Ukraine War Update NEWS: Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
"It's simply incredible...a powerful aggressor is deliberately put at an advantage and given a safe haven for its relentless bombing campaigns while the defending side is directly prevented from hitting the enemy's key facilities used for that."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:21⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to a new video and apologises in advance for any noise as there is a workman upstairs.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
🎦 00:21-01:41⏩
- Jonathan reviews the Ukrainian General Staff's figures for Russian losses on July 8th, noting that the numbers remain incredibly high:
* 1,220 personnel. * 7 tanks (slightly below average). * 19 armoured fighting vehicles (slightly above average). * 49 artillery systems (considerably above average).
- He also highlights the loss of 62 vehicles and fuel tanks, which will likely impact Russian logistics.
Ukrainian Howitzer Takes Out Russian Tank
🎦 01:41-04:15⏩
- Jonathan shares footage from OSINT Technical that shows a Ukrainian howitzer using a BONUS 155mm smart munition to destroy a Russian T-90M tank in Zaporizhzhia.
- He explains how the BONUS munition works, firing sub-munitions that spin down, locate the target and then execute a top-down attack.
Russians Claim Three HIMARS Destroyed
🎦 04:15-06:25⏩
- Jonathan discusses a Russian claim that they destroyed three HIMARS systems.
- He analyses footage showing a suspected Iskander missile strike destroying three vehicles parked close together, highlighting the Ukrainian military's continued vulnerability in this area.
- He expresses doubt, citing War Vehicle Tracker's assessment that the Russians may be overstating their success.
- War Vehicle Tracker states that secondary visual confirmation is often lacking in Russian claims.
Sabotage on Rostov-on-Don Railroad
🎦 06:27-07:08⏩
- Jonathan reports on sabotage on a railroad in Rostov-on-Don, attributed to the Ukrainian-partisan movement Atesh.
- The attack targeted a relay box on a section of railway between Rostov and Mariupol, a vital supply route for Russian forces in the occupied Donetsk region.
- Jonathan notes that this is the second such attack in recent days, indicating Atesh's ongoing efforts to disrupt Russian logistics.
Overnight Drone Attacks
🎦 07:09-11:25⏩
- Jonathan details multiple overnight attacks attributed to Ukrainian drones:
- Belgorod region: Four killed, 20 injured in attacks on several towns and villages, including Belgorod, Shevukino, Novaya, Tavolzhanka, and Dronovka.
- Kursk: Explosions reported.
- Rostov: Two transformers burning after residents reported drones and explosions.
- The most significant attack targeted the Kalachnodonu oil depot in Volgograd region, resulting in a massive fire.
- Footage of the oil depot strike, located 400 km from the front line, is shared from WarTranslated.
- Jonathan also reports on a large fire at a warehouse of apatite, nepheline concentrate in Kirovsk, Murmansk region, speculating that it may also be linked to the attacks.
Analysis of Missile Strikes on Kyiv
🎦 11:25-21:54⏩
- Jonathan analyses the previous day's Russian missile attacks, which targeted Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities.
- He highlights the significance of footage showing an intact KH-101 or variant cruise missile striking Ukraine's largest children's hospital in Kyiv.
- He argues that this, along with strikes on two other medical facilities, is part of a deliberate strategy to break Ukrainian morale by targeting civilian infrastructure and instilling fear.
- Jonathan cites analysis from Fabian Hoffman, emphasizing that the missile in the footage is not an air defense missile and its flight appears controlled, suggesting a deliberate strike.
- He criticizes the slow response of mainstream media in reporting on the hospital attack.
- The attacks killed at least 38 people and injured 190.
- Jonathan shares details from The Kyiv Independent, which reported that Russia has improved its missiles, making them harder to shoot down, based on statements by former Air Force spokesman Yurii Ihnat.
- The article notes that some missiles flew at extremely low altitudes (around 50 meters) to evade air defenses, potentially leading to "terrible consequences on the ground."
- However, Jonathan cites John Ridge, who disputes Ihnat's claims, stating that KH-101s have been cruising at those altitudes for years, suggesting a failure in Ukrainian air defenses.
- He speculates that Russia may be exploiting gaps in Kyiv's air defense coverage.
- Jonathan expresses outrage at Russia's actions and their attempts to blame Ukraine for the hospital attack.
- He condemns the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs' attempts to deflect blame by referencing the conflict in Donbas and accusing Ukraine of staging the attack.
- He criticizes Russia's contradictory explanations for the attack and their continued targeting of civilians.
International Response & Criticism
🎦 21:54-31:05⏩
- Jonathan discusses international reactions to the missile attacks, noting President Biden's condemnation and pledge for additional support, including strengthening Ukraine's air defenses.
- He criticizes the Biden administration's continued refusal to allow Ukraine to strike Russian airbases, arguing that this gives Russia a "safe haven" and prolongs the conflict.
- Jonathan highlights a tweet from Illia Ponomarenko, who criticizes the "profoundly absurd" situation where the US prevents Ukraine from hitting key enemy facilities while supplying them with weapons.
- He expresses frustration with the lack of a strong response from reporters during a press briefing by John Kirby, where Kirby reiterates the US position without providing justification.
- Jonathan also highlights a tweet from Adam Kinzinger, condemning those who defend Russia after the attacks, particularly Christian nationalists who view Putin as a defender of traditional values.
13th Jäger Brigade Operational
🎦 31:05-31:45⏩
- Jonathan briefly mentions that the 13th Jäger Brigade is now fully operational and ready for deployment.
- He questions the wisdom of throwing new brigades into action at this time, suggesting that it would be more prudent to rotate and reconstitute existing units given the high level of activity on the front line.
- He believes that another major Ukrainian offensive is unlikely for the time being.
Wrap up
🎦 31:45-31:49⏩
- Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and encourages them to like, subscribe, and share the video.
🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
What is apatite, nepheline concentrate and what is its strategic significance (if any)?
Does the 13th Jäger Brigade refer to a Ukrainian or a Russian unit?
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
This is my thought process for summarising this video transcript:
Understand the Task: I need to carefully analyse the transcript and extract key information to create a concise and informative summary for viewers who don't have time to watch the full video.
Identify the Structure: I will break down the transcript based on topics discussed, timeframes for each topic, and then summarise the essential points made within those timeframes.
Accuracy and Context: I will ensure the summary accurately reflects Jonathan's words, including his insights, opinions, and even his humour. I will also provide enough context so that the summary can be understood by someone who hasn't watched the video.
Language and Style: I will use British English and maintain a neutral and objective tone while reflecting Jonathan's passion for the subject matter. I'll use bullet points where appropriate for better readability.
Quote Selection: I will choose a quote that encapsulates the essence of the video or highlights an important point made by Jonathan.
Queries: I will honestly note down any part of the transcript that I don't understand for clarification.
