational and needs to be replaced.
- Germany's Minister of Defense Pistorius has discussed the possibility of generating a new radar from spare parts with Raytheon, the manufacturer.
- Jonathan reveals that Germany had already delivered an additional Patriot radar to Ukraine in the previous year, which has yet to be officially confirmed.
- He speculates that Germany might be replacing the malfunctioning radar, but is waiting for the new one to be delivered before publicly acknowledging the delivery.
Starlink controversy: Musk turned off access in Crimea, then turned it on for Russia
🎦 06:29-11:05⏩
- Jonathan discusses the controversy surrounding Elon Musk's actions regarding Starlink in Ukraine.
- He explains that Musk's biography initially reported that Starlink access had been turned off in Crimea, which was later contradicted by the author.
- The author then clarified that Musk refused to turn it on in the first place, fearing it would escalate the war.
- However, Russia now appears to be using Starlink in the Donbas and Crimea, suggesting that Musk has, in fact, enabled its use for Russia.
- Jonathan expresses confusion and disappointment over those who continue to deny this information, given Musk's own admissions.
- He then highlights the ethical implications of Musk's decision and its potential counterproductiveness for US foreign policy objectives.
- Jonathan mentions that the DoD had concerns about Musk's drug use in relation to contracts with SpaceX.
DoD has countered Russia's illicit use of black market Starlink terminals
🎦 11:05-13:00⏩
- Colby Badwell, the Pentagon's space policy chief, has confirmed to Bloomberg that the DoD has successfully countered Russia's illicit use of Starlink terminals.
- This confirms previous reports from Russians who complained about the issue.
- The DoD has worked with the Ukrainian government and SpaceX to block Russian access.
- While Russia will likely continue trying to exploit Starlink, the DoD believes they have found effective solutions.
Russia is struggling with its own mobilization, while Ukraine is receiving more equipment and soldiers
🎦 13:00-14:50⏩
- Despite Russia's ongoing mobilization efforts, there are concerns regarding the quality of training, equipment, and the capacity of their military industrial complex.
- Jonathan believes Ukraine is starting to turn the tide and regain momentum, aided by increasing equipment and manpower.
- He raises questions about Russia's stockpiles and their potential offensive capability, particularly in the north around Kyiv.
- Jonathan highlights the importance of sustained Western political will for Ukraine's success, emphasizing that Russia cannot win the manufacturing race against the allied nations.
Western political will remains a key factor in Ukraine's success
🎦 14:50-15:45⏩
- Jonathan discusses the importance of continued Western political support for Ukraine's success.
- He highlights the potential impact of a Trump presidency and the performance of pro-Kremlin parties in the European parliamentary elections on Western aid to Ukraine.
- He notes that Ukraine has been suffering recently and that the outcome of the war is still uncertain.
Ukraine is establishing a network of secret underground defense plants
🎦 15:45-18:25⏩
- According to El Mundo, Ukraine is creating a network of secret underground defense plants to reduce reliance on foreign aid and become a Western arms hub.
- Jonathan sees this as a positive development, mitigating the need for continued large-scale Western aid packages.
- He highlights Ukraine's success in building manufacturing capacity within their own country, which will enhance their independence.
- He discusses Euromaidan Press reporting on Ukraine's underground arms factories and their potential role in becoming a Western weapons hub.
Ukraine is developing indigenous weapons, including the Raybird drone
🎦 18:25-20:28⏩
- Ukraine has unveiled the Raybird unmanned aircraft system, capable of conducting long-duration reconnaissance missions with a flight time of up to 28 hours.
- Jonathan highlights the Raybird's mobility, automated takeoff and landing, and quick assembly time.
- He emphasizes the drone's capabilities, including its payload capacity, video and photo systems, and resistance to harsh weather conditions.
- He emphasizes the significance of Ukraine's indigenous research and development capabilities.
Britain is sending Ukraine a machine to print weapons components
🎦 20:28-25:10⏩
- The Times reports that the British Army has adapted 3D printing technology for rapid repair of military vehicles on the front lines.
- The technology can print both plastic and metal components, enabling repairs of vehicles for which replacement parts are no longer manufactured.
