Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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Table of Contents 📖
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"If this is a Russian offensive, it's going to take them years to take the Donbass, let alone by the end of March. I just, I can't see any way, any other way out of that."
Hello Team!
Jonathan discusses the ISW's daily report, which suggests:
- Ukrainian forces are likely conducting a limited tactical withdrawal in Bakhmut, using deception to remove troops and equipment while claiming they are staying
- Russian military bloggers are adopting more realistic expectations for further Russian operations in Ukraine, contrasting with previous high expectations that Ukrainian front lines would collapse after the capture of Soledar
📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast Sector Update
- Very little news from the Kupyansk to Kreminna front
- Some claims that Hryanykivka near Dvorichna is now contested, but limited confirmation
- Positional fighting continues in the forest south of Kreminna and around Nevske, but no significant changes
Bakhmut Update
- Russian gains in territory north of Bakhmut towards Bohdanivka
- Pressure on the south and southwest, with claims Russians control the entire area east of the Bakhmutivka River
- Ukrainian forces likely conducting at least a partial withdrawal, with footage of troops removing themselves
- Difficult conditions reported for Ukrainian troops in Bakhmut - artillery/ammo shortages, poor comms, lack of training for some mobilized troops
- Muddy conditions and compromised roads making it challenging for Ukraine to conduct a quick, successful operational withdrawal
Avdiivka Update
- Repelled Russian attacks all around Avdiivka
- Possible minor Russian gains around Vodyane and Nevelske
- Attempts by Russia to take small settlements like Pervomaiske and Nevelske to encircle Krasnohorivka
- Taking long, thin lines of settlements west of Marinka and Novomykhailivka proving difficult for Russia
Southern Front Update
- Ukraine struck Volnovakha multiple times, a key town for reinforcing Russian attacks on Vuhledar
- Heavy Ukrainian shelling also reported on Polohy south of Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- Ongoing Ukrainian artillery attacks on Russian positions on the Kinburn Spit, forcing Russian artillery to pull back
- Limited information about the situations in Kherson, Crimea and Zaporizhzhia
Wrap Up
Jonathan concludes by emphasizing the extremely slow and attritional nature of any Russian offensive to take the entirety of the Donbas, estimating it could take years at the current pace. He encourages viewers to like, subscribe, share and support Ukraine by visiting the link to UA Supporter in the video description. Jonathan thanks channel members and supporters and mentions an upcoming extra video.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
No major parts of the transcript were unclear to me. A few very specific village/town names were hard to catch but did not impact the overall understanding.
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