US Politics Election Extra: Harris - Trump Showdown Update
Table of Contents 📖
“You know, it's interesting, Nobody really knows her last name, if you ask people. Yeah, it's Harris. What are you talking about? This is borderline overt racism.”
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-01:07⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to a late-night US election special video. He's had a few drinks so apologies if he doesn't make any sense! He explains that the main thing to remember is that both the Democrats and Republicans need to do two things: mobilise their electorate and attract swing voters. The Democrats have more registered voters than Republicans, but he believes that they need to do a good job on both of those things to win.
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The Democratic Strategy
🎦 01:07-03:32⏩
Jonathan explains how the Democrats need to get those who voted for Biden in 2020 to vote again. He believes that Biden's age and the direction of things were not enthusing voters in 2020. However, the economy is doing well, so the Democrats need to focus on that and make sure their base is energised to vote for Biden.
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The Rise of the Harris-Waltz Ticket
🎦 03:32-05:38⏩
Jonathan explains that Trump was initially thought to be a shoo-in to win the election, but there has been a surge of enthusiasm for the Harris-Waltz ticket. This has led to Democrats being more enthused to vote for them. He says that the Harris-Waltz ticket is attracting those who are on the fence and even some Republicans.
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The Republican Strategy
🎦 05:38-07:22⏩
Jonathan explains that the Republicans need to get their base motivated to vote for them, but they are struggling to do this. He believes that their policies are divisive and are alienating certain demographics. He mentions Tim Pool, Joe Rogan and Nick Fuentes as supporters of RFK Jr. who may not be voting for Trump.
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Republican Attacks on Tim Walz
🎦 07:22-09:31⏩
Jonathan discusses the Republicans' attacks on Tim Walz's military service. He says that they are trying to portray him as having stolen valor. However, Jonathan believes that this is an incorrect accusation and that Tim Walz served over his allotted years. He cites Adam Kinzinger, a former Republican and veteran, who agrees with Jonathan and calls the attacks on Walz "sick, inaccurate and will fail".
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Jonathan's Rant on Stolen Valor
🎦 09:31-12:37⏩
Jonathan rants about the attacks on Tim Walz and how it is now acceptable to scrutinise military records for any mistakes or inconsistencies. He is furious about this and believes that it will discourage people from running for office if they have served in the military. He gives a detailed explanation of how military retirement works and points out that Tim Walz served 24 years in the military, four years after his retirement eligibility. Jonathan also points out that Tim Walz did not abandon his unit and that the accusations against him are complete bullshit. He feels that the attack is unfair and would be equally furious if it were levelled at J.D. Vance.
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Trump's "Bonespurs" and Personal Vietnam
🎦 12:37-13:51⏩
Jonathan points out the hypocrisy of the Republicans' attack on Tim Walz, as Trump himself evaded the Vietnam War by claiming to have "bonespurs". Jonathan finds it hilarious that Trump's own "personal Vietnam" was avoiding STDs. Jonathan feels that this is a great example of hypocrisy.
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Tim Walz's Campaign
🎦 13:51-14:34⏩
Jonathan discusses Tim Walz's campaign speeches, which he believes are being well-received by audiences. He mentions that Walz had never done teleprompter speeches before and that he appears to be hitting the ground running.
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Tim Walz's IVF Children
🎦 14:34-17:10⏩
Jonathan discusses Tim Walz's stance on IVF, pointing out that he has openly spoken about having IVF children. He believes that this is a great example of how Walz can connect with voters on personal issues. He contrasts Walz's stance with the Republicans' stance on IVF, which he believes is based on a pseudo-religious argument that IVF is murder. He is critical of the Republicans' stance on IVF, arguing that it is divisive and will not attract those in the centre. He points out that Tim Walz's parody account on Twitter is really good and effectively lampoons Trump by highlighting Trump's own questionable actions.
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Disinformation in the US Election
🎦 17:10-17:54⏩
Jonathan talks about how disinformation is a real problem in the US election. He mentions that Republicans and Republican-leaning independents are responsible for the decline in the perceived importance of childhood vaccinations. He also mentions that a friend of his who works for the UN is dealing with medical disinformation in Africa, where people are literally dying because they are not believing in the efficacy of vaccinations.
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Elon Musk and Disinformation on X (Twitter)
🎦 17:54-21:20⏩
Jonathan discusses Elon Musk's involvement in spreading disinformation on X (formerly Twitter). He points out that a new analysis has shown that Elon Musk's misleading election claims have accrued 1.2 billion views on X. He also discusses how Elon Musk is involved in a massive spat with the UK government over the spreading of disinformation that has led to protests and violence.
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Disinformation about the Southport Stabbing
🎦 21:20-23:31⏩
Jonathan discusses the disinformation that has been spread about the Southport stabbing, which was initially attributed to an ISIS-linked illegal immigrant. He explains that the perpetrator was actually a 17-year-old kid of Rwandan descent who was born in Wales and of a Christian family. He believes that this disinformation has led to protests and violence.
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Elon Musk's Response to the UK Government
🎦 23:31-25:22⏩
Jonathan discusses Elon Musk's response to the UK government's investigation into the spreading of disinformation. He says that Elon Musk is using his platform to spread his own dubious views and that he is claiming there will be civil war in the UK. He believes that Elon Musk's actions are extremely problematic.
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Freedom of Speech and Disinformation
🎦 25:22-27:38⏩
Jonathan discusses the debate around freedom of speech and disinformation. He points out that Elon Musk's statement about the importance of freedom of speech is misleading, as all free societies limit speech to varying degrees. He believes that Elon Musk's actions of amplifying disinformation are extremely problematic, as he is responsible for spreading dangerous falsehoods that cause harm to society.
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Elon Musk's "Just Asking Questions" Approach
🎦 27:38-28:33⏩
Jonathan discusses Elon Musk's use of "just asking questions" as a way of spreading disinformation. He believes that this approach is disingenuous and insidious, as it allows him to spread misinformation without taking responsibility for it. He compares this approach to what Tucker Carlson used to do on Fox News.
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The Disinformation Campaign against Tim Walz
🎦 28:33-30:13⏩
Jonathan discusses the disinformation campaign against Tim Walz. He cites a tweet that falsely accuses Walz of removing anti-pedophile language from a human rights act. He says that community notes on X are correcting this disinformation, but that the damage is already done, as disinformation spreads six times quicker than the truth.
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Stephen Miller's Disinformation
🎦 30:13-32:07⏩
Jonathan discusses Stephen Miller's disinformation campaign against Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. He says that Miller is spreading outrageous lies, such as the claim that Biden and Harris are the number one traffickers of children into sex slavery on planet Earth. He is critical of Miller's rhetoric and believes that it is extremely harmful. He believes that Miller is more outraged about the alleged double standard in the justice system than about the people who stormed the Capitol. Jonathan believes that this is just absolutely insane.
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The Disinformation Campaign against Kamala Harris
🎦 32:07-33:50⏩
Jonathan discusses the disinformation campaign against Kamala Harris. He mentions that conservatives are creating fake Craigslist posts pretending that Harris is paying people to attend her rallies. He believes that this is a ridiculous claim and that it is clear that Harris's rallies are not being staged. He also discusses the disinformation campaign around J.D. Vance and the "couch intimacy" claim. He says that this claim was itself disinformation and that it is now being used by Republicans to spread further disinformation about Tim Walz.
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Donald Trump Jr.'s Disinformation
🎦 33:50-33:58⏩
Jonathan discusses Donald Trump Jr.'s involvement in spreading disinformation. He mentions that Trump Jr. is spreading a false rumour about Tim Walz and a "gerbil thing". He believes that this is a pathetic attempt to smear Walz.
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The Disinformation Campaign around Trump's Helicopter Ride
🎦 33:58-35:09⏩
Jonathan discusses the disinformation campaign around Donald Trump's claim that he was in a near-death experience in a helicopter ride with Willie Brown. He says that the New York Times has called out this claim as complete disinformation. He also mentions that Trump has a history of spreading disinformation about his military service. Jonathan is critical of Trump's hypocrisy in this regard, as he is known to exaggerate his own military service while attacking others' service.
