Ukraine Conflict: 3-Day Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"They [Ukrainian civilians] hold on far, far longer than they really should."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:17⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to a new frontline update covering the past three days of the Ukraine War, acknowledging that much may have changed. He clarifies that the update utilizes maps from Andrew Perpetua and Suriyak Maps, noting differences between their assessments.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Kursk: Ukrainian Defence Holds Strong, Minor Changes & 225th Battalion Success
🎦 00:17-03:43⏩
- Jonathan observes minor changes in the Kursk region, with a slight shift in woodland control according to Perpetua's map.
- He highlights the ongoing Russian effort to advance from the north and west near Malaya, Lachnia, aiming to disrupt Ukrainian defences.
- Jonathan emphasizes the effectiveness of Ukrainian resistance in Kursk, acknowledging their gradual loss of territory while praising their ability to hold back Russian forces.
- He mentions a report from "No Reports" indicating Ukrainian success in the Darino region, specifically the 225th Assault Battalion making progress and potentially retaking control of Dorino.
- Jonathan contrasts this with Suriyak Maps, which depicts Russian control extending further, highlighting the discrepancies between the two map sources.
- He concludes that Suriyak Maps tends to present a more favourable view of the Russian position in Kursk, acknowledging the ongoing debate over territorial control in this region.
Kharkiv: No Significant Changes on the Three Fronts
🎦 03:43-03:56⏩
Jonathan notes that there are no significant changes on the three Kharkiv sectors, including one that has seen little activity since its opening.
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Northeastern Axis: Ukrainian Counteroffensive Pushes Russians Back Across Oskil River
🎦 03:56-06:50⏩
- Jonathan shifts focus to the northeastern axis, specifically the area north of Kupyansk and Sienkivka, where Russian forces had previously crossed the Oskil River.
- He highlights the successful Ukrainian counteroffensive that pushed the Russians back across the river, citing Grace Gold's report on the liberation of Novomlynsk on the right bank (west side) of the Oskil, eliminating the Russian bridgehead.
- Jonathan then clarifies the concept of "right bank" and "left bank" in relation to river flow, emphasizing that directions should be determined by the direction of the river's current rather than a fixed north-south orientation.
- He emphasizes this point using the example of the Siverskyi Donets River, demonstrating how its meandering path makes east-west designations unreliable.
- Returning to the Kupyansk region, Jonathan points out the Ukrainian pushback near Mazyartivka, further confirming their success in reclaiming territory along the Oskil River.
Pishchane: Russian Advance Reaches Oskil River, Concerns About Further Gains
🎦 06:50-08:33⏩
- Despite positive developments for Ukraine on the Oskil River, Jonathan expresses concern over the Pishchane sector, where Russian forces have established a bridgehead and advanced significantly towards the Oskil.
- He analyzes the maps of both Perpetua and Suriyak, pointing out the extent of Russian gains in this area, which he describes as "filling in the ground."
- Jonathan worries that the Russians will attempt to take control of the entire area up to the Oskil River, including the village of Lazovka.
Svatove-Kreminna Line: No Changes, Except for Russian Gains in Chasyv Yar
🎦 08:33-09:30⏩
- Moving south, Jonathan reports no changes around the Serebriansky Forest or the Sversk frontline.
- However, he expresses concern over the Chasyv Yar direction, where Russian forces have made gains, pushing through the western side of the canal and advancing into the eastern and central parts of the settlement.
- Jonathan notes Suriyak Maps depicts more extensive Russian control in Chasyv Yar compared to Perpetua's map, raising concerns about the situation there.
- He acknowledges the Ukrainian's long-standing defence of Chasyv Yar and expresses worry about potential Russian momentum, particularly as winter approaches.
Torsk: Ukrainian Counterattacks, But Russians Still Advancing in South
🎦 09:30-11:04⏩
- In Torsk, Jonathan observes a slight Ukrainian pushback, which he speculates could be either a map adjustment or a counterattack.
- He highlights the Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Torsk district, reclaiming some lost territory.
- Despite this, Jonathan notes the Russians' continued advance southward and their renewed push westward in the region, posing a challenge for Ukrainian forces.
- He emphasizes the strategic importance of a north-south road near Prokrovsk, which is increasingly threatened by the Russian advance.
- Jonathan worries that interdicting this road would severely hamper Ukrainian logistics, forcing them to rely on longer and more vulnerable routes.
South of Prokrovsk: Russian Success, Taking of Buretskyi, and Threat to Ukrainian Defenses
🎦 11:04-12:49⏩
- Jonathan describes the situation south of Prokrovsk, noting the Russian capture of Novoselivske and their push westward through Pushkino.
- He also mentions a Ukrainian counterattack near Zorya.
- Around Karakove, Jonathan observes the continued Russian advance north of the reservoir, confirming their control of Buretskyi and the entire north shore.
- He warns this development poses a significant threat to Ukrainian defences, allowing the Russians to attack from the north, potentially encircling Ukrainian positions along the east-west trench line and advancing towards Uzbenivka.
- Jonathan expresses concern over the Russian strategy of advancing on multiple fronts – north, south, and west – in this region, describing the situation for Ukrainians as "desperate."
Velyka Novosilka: Ukrainians Hold, But Situation Remains Challenging
🎦 12:49-15:27⏩
- Shifting focus to Velyka Novosilka, Jonathan reports that Russian forces are pressuring the settlement, describing the situation as "very, very challenging."
- He highlights the Ukrainian recapture of Novyi Komar, preventing a potential Russian advance and encirclement of Velyka Novosilka.
- Jonathan praises the 48th Assault Brigade for their success in pushing back Russian forces, inflicting heavy losses.
- He then points out the Russian gains south of Novyi Komar, acknowledging the fluid situation in this area.
- Using the Mokri Yaly River as an example, Jonathan reiterates the importance of using "left bank" and "right bank" instead of cardinal directions when describing riverine terrain, demonstrating how the river's meandering course can render north-south designations meaningless.
- He concludes by emphasizing the significance of Russian gains in Rivnopil and Novodaryivka, noting the perilous situation developing in this area.
Shevchenko: Anton's Evacuation Efforts Under Drone Threat
🎦 15:27-16:14⏩
- Jonathan expresses concern over the situation near Chasiv Yar, which is facing pressure from Russian advances.
- He recalls a previous story about Anton, a volunteer evacuating civilians from Shevchenko, whose van was hit by Russian drones despite being equipped with jammers.
- Jonathan highlights the proximity of Shevchenko to the frontline, emphasizing the dangers faced by those involved in evacuation efforts and the risks taken by Ukrainian civilians who choose to stay.
Wrap up
🎦 16:14-16:45⏩
- Jonathan concludes the frontline update, summarizing the mixed situation with Ukrainian successes on the Oskil River but ongoing challenges in Chasiv Yar and Velyka Novosilka.
- He thanks viewers for watching, urging them to like, subscribe, and share the video to help him reach his channel goals.
- Jonathan jokingly promises an extra cup of tea as a reward for viewers' support.