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Ukraine War Upd. EXTRA: RU Defensive Tactics, Ukr's Outlook, & Is the US Army Ready?

Extra Tuesday, 11th July 2023, 18:45
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"Small, cheap, many drones are the dreadnought battleship technological event of the 21st century. Ways of fighting without drones are going to lose ways of fighting with them every time."

Hello Team!

Jonathan introduces this as his fourth video of the day, an extra update providing additional insights into the war in Ukraine.

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Russian Defensive Tactics

  • A recently obtained Russian military manual titled "Recommendations for Countering an Enemy Operating as Tank and Mechanized Columns" provides insights into Russian defensive tactics and how they view Ukrainian offensive tactics
  • Key points:
    • Ukrainians conduct reconnaissance with small platoon-sized groups to identify weak points, then rapidly advance assault columns to breach the line
    • Russians emphasize detecting these movements early with their own recon, preparing artillery strikes on likely routes, and having anti-tank assets ready
    • If Ukrainians breach the line, Russians aim to close the gap with flank attacks and prevent enemy reserves advancing


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Positive Outlook for Ukraine

An analysis is shared providing an optimistic view of Ukraine's position in the war:

  1. Russians are asking for a ceasefire, wanting to freeze current battle lines
  2. Russia is sending poorly trained and equipped conscripts to the front
  3. Ukrainian military grows more modern than Russian forces each day
  4. Russia has stripped its other borders of military assets
  5. Refugee flows to Poland have decreased, with many Ukrainians returning home
  6. Russian military bloggers contradict the positive spin from Kremlin propaganda
  7. The Russian economy is struggling


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Drone Warfare

  • A Ukrainian drone is shown dropping a grenade to clear Russian anti-tank mines, demonstrating how Ukraine has trained 1 drone operator per 100 troops
  • Drones are becoming crucial for tasks like mine clearing, artillery spotting, and as loitering munitions
  • This "drone warfare" means units in the open for extended periods like combat engineers need to be "drone conscious" and equipped with counter-drone capabilities
  • Questions are raised whether the US Army is prepared for this shift and has done sufficient analysis on the implications
  • Jonathan believes the US and other nations are certainly paying attention and working to develop these capabilities, but won't have them to the same scale as Ukraine due to not actively being at war
  • A balance is needed between maintaining cutting-edge military tech and funding domestic priorities


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Wrap Up

Jonathan notes his videos may be more randomly timed the next day due to electrical work being done at his home. He thanks viewers for their support and encourages them to like, subscribe and share the video.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

No parts of the transcript were unclear. British English spellings like "specialised" and "modernised" were used.

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Review the key points and topics covered in the video transcript Organize the content into main topics, ensuring enough context is provided for each Use the provided XML structure to format the summary Ensure British English spelling and grammar is used Include any relevant quotes, opinions or insights from Jonathan Mention if tea is referenced Check that all main topics are covered and the summary flows well

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