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The Democratic Advantage in the Economy
🎦 35:09-36:45⏩
Jonathan discusses the Democratic advantage in the economy. He says that the Democrats should be able to campaign on a strong economy, but that many people are not aware of this. He believes that the perception is lagging behind reality. He also says that the Republicans are going to be campaigning on the economy, but that they might have a harder time doing so.
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Donald Trump's Attacks on Kamala Harris
🎦 36:45-38:33⏩
Jonathan discusses Donald Trump's attacks on Kamala Harris. He plays a clip of Trump calling Harris an "effing bitch" and making other insulting comments about her. He believes that Trump's comments are unbecoming of someone running for president. He also points out that Trump's attacks on Harris are hypocritical, as he is a convicted felon who has been found liable for sexual assault. Jonathan feels that Trump is throwing away the campaign and that he should be focused on the battleground states instead of Montana.
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Trump's Decision to Stop Campaigning
🎦 38:33-39:11⏩
Jonathan discusses Trump's decision to stop campaigning for the next two weeks. He believes that this is a sign that Trump is losing the campaign. He also discusses the possibility that Trump will claim that the election was stolen if he loses.
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Charlie Kirk's Divisive Rhetoric
🎦 39:11-40:14⏩
Jonathan discusses Charlie Kirk's divisive rhetoric, which he believes is harmful to the Republican Party. He says that Kirk is making outrageous claims about birth control, such as the claim that it screws up female brains. He is critical of Kirk's rhetoric and believes that it is not going to win elections. He believes that the Republicans need to be focusing on attracting voters from the centre instead of alienating them with divisive rhetoric.
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Kamala Harris-Tim Walz Rally in Nevada
🎦 40:14-42:12⏩
Jonathan discusses the Kamala Harris-Tim Walz rally in Nevada. He shows footage of the rally, which is packed with enthusiastic supporters. He believes that this is a sign that the Democrats are doing well in the campaign. He contrasts this with Donald Trump's rally, which was poorly attended and lacked enthusiasm.
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Trump's Empty Rally in Montana
🎦 42:12-44:45⏩
Jonathan shows footage of Donald Trump's rally in Montana, which is poorly attended. He contrasts this with the packed rallies of the Harris-Waltz ticket. He believes that this is a sign that Trump is losing the campaign. He also mentions that Trump is struggling to energise his base and that his rambling speeches are not resonating with voters. He also mentions that Trump owes the airport in Bozeman $12,000 from the 2020 election.
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Trump's Lack of Focus on Joe Biden
🎦 44:45-46:04⏩
Jonathan discusses Trump's lack of focus on Joe Biden. He believes that Trump is wasting his time attacking Biden and that he should be focusing on attracting voters from the centre. He believes that Trump is not doing a good job of campaigning and that he is giving Harris the victory.
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Trump's Disinformation about Kamala Harris's Surname
🎦 46:04-46:51⏩
Jonathan discusses Trump's disinformation about Kamala Harris's surname. He plays a clip of Trump saying that nobody knows Harris's last name. He believes that this is borderline overt racism. He feels that Trump is trying to distract from the fact that he is struggling to win the election.
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Trump's Attacks on Suburban Women
🎦 46:51-48:01⏩
Jonathan discusses Trump's attacks on suburban women. He plays a clip of Trump saying that he does not think suburban women like Harris and that he is going to keep criminals out of their neighborhoods. He believes that this is a divisive tactic that will not win him elections. He feels that Trump is alienating voters by making these kinds of comments.
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Trump's Admission About Ignoring Press Questions
🎦 48:01-48:31⏩
Jonathan discusses Trump's admission that he used to ignore press questions by pretending he couldn't hear them because the helicopter rotor blades were too noisy. He believes that this is an interesting admission of Trump's dishonesty and his aversion to answering tough questions. He feels that this is another example of Trump's hypocrisy.
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Trump's Fatigue and Lack of Enthusiasm
🎦 48:31-49:52⏩
Jonathan discusses the growing sense of "Trump fatigue" amongst voters. He shows footage of Trump's rally in Montana, which is not well-attended and lacks the same level of enthusiasm that was seen at the Harris-Waltz rallies. He believes that this is a sign that Trump is losing the campaign. He also believes that the Harris-Waltz ticket is doing a much better job of engaging and inspiring voters.
