Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"I have been listening to some of my commenters in the threads today saying get your limey arse on a treadmill, you need to make sure your health is looked after."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:33⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to a Frontline update for 29/03/2024 and thanks commenters for suggesting that he should look after his health and use a treadmill - because of his primary progressive MS, he needs to exercise more.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna Front
🎦 00:33-02:04⏩
Jonathan, using a map updated by JR, reports no changes on the frontline. There are rumours of Russian forces amassing in the area, perhaps indicating a planned attack on Kharkiv or a counter-offensive. Zelensky, in a recent CBS interview, suggested that the Russians are preparing for an offensive around May or June, necessitating as much equipment as possible beforehand. Jonathan doubts the likelihood of the Russians retaking the area and suggests that their focus should be on Mykolaiv and Odesa, though even with 300,000 troops he is doubtful they have the capability. Jonathan speculates that French involvement may increase if Russia makes a move on Odesa. Realistically, Jonathan believes that Russia's best course of action is to focus on securing the Donbas region.
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Donbas Front
🎦 02:04-03:26⏩
Jonathan discusses the Donbas front, highlighting the difficulty Russia would face in capturing the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, despite their desire to control the entire region. He notes the prolonged battles for Bakhmut and Avdiivka as evidence of the challenges they face.
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Bakhmut Front
🎦 03:26-06:17⏩
Jonathan observes minor Ukrainian gains in the Bakhmut area, but speculates that it might be a reorganisation of troops rather than a counterattack. There are significant discrepancies between maps from different sources, particularly between Andrew Perpetua's and Deep State Map's depictions of the frontline. Conversely, the Russians appear to have made gains northwest of Ivanivske, advancing through the village and taking control of high ground, which Jonathan considers a concern as it gives them a tactical advantage in the area.
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Avdiivka-Donetsk City Front
🎦 06:17-08:05⏩
Jonathan reports minimal changes around Avdiivka and surrounding areas. He notes a very slight Russian advance, possibly as close as 500-800 metres from Chasiv Yar, but expresses reservations about the accuracy of reports from Surat Maps, which suggested more substantial Russian gains across the river in that area. He also addresses conflicting information regarding the situation in Pisky, with Surat Maps indicating a Ukrainian retreat across the Dnipro River, a move Jonathan considers unsurprising as Ukrainian forces may be consolidating their positions on higher ground to the west of the river.
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Donetsk City to Velyka Novosilka Front
🎦 08:05-10:34⏩
Jonathan observes that the situation in the Krasnohorivka and Marinka area remains relatively stable. However, he expresses concern about the situation around Novomykolaivka, where Russian forces are making progress north of the town through farmland. This advance is confirmed by both Andrew Perpetua's and Surat Maps' updates. Jonathan believes that if the Russians gain control of Novomykolaivka, Kostyantynivka would be their next target, presenting a significant challenge for Ukraine. Reports suggest that Russian forces are now firmly in control of over half of Novomykolaivka, with Ukrainian troops potentially withdrawing to the western part of the town. Further south, Jonathan notes no significant changes in Velyka Novosilka, Robotyne, or along the Dnipro River, except for minor Ukrainian gains in a contested grey zone southwest of the river. He speculates that Ukrainian forces in this area may be primarily focused on tying down Russian troops.
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Wrap Up
🎦 10:34-11:10⏩
Jonathan concludes the frontline update, urging viewers to like, subscribe, and share the video. He also expresses support for fellow YouTuber "Joe Bloggs," whose account was hacked and videos deleted, urging viewers to subscribe to his new channel "Joe Blogs 2.0."
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