Ukraine War Update NEWS (20230918a): Pt 1 - Bumper Overnight & Other News
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"We want to get them out of their comfort zone."
Hello Team!
Jonathan shares that he had his sixth COVID jab yesterday which caused his MS to flare up, resulting in a delirious night's sleep filled with dreams about rank choice voting and Trump's imaginary election difficulties. Despite feeling a bit "nuts", he presses on with the update.
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Russian Losses
- 620 Russian personnel lost, possibly due to fighting in Kalishevka and Drivka
- 24 artillery pieces lost, a significant blow to Russian forces
- 34 vehicles and fuel tanks destroyed, impacting Russian logistics
- Losses are hurting the Russians, especially in the Andreevka area where bodies are piling up
Ukrainian Losses
Ukrainian losses were lower, with the possible exception of a counter-battery radar taken out by a Russian Lancet drone (though it may have been a decoy). Most other losses were logistical.
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Situation in Andreevka
- Russians are losing territory and many men in the battles for Andreevka
- The area is nicknamed "Stinky" by Ukrainians due to the smell of rotting Russian corpses
- Russian 72nd and 31st Brigades have lost high-ranking commanders and officers
Russian Equipment Losses
- A Ka-52 attack helicopter was spotted damaged in Kerch, Crimea, likely from an emergency landing due to combat damage or technical failure
- The helicopter will be extremely difficult to repair
Fires in Russia
- Another significant fire occurred in the industrial zone of Uralsk, Russia where polymer materials are burning
- In Belgorod, someone set a large "Z" sign on fire, showing dissent within Russia
Overnight Strikes
- Russia launched a large drone and missile attack overnight
- 18 out of 24 Shahed drones were destroyed, with 6 getting through
- All 17 cruise missiles were shot down
- The recreational infrastructure of Vylkove in Odesa region was hit
Crimea Strikes
- Explosions occurred in the Sevastopol area of occupied Crimea, possibly targeting a marine radio-technical unit and radar station
- To preserve ships, Russia has begun dispersing and hiding them away from Crimea
- The strikes aim to exhaust Russian air defenses, disable military transport/bombers, and damage production facilities
Interview with Kyrylo Budanov
In an interview with The Economist, the head of Ukraine's Defense Intelligence, Kyrylo Budanov, shared insights:
- The slow pace of Ukraine's advance is due to a dug-in and well-prepared enemy
- Russia's strategic reserves are depleted and they are prematurely deploying understrength units
- Russia's economy will hold out until 2025 and their flow of weapons will dry up by 2026
- Ukraine is ramping up domestic arms production, especially drones and long-range missiles
- Drone strikes into Russia aim to exhaust air defenses, disable military assets, damage production, and sow psychological disquiet
Zelensky Interview
In a 60 Minutes interview, President Zelensky emphasized:
- Ukraine must liberate as much territory as possible before the muddy season, even if gains are small
- Ukraine has the moral right to strike Russian territory in response to missile attacks
- The drone strikes send a message that Russia's skies are not as protected as they think
- Ukraine has a plan to break the Russian line of defense and will strike hard when ready
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and promises to return with part two of the news update soon.
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