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Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update

Front Line Friday, 10th March 2023, 13:16
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Topic IDTopic TitleTimestamp

"I'm increasingly convinced that this war will end in practice by mid-summer."

Northeast sector (Kupiansk to Svatove to Kreminna)

  • Not much activity except around flashpoints like Bakhmut, Diviika, Mariinka
  • ISW reports unsuccessful Russian ground attacks along the Kupiansk-Svatove-Kreminna line on 9 March
  • Ukrainian official Serhii Haidai said Chervona Popivka remains contested with control frequently changing; claims Russians retreated from advanced positions there to reconstitute


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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND

Bakhmut area

  • Wagner Group likely captured Dubovo-Vasilivka northwest of Bakhmut according to geolocated footage
  • Fighting continues in central Bakhmut; Wagner made slight gains on outskirts but progress is slow and costly
  • Conflicting theories on whether Ukraine is conducting an operational withdrawal or launching counterattacks
  • Kenneth Greig, a Swedish volunteer in Ukraine, claims Russian activities around Bakhmut have reduced and their attacks are easier to repel; says a Ukrainian general visiting 3 times in a week "indicates something is cooking"


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Avdiivka area

  • Russian military bloggers claim Russian forces broke through Ukrainian defenses near Severne and Ukrainians retreated from positions south of Avdiivka
  • Pressure on Novoselivka with Russians gaining some ground


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Marinka

  • Igor Girkin claims Ukrainians advanced 100-150m in Marinka at the cost of heavy infantry losses, similar to Russian tactics


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Vuhledar

  • Rumors that Russians are reconstituting for a renewed offensive around Vuhledar
  • ISW assesses Russian forces may be rotating in the 136th Motorized Rifle Brigade to replace degraded units, but this will likely not lead to significant tactical gains due to personnel and ammunition constraints
  • Long-range Ukrainian strikes reported on Russian rear areas like Mariupol, Berdyansk, Melitopol and Volnovakha, possibly targeting Russian troop concentrations


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Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts

  • HIMARS strike destroyed buses at a motor transport enterprise in Volnovakha; Ukraine claims Wagner was using the buses to transport troops
  • Ammunition depot in Tokmak, Zaporizhzhia reportedly struck
  • Heavy shelling of Kherson city with civilian casualties
  • Ukrainian drones continue targeting Russian boats in Dnipro River delta area


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Wrap up

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

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My thought process for summarizing this video: Identify the key topics discussed in the order they appear in the video For each topic: Summarize the main points in a concise way Include any specific claims, evidence, or sources mentioned Note Jonathan's analysis and opinions Use British English spelling and grammar Format using the provided XML structure Re-read the transcript to ensure I didn't miss any important points

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Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce, J.R. (Cartographer)

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos