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Ukraine War Update NEWS

News Wednesday, 19th July 2023, 10:33
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Topic IDTopic TitleTimestamp

"When you look at the map and really zoom in and understand that every single field has a minefield and trenches in the tree lines... this is a really challenging situation to overcome"

Hello Team!

  • Jonathan explains he is splitting the video into two parts to avoid YouTube restrictions. He keeps appealing the restrictions but they are not being lifted.
  • Certain words seem to flag the videos and embedding videos can also be an issue. It makes doing the updates difficult.


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Ukrainian General Staff Figures for Russian Losses

  • Slight downtick in liquidated Russian personnel to 470 over last 24 hours. Could represent lack of intense fighting as Ukraine using smaller reconnaissance groups and letting HIMARS/artillery do damage.
  • 4 tanks and 8 APVs lost. Footage of 4 tanks lost in attack on mine at Krasnohorivka.
  • Huge loss of 31 artillery pieces. Andrew Perpetua says he sees visual evidence of ~5 pieces lost daily just in Zaporizhzhia region. Extrapolating across all fronts, 31 seems plausible.
  • 2 anti-aircraft warfare systems lost. Average is less than 1 per day so good day for Ukraine.
  • 46 drones, 6 cruise missiles (from night before), 19 vehicles/fuel tanks, 6 special equipment pieces lost.


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Fleshing Out Ukrainian Claims

  • Partisan movement Atesh reports 2 Russian fuel trucks destroyed in ambush in Kherson region
  • Ukrainian army destroyed Russian R330Zh Zhitel electronic warfare jamming station in Novopokrovka, Zaporizhzhia front
  • Footage shows Ukrainian forces claim destruction of 3 Russian field guns, ammo truck and warehouse with secondary explosions
  • So much footage of equipment losses, the general staff figures seem justified according to Jonathan


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High-Ranking Russian Commander Killed

  • Denis Ivanov, high-ranking commander of 2nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of so-called LPR killed near Luhanska
  • Lack of clarity if by loitering drone hitting car or missile strike on Luhansk. Death reported by Russian sources.


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Odesa Hammered by Russian Strikes

  • Odesa hammered by Russian strikes overnight, a continuation of revenge for Kerch Bridge strike
  • Jonathan sees this as a strike on global food consumers and supplies, not just Ukraine. It's despicable and the world should be slamming Russia for it.
  • 16 Kalibr cruise missiles, 8 Kh-22 and 6 P-800 Onyx anti-ship missiles, 1 Kh-59 missile, 32 Shahed drones used
  • 13 of 16 Kalibrs intercepted, no anti-ship missiles intercepted, 1 Kh-59 and 23 of 32 Shaheds intercepted
  • Odesa lacks Patriot air defense system. Anti-ship missiles launched from Black Sea are hard to intercept.
  • Footage shows Odesa port hit by Kalibr cruise missile. Electrical infrastructure also targeted to disrupt port operations.
  • One of most terrible nights according to Odesa mayor. Cemetery also hit but no casualties.
  • Significant damage likely done to Odesa but officials won't give specifics to avoid giving Russia satisfaction.


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Continued Russian Attacks

  • Russians continued attacking with Shahed kamikaze drones in morning, hitting infrastructure and homes in Zhytomyr region west of Kyiv


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Ukrainian Hits on Russia Overnight

  • Tokmak hit again with 6 missiles (likely HIMARS). Russian proxy claims 4 shot down, 2 hit TV tower.
  • Yasynuvata hit east of Avdiivka
  • Pavlivka ammunition depot hit with really big explosion on Zaporizhzhia/Donetsk front near Vuhledar
  • Loud explosions heard in Feodosia and Sovetskoe in occupied Crimea
  • Fire at military facility reported in Kirovske district, Crimea
  • Huge ammunition depot hit in Starokrymske, Crimea with residents evacuated. Highway to Kerch closed. Result of joint operation by Ukrainian intelligence and partisans according to intelligence chief Budanov.


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Russian Troop Buildup in Luhansk

  • Reports of 100-180K Russian troops accumulated on Luhansk front are misleading
  • ~11K frontline troops have been added recently according to analyst Andrew Perpetua
  • Most troops have been there a while, only 10-20% are frontline offensive troops
  • Troop movements are diversionary to distract from Ukrainian Bakhmut operations according to Ukraine's Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Maliar
  • No giant campaign-changing offensive massing 100K new troops in one area


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Minefields are Ukraine's Real Problem

  • US General Milley says minefields, not lack of jets, are Ukraine's main issue when asked about fighter jet requests
  • Ground-to-air defense systems more effective and efficient for Ukraine's current needs
  • Every field has minefields and trenches, a huge challenge to overcome even if all Russian troops disappeared
  • Moving equipment/troops across minefields to reach Berdyansk/Crimea would take a long time even without Russian resistance


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Russian Positions May Collapse Soon

  • Famous Russian war reporter Rybar says Russian positions may soon collapse after non-stop Ukrainian attacks have left troops exhausted with no rotation
  • Rybar: Fighters bravely holding on but small gaps in defense. Lack of rotation is a problem. Without rest/reserves, human resources will dry up with sad consequences.
  • Ukraine aware and applying pressure. They rotate regularly to keep attacking.
  • Several quiet fronts last few days (Robotyne, Priyutne, Bakhmut) likely due to Ukrainian troop rotation
  • Rotation is good for Ukraine but something Russia struggles to do effectively


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Another Russian Commander in Trouble

  • Colonel Vladimir Kravtsov, close friend of Igor Strelkov (aka Igor Girkin), had case initiated against him to discredit army
  • Part of ongoing purge of Russian military. Strelkov could be next according to Jonathan.


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Wrap Up

Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and says he will upload part 2 next. He asks viewers to like, subscribe and share the video before signing off.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

The ranks/positions of some of the Russian commanders/officers mentioned were a bit unclear in the transcript Some of the Ukrainian place names may not be spelled 100% correctly

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Extract key information about video - title, date, part Identify main topics covered in order mentioned Summarise each topic using the key points mentioned Include any relevant quotes, opinions or insights from Jonathan Note anything that was unclear in the transcript

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ATP-AI-Bot

Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos