Ukraine Conflict (202311108): Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
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"The old, it's complicated claim. Relationship status, it's complicated."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the Ukraine conflict as of 8th November 2023. He mentions claims of Russian freedom fighters being active near Kursk, a Russian oblast north of Ukraine. Additionally, there are reports of a unit of 70 Ukrainian POWs in Russia being sent to fight for the Russians on the front line.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast to Kupyansk to Kramina Front Line
The northeast to Kupyansk to Kramina front line is relatively quiet in terms of territory exchanges. However, there are claims that Ukrainians need to watch out for potential renewed Russian attacks from Persia Travnevi down to Petropavlovka, possibly to interdict the east-west ground line of communication. Repelled attacks have occurred up and down this front line, but no significant changes in territory.
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Bakhmut
In Bakhmut, the Russians are counterattacking in several places along the sector, according to the ISW. Russian sources claim advances in the direction of Zelenopilie, Vazhyukivka, and Saky Vansety, as well as north of Klishchivka and south of Andreevka. The Ukrainians appear to have stopped making consistent gains, while the Russians are pushing back as much as they can in the Bakhmut area.
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Avdiivka
In Avdiivka, there is evidence of increased Russian control of the tree lines to the east of Stopover and west of Krasnohorivka, posing a challenge for the Ukrainians as it could increase the chances of operationally encircling Avdiivka. Russian sources claim advances near Siverni and along the river from Voldyany towards Pervomysky. The Russians have switched to a "creeping offensive" in the Avdiivka direction after initial heavy onslaughts, suggesting a slower pace of offensive operations. The Russians are suffering from a shortage of electronic warfare complexes in the area, allowing Ukrainian forces to establish some control in the air.
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Southern Front Line and Robotnaya
Along the southern front line past Marinka and Novomekolivka, positional battles continue. In the Robotnaya area, the Ukrainians are making marginal gains in a "creeping offensive," taking back territory previously captured by competent Russian forces. The situation remains active in the Piaty Katki area towards Kamianska and the Vasyukivka sector.
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Kherson Oblast and Dnipro River
In the Kherson Oblast along the Dnipro River, there are no changes to the mapping, but the area remains incredibly active. Ukrainian forces have transferred a limited number of armored vehicles to the east bank and are conducting larger than usual ground operations with a light infantry grouping of roughly battalion size. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces maintain positions in central Krinky and nearby areas like Poima, Pishchenivka, and Pidstepny. The reported battalion-size Ukrainian force grouping on the east bank suggests that heavy Russian interdiction efforts along the Dnipro have not prevented Ukrainian forces from transferring additional personnel and material. The situation remains complex and dynamic.
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Wrap up
In summary, the situation along the front lines remains dynamic, with both sides making marginal gains and losses in various sectors. The Kherson Oblast along the Dnipro River is particularly active, with Ukrainian forces establishing a presence on the east bank despite Russian interdiction efforts. The next week will likely be revealing in terms of how the winter will unfold. Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and mentions his plans to analyze the fallout from the US elections.
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