Ukraine War Update NEWS: Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News
Table of Contents 📖
"[The "so-called Ukraine"?] Everyone calls it Ukraine...Oh, you mean Russia, because you just think it's Russia, right? Again, tells you all you need to know...Let's not beat around the bush...This is just aggressive militaristic imperialism."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:15⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to a new ATPG video, a Ukraine War news update for the 9th of January 2024.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
General Staff Figures: High Russian Personnel Losses
🎦 00:15-01:20⏩
Jonathan reviews the General Staff figures for Russian losses from the previous day, noting the unusually high number of 820 personnel lost, likely due to challenging weather conditions in Ukraine. He observes that equipment losses (5 tanks, 9 APVs, 6 artillery systems) are lower than usual, possibly reflecting a lag in data collection due to the weather.
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Andrew Perpetua's Visual Confirmed Losses
🎦 01:20-03:06⏩
Jonathan examines Andrew Perpetua's visually confirmed loss list, highlighting the favorable ratio of Russian to Ukrainian losses. He points out specific significant Russian losses, including a Tirada-2 anti-satellite communication and electronic warfare system, a T-90M tank (Russia's most recent model), and multiple howitzers and artillery pieces.
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Ukrainian Bogdana Howitzer Destroys Russian Target
🎦 03:06-06:02⏩
Jonathan discusses footage suggesting a Ukrainian-made Bogdana self-propelled howitzer destroyed an unidentified Russian target. While the footage quality is poor, Jonathan emphasizes the significance of Ukraine developing its own military-industrial complex, creating jobs, and reducing reliance on foreign suppliers. He highlights the "money multiplier" effect of domestic production and its positive impact on the Ukrainian economy.
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Russian Colonel Killed by Mine in Occupied Territories
🎦 06:02-06:48⏩
Jonathan reports the death of Russian Colonel Arman Aspinov, head of the armored service of the Russian airborne forces, who was killed by a mine in occupied Ukraine. Aspinov had been sent to boost morale among Russian troops.
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Russian Friendly Fire Incidents
🎦 06:48-07:53⏩
Jonathan shares footage of Ukrainian drones filming Russian infantry being bombed by their own artillery. He questions the frequency of friendly fire incidents on both sides of the conflict and speculates, based on available information, that such incidents may be more common among Russian forces. Jonathan acknowledges the possibility of selection bias in his observations and calls for more data and analysis on friendly fire in the war.
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Another TOS-1A Thermobaric Launcher Destroyed
🎦 07:53-08:16⏩
Jonathan covers the destruction of another Russian TOS-1A thermobaric munition launcher in Avdiivka. He points out that these systems are relatively vulnerable due to their limited range (6km) requiring them to operate closer to the front lines.
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Sabotage in Sverdlovsk Region: Explosion Targets Oil Depot and Railway
🎦 08:16-09:33⏩
Jonathan reports on an explosion on railway tracks near an oil depot in Nizhny Tagil, Sverdlovsk region, Russia, located 1,600km from the Ukrainian border. While the extent of the damage is unclear, the incident suggests possible partisan activity or sabotage.
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Overnight Missile Strike in Khmelnytsky
🎦 09:33-10:23⏩
Jonathan notes that a third person has died from injuries sustained in a missile strike on Khmelnytsky. He mentions that while the strikes from the previous night were significant, there were no widespread attacks reported overnight. Jonathan also addresses the lack of clear photographic evidence regarding damage in Khmelnytsky, suggesting that the strikes might have successfully targeted military infrastructure.
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Russian Propaganda and the "So-Called Ukraine"
🎦 10:23-11:26⏩
Jonathan critiques Russian propaganda, specifically highlighting a report referring to Ukraine as the "so-called Ukraine." He condemns this language as indicative of Russia's imperialistic intentions and a refusal to acknowledge Ukraine's sovereignty.
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Ukraine Shoots Down Iranian Shahid-238 Drone with Jet Engine
🎦 11:26-12:31⏩
Jonathan reports that Ukraine has shot down one of the first documented Iranian Shahid-238 drones equipped with a jet engine. He explains that these faster drones pose a challenge as they are more difficult to intercept with machine guns, potentially forcing Ukraine to expend valuable air defense missiles. Jonathan suggests that Russia may be employing these drones to deplete Ukrainian air defenses.
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Another Russian Friendly Fire Incident in Rubizhne
🎦 12:31-13:46⏩
Jonathan discusses another incident of Russian friendly fire in Rubizhne, Luhansk region. This time, an accidental discharge of an aerial bomb caused damage, highlighting further issues within the Russian military.
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Unexploded Russian Bomb Provides Intelligence Opportunity
🎦 13:46-14:34⏩
Jonathan points out that the unexploded Russian bomb that fell on Ukrainian positions offers valuable intelligence-gathering opportunities. Examining the weapon's construction and components can provide insights into Russian military technology and capabilities.
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Ukrainian Forces Destroy Key Bridge Near Mariupol
🎦 14:34-15:17⏩
Jonathan celebrates the Ukrainian destruction of a key bridge near Mariupol, which was part of a new railway line being constructed by Russia to connect Rostov-on-Don to Mariupol. He highlights the strategic significance of targeting bridges, which are harder to replace than railway tracks, and emphasizes the Ukrainians' successful disruption of Russia's logistical efforts.
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Explosions and Evacuations in Belgorod
🎦 15:17-16:06⏩
Jonathan reports ongoing explosions in Belgorod, with Russian authorities reportedly evacuating children from the region. He suggests that these events expose Russian civilians to the realities of war and the consequences of their country's aggression against Ukraine.
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Ukrainian Intelligence Seizes Classified Data from Russian Drone Producer
🎦 16:06-17:08⏩
Jonathan discusses the Ukrainian HUR intelligence agency's seizure of 100 gigabytes of classified data, valued at $1.5 billion, from Russian drone producer "Special Technology Center." This significant intelligence haul could potentially provide Ukraine with valuable insights into Russian drone technology, aiding in countermeasures or even replicating advancements.
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Ukrainian SBU Could Have Sunk Russian Frigate Admiral Essen
🎦 17:08-18:12⏩
Jonathan reveals that the Ukrainian SBU had an opportunity to sink the Russian frigate Admiral Essen, which became the flagship of the Black Sea Fleet after the sinking of the Moskva. The encounter occurred when Ukrainian "Sea Babies" were en route to attack the Crimean Bridge. Jonathan questions whether sinking the Essen would have been a more strategically valuable target compared to the bridge attack, acknowledging the difficulty of retrospectively assessing such decisions.
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Heating Problems Continue in Moscow Region
🎦 18:12-19:38⏩
Jonathan highlights the ongoing heating crisis in the Moscow region, with residents experiencing their fourth consecutive day without heating. He cites numerous examples of burst pipes, frozen homes, and residents struggling to cope. Jonathan criticizes the Russian authorities' inadequate response to the crisis, suggesting systemic problems and an inability to address the widespread issues effectively.
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Russian Aeroflot Flight Stranded in Thailand
🎦 19:38-20:09⏩
Jonathan reports on an Aeroflot flight stranded in Thailand due to technical problems, leaving 400 Russian tourists unable to return home from their holidays. This incident highlights the impact of sanctions on Russia's civil aviation industry.
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Train Derailment Disrupts Transbaikal Railway
🎦 20:09-21:12⏩
Jonathan reports on a train derailment on the Transbaikal Railway, where 14 freight wagons came off the tracks. The incident blocked two passenger trains and disrupted traffic on this vital transportation artery. Jonathan notes that one of the trains was carrying coal, highlighting Russia's continued extraction of resources from occupied Ukrainian territories.
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Russia Continues Grain Theft from Ukraine
🎦 21:12-21:44⏩
Jonathan criticizes Russia's ongoing theft of Ukrainian grain. He points to the arrival of the Guinea-Bissau flagged cargo ship "Gam Express" in occupied Theodosia after a month-long wait in Marmara. He highlights that the ship has changed flags 19 times in recent years, indicating its involvement in suspicious activities.
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Wrap Up
🎦 21:44-22:33⏩
Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and encourages them to like, subscribe, and share the video. He also promotes his recent interview with Ada Wordsworth from Harp Charity, available on his channel's "Live" tab. He expresses his admiration for Wordsworth's work and mentions an upcoming interview with Greg Terry scheduled for later that day.
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