Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"They put up a flag, and then it got blown up almost straight away."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-01:09⏩
Jonathan welcomes everyone and jokes about struggling to remember which video he's recording, comparing it to mixing up his twin sons, Finn and Oscar. He mentions he won't show the map key in this video, as viewers should know it by now.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeastern Front
🎦 01:09-07:25⏩
Jonathan, referencing ISW, reports increased Russian drone activity in the Kupyansk and Liman directions, potentially indicating preparations for an offensive. Russian sources claim a focus on encircling Bilohorivka. He notes the continued activity of the Russian Volunteer Corps (RBC) in the Bryansk region, including an attack on a military truck, resulting in Russian casualties. Several geolocations (shared by OSINT accounts) indicate heavy fighting in the Terny area near Kreminna, with Russian equipment losses. Jonathan analyses differences between mapper assessments, noting Suriat Maps tends to be overconfident in attributing control based on minimal Russian presence, unlike the more conservative approach of Andrew Perpetua. He suggests the reality is likely a "grey zone" with Russian advances frequently repelled. Jonathan highlights Ukrainian pressure in the Vesely area, north of Bakhmut, with the Russians making gains. He compares mapper assessments, pointing out significant differences in their depiction of Russian advances.
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Bakhmut Front
🎦 07:25-16:32⏩
Jonathan analyses Suriat Maps' claims of a Russian capture of Vesely, their first success of the year on a mostly static front. He questions the significance of this potential capture for a future attack on Siversk, noting the challenging terrain and existing Russian positions closer to the target. He highlights a geolocated video from the 24th Brigade showing a Russian stronghold in northern Bohdanivka being destroyed by Ukrainian artillery, suggesting the area might be contested despite Suriat Maps' claims of Russian control. Further Russian gains are reported north of Klishchiivka, according to Suriat Maps, potentially aiding their efforts to seize the contested trench network in the area.
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Konstantin's Footage and Aid Efforts
🎦 16:32-18:43⏩
Jonathan highlights the work of Konstantin, a Ukrainian who provides drones and fundraises for the Ukrainian military. He shows footage shared by Konstantin of a successful Ukrainian defence near Ivanivske, north of Khrushchivka, where drones were used effectively to repel a Russian assault. Jonathan encourages viewers to support similar fundraising initiatives.
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Avdiivka Front
🎦 18:43-28:37⏩
The ISW reports heavy Russian armoured vehicle losses (41 in three days, including 17 tanks) in the Avdiivka direction, attributed to tactics relying on unsupported infantry deployments. Jonathan links this to the high overall Russian losses reported by the Ukrainian general staff, suggesting a correlation with the available visual evidence. He discusses footage of Russian columns attacking near the water treatment plant east of the Avdiivka coke plant, resulting in significant equipment losses. Further south, Suriat Maps claims minor Russian gains in the industrial zone southeast of Avdiivka, potentially threatening Ukrainian positions in Vynogradne. Jonathan analyses the situation around Pervomaiske, noting potential Ukrainian gains along with Russian advances in the area. He questions Suriat Maps' assertion that capturing the current area leaves only one Ukrainian stronghold before reaching Avdiivka's suburbs, highlighting the heavily fortified forests likely to impede Russian progress.
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Velyka Novosilka Front
🎦 28:37-28:52⏩
, 28:52-29:11⏩
Jonathan mentions a geolocated video showing a Ukrainian HIMARS strike destroying a Russian electronic warfare system in Novokokovka. He notes the significance of electronic warfare in this conflict.
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Krynky Front
🎦 28:37-29:11⏩
, 29:11-33:19⏩
Despite Suriat Maps' claims of significant Russian gains, Jonathan notes no changes in Andrew Perpetua's mapping of Krynky. He suggests the discrepancy stems from a Russian flag briefly appearing in the town centre, likely planted during a quickly repelled assault. Jonathan emphasises the intensity of the fighting in Krynky, drawing comparisons to the devastation in Klishchiivka. He predicts the town will be largely destroyed due to constant bombardment from both sides. He highlights a report from WarTranslated about the death of "Moses", a prominent Russian FPV drone operator, killed by Ukrainian forces in Krynky. Ukrainian sources celebrated the elimination of this high-value target, believed to have significantly degraded Russian drone capabilities in the area. Jonathan analyses footage of the strike, revealing the targeted house's location a few kilometers from the front line.
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Downing of Russian Aircraft
🎦 33:19-34:48⏩
Jonathan discusses the recent downing of a Russian A-50 long-range radar detection aircraft and an Il-22 airborne command post aircraft. Ukrainian Air Force spokesman, Ifnat, states that this has temporarily degraded Russian air operations over the Sea of Azov, reducing the number of patrolling aircraft. Jonathan predicts that Russian forces will adapt to this loss, as they have with previous incidents, potentially by reducing aviation strikes and altering flight patterns until they feel confident to resume normal operations.
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Wrap up
🎦 34:48-35:20⏩
Jonathan thanks his viewers for their support and the engaging conversations in the channel's community, expressing his appreciation for their insightful comments. He signs off and bids farewell.
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