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Trump's Admission About Mexico and the Wall
🎦 49:52-50:51⏩
Jonathan discusses Trump's admission that he didn't get anything achieved with Mexico regarding the funding for the wall. He plays a clip of Trump saying that there was no legal mechanism for Mexico to pay for the wall. He believes that this is an admission that Trump was lying about Mexico paying for the wall and that he is now blaming Mexico for his failure to deliver on his promise. He believes that Trump is being rightfully criticised for making promises he could not keep.
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Tim Walz's Effective Campaign Speeches
🎦 50:51-51:50⏩
Jonathan discusses Tim Walz's effective campaign speeches. He shows footage of Walz's rallies, which are packed with enthusiastic supporters. He believes that Walz is doing a much better job of connecting with voters than Trump. He contrasts Walz's rallies with Trump's poorly attended rallies.
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Trump's Obsession with Crowd Sizes
🎦 51:50-53:12⏩
Jonathan discusses Trump's obsession with crowd sizes. He reminds viewers of Trump's constant comparisons of his inauguration crowd to Obama's. He also mentions Trump's bizarre claim that there were more people at the January 6th insurrection than at Martin Luther King's "I Have a Dream" speech. He believes that Trump cares deeply about crowd sizes and that he is using this as a way of measuring his own success. He also points out that the Harris-Waltz ticket is playing on this obsession by holding packed rallies.
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Congresswoman Titus's Attacks on J.D. Vance
🎦 53:12-54:20⏩
Jonathan discusses Congresswoman Titus's attacks on J.D. Vance. He says that Titus is playing on the "couch intimacy" claim that has been circulating about Vance. He also says that Titus is using this as an opportunity to attack Vance for his anti-cat stance. He believes that the Democrats are having a lot of success with these kinds of attacks on Vance and that it is playing well with voters.
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Kamala Harris's Response to the "Lock Him Up" Chants
🎦 54:20-54:59⏩
Jonathan discusses Kamala Harris's response to the "Lock Him Up" chants directed at Trump. He plays a clip of Harris saying that they will rely on the courts to sort that out and that they are going to beat Trump in the election. He believes that this is a great response to the chants and that it shows Harris's strength and confidence.
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Kamala Harris's Policy Proposals
🎦 54:59-56:03⏩
Jonathan discusses Kamala Harris's policy proposals. He mentions that Harris has proposed raising the minimum wage and eliminating taxes on tips for service and hospitality workers. He says that Trump has publicly come out and claimed that this was his idea. Jonathan believes that it is a common tactic in politics for one side to take on the policies of the other. He is not sure that this is a case of the Democrats stealing from Trump.
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Parody of the American Voter
🎦 56:03-56:53⏩
Jonathan discusses the parody of the American voter, which is embodied in Borat, a British comedian who went around America pretending to be from Kazakhstan. He says that Borat was able to get people to admit embarrassing things on camera. Jonathan also mentions Vivek Ramaswamy, who he believes is a parody of the kind of American voter that Trump appeals to.
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The Harris-Waltz Lead in the Polls
🎦 56:53-58:52⏩
Jonathan discusses the Harris-Waltz lead in the polls. He says that the New York Times Siena Swing State Poll shows Harris with a combined lead of five points in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and two points in Pennsylvania. He also says that the Guardian has reported on a new poll that shows Harris four points ahead of Trump in three key swing states. He believes that these polls are a sign that the Democrats are doing well in the campaign. He also mentions that Harris has opened up a 6% national lead over Trump on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market.
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Jesse Ventura's Endorsement of Harris-Waltz
🎦 58:52-01:00⏩
:03
Jonathan discusses Jesse Ventura's endorsement of the Harris-Waltz ticket. He says that Ventura is a lifelong Republican, but that he is supporting Harris because he wants to see the first woman president of the United States. He believes that this is a significant endorsement for Harris.