- Jonathan highlights the potential for this technology to resurrect retired vehicles and bring them back into service.
- He expresses excitement about the potential impact of this technology for Ukraine, suggesting it could significantly improve their ability to repair and maintain vehicles.
- He mentions the challenges faced with Bradley and Leopard tanks due to suboptimal condition and the need for repairs.
- Jonathan explores the possibility of this technology revitalizing other retired military equipment, such as Challenger tanks, which were previously deemed unusable due to obsolete parts.
Rochelle, a Canadian company, is establishing production in Ukraine
🎦 25:10-28:01⏩
- Jonathan discusses Rochelle, a Canadian manufacturer of the Senator APC, which is used in various configurations.
- He highlights that the company employs Ukrainian people in the diaspora community in Canada.
- Rochelle's CEO, Roman Shimonov, has confirmed that they are in the final stages of planning to localize some of their production in Ukraine.
- He mentions that Rochelle employs over 200 Ukrainian refugees who are eager to return and contribute to the local economy.
- Jonathan touches on the topic of draft evasion and suggests that returning to Ukraine and working in the defense industry might be a way for Ukrainians to avoid mobilization.
Czech Republic hands over an F-16 fighter simulator to Ukraine
🎦 28:01-29:07⏩
- The Czech Republic has handed over the first F-16 fighter simulator to a Ukrainian tactical aviation brigade.
- Jonathan discusses the potential location of the simulator, suggesting it might be used for pre-training in Ukraine before further training in Romania or Denmark.
- He praises Czechia for consistently providing valuable support to Ukraine.
Ukraine could recruit up to 20,000 convicts into the army
🎦 29:07-33:12⏩
- Ukraine's Justice Minister has announced that the country could recruit up to 20,000 convicts into the army, potentially easing overcrowding in prisons.
- Jonathan views this as a positive development, highlighting the moral consequentialism of prioritizing the country's survival over strict adherence to the legal system.
- He compares this approach to Russia's mobilization efforts, which involved pardoning convicts after six months of service.
- Jonathan believes that Ukraine's approach is likely to involve long-term mobilization without pardons.
- He also discusses the potential economic benefits of recruiting convicts, such as reducing prison costs and redirecting funds towards the war effort.
- He acknowledges the ethical complexities of the situation but ultimately supports the decision, highlighting the need for manpower in the face of a desperate situation.
Ukraine faces a dilemma of mobilization versus economic stability
🎦 33:12-34:08⏩
- Jonathan discusses the difficult dilemma faced by Ukraine in balancing the need for mobilization with the economic impact.
- He highlights the potential for a massive mobilization to negatively impact the Ukrainian economy, but acknowledges the necessity of defending against Russian aggression.
- He emphasizes the unfortunate reality that Ukraine's economy might suffer as a result of mobilizing large numbers of people.
Lithuania proposes an ad hoc coalition of Western countries to send training personnel to Ukraine
🎦 34:08-36:12⏩
- Lithuania's Foreign Minister has proposed an ad hoc coalition of Western countries to send military personnel to train Ukrainian troops within Ukraine.
- Jonathan highlights the practicality of this approach, as it eliminates the need to transport Ukrainian soldiers to training facilities in other countries.
- He suggests that the coalition's presence could be defended with air defense systems, implying a level of protection for Ukrainian airspace.
- He emphasizes the symbolic message this sends to Putin, asserting that the West will provide whatever assistance is needed to Ukraine.
- He notes that the Lithuanian Parliament has already given the government a mandate to train inside Ukraine, suggesting this initiative may be close to implementation.
NATO troops are already present in Ukraine
🎦 36:12-38:52⏩
- Jonathan discusses reports that some NATO troops are already present in Ukraine, citing Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk's statement.
- He highlights the presence of NATO observers and engineers in Ukraine, but acknowledges that their numbers and specific roles are not disclosed.
- He suggests that the presence of trainers could lead to "mission creep", where the scope of Western involvement gradually increases.
- Jonathan expresses his support for this type of intervention, believing it is necessary in the face of a serious threat from Russia.
- He acknowledges the potential risks of escalation but argues that it is crucial for Ukraine to receive the support they need.
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