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Joe Rogan's Endorsement of RFK Jr
🎦 01:00:03-01:00⏩
:24⏩
Jonathan discusses Joe Rogan's endorsement of RFK Jr. He says that this is incredibly important because Rogan has the biggest podcast in the world. He also mentions that Tim Pool, a prominent conservative vlogger, copied Rogan and initially endorsed RFK Jr., but then went back on his decision after being put under pressure. Jonathan compares this to Kyle Rittenhouse, who was found not guilty of murder and became a gun rights activist, but then went back on his support of Trump after being hammered by his own supporters.
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The Leakage of Support from Republicans to Democrats
🎦 01:00:24-01:00⏩
:53⏩
Jonathan discusses the leakage of support from Republicans to Democrats. He mentions that Nick Fuentes, a white supremacist, is not voting for Trump. He also mentions that Olivia Troy, a former advisor to Vice President Mike Pence, is now with Republicans for Harris. He believes that this leakage of support is a significant reflection of what is going on in the election. He also mentions that Carrie Lake, a Republican candidate in Arizona, is doing poorly in the polls.
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Republicans for Harris
🎦 01:00:53-01:01⏩
:39⏩
Jonathan discusses the Republicans for Harris movement. He says that there are a lot of Republicans who are not supporting Trump and that they are forming groups to support Harris. He also mentions the Bulwark podcast, which is a popular source for conservative commentary that is critical of Trump.
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Olivia Troy's Reasons for Supporting Harris
🎦 01:01:39-01:01⏩
:57⏩
Jonathan discusses Olivia Troy's reasons for supporting Harris. He says that Troy is a lifelong Republican, but that she believes the Republican Party has become too extreme. She is supporting Harris because she believes that Harris is a strong leader who will stand with international allies and provide true leadership to the world. Jonathan agrees with Troy's assessment of the Republican Party and Harris's foreign policy stance. He believes that this is a sign that the Democrats are doing a good job of attracting moderate Republicans.
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Trump's Denial of the Polls
🎦 01:01:57-01:02⏩
:26⏩
Jonathan discusses Trump's denial of the polls. He says that Trump is in denial about the reality of the polls and that he is claiming that Harris is being hammered in the polls. Jonathan believes that Trump is either lying or that he is only looking at internal Republican polling. He compares this to Putin living in an information bubble in Russia. He questions whether Trump is actually believing the nonsense that is being fed to him.
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Major Donations to the Harris Campaign
🎦 01:02:26-01:02⏩
:54⏩
Jonathan discusses the major donations to the Harris campaign. He mentions that Simone Biles, a four-time gold medal-winning Olympian, has donated $4 million to the Harris campaign. He also mentions that Taylor Swift may have donated to the Harris campaign. He says that the Democrats have raised $500 million in three weeks since Harris announced her candidacy. Jonathan believes that this is an incredible statistic and that it gives the Democrats a greater chance of winning the election.
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Kamala Harris's Appeal to Young People
🎦 01:02:54-01:03⏩
:03⏩
Jonathan discusses Kamala Harris's appeal to young people. He shows footage of Harris interacting with a young girl at a rally. He says that Harris is able to connect with young people in a way that Trump cannot. He believes that Harris has a much broader appeal across different sectors of society than Trump.
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Harris-Waltz Odds-On to Win
🎦 01:03:03-01:03⏩
:13⏩
Jonathan concludes by saying that he believes Harris-Waltz are odds-on to win the election. He says that the polls are surging in Harris's favour and that she has a lot of money to pump into advertising. He also says that the Democrats have a lot of momentum and that it is now Harris's to lose. He believes that the Harris-Waltz ticket has a very real chance of winning and that it is going to be a close race.
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Wrap up
🎦 01:03:13-01:08⏩
:06⏩
Jonathan signs off by asking viewers to let him know if they think otherwise and why they think otherwise. He says that he really thinks this is now in the hands of the Harris-Waltz campaign and that 90 days is a long time. He reminds viewers to consider "October surprises" but believes that the surge in Harris's support is very real and organic. He says that the Democrats have $500 million to pump into advertising, and if they don't make a misstep and can bat off the criticisms of the Walz "stolen valor" claims, then he thinks they are looking pretty good at the moment.
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