Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
Topic ID | Topic Title | Timestamp |
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"Today is day 17 of Ukraine's offensive. In the first Gulf War, it took 1,700-plus U.S. Air Force and Coalition fighter and bomber aircraft 37 days to attrit Iraq's military enough to trigger the ground campaign. Ukraine has zeroed that air power."
Hello Team!
Jonathan has migrated to using Microsoft Edge for his mapping as it uses less computing power and RAM, making the maps move more smoothly. He asks for feedback on how it looks.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Prigozhin's Latest Criticism
Prigozhin has come out with another 3-4 minute tirade against the Russian MOD and military complex:
- Claims no one has destroyed 60 Leopard tanks
- Says the Russian army is retreating in Zaporizhzhia
- States what the Russian MOD is saying is "total nonsense"
Jonathan notes that while Prigozhin is a "terrible human being", he is speaking some truth in his criticism of the Russians. More details will be shared in the upcoming "Extra" video.
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Northeastern Front Update
- Russians are advancing towards Holobivka and Sinkivka near Kupyansk
- Russians claim to have repelled Ukrainian reconnaissance/sabotage groups near Sinkivka and Novoselivsk
- Heavy fighting reported northwest of Kreminna and in the nearby forest
- Russians claim to have repelled 5 Ukrainian attacks near Kuzmivka
- Ukrainians attacking near Bilohorivka, achieving partial success
- Fighting is heavy near Serebryansk, Horos and Hryvka
Air Power and Ukrainian Offensive
Jonathan shares a quote from Thomas Theiner comparing the current Ukrainian offensive to the Gulf War, highlighting that Ukraine lacks the air power the Coalition had then. This means Ukraine has to rely on artillery, drones and loitering munitions to attrit Russian forces before advancing, which takes much longer. Jonathan emphasizes this is important context for evaluating the progress and speed of Ukraine's offensive.
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Bakhmut Area Update
- Ukrainian gains reported north of Bakhmut and around Klishchiivka based on updated mapping
- Heavy fighting continues in Bohdanivka and west of Berkhivka reservoir
- Ukrainians advancing closer to Bakhmut from the west and southwest
- Russians struggling to make gains south of Bakhmut due to lack of reserve troops to rotate in
- Intensity of fighting has decreased as Russian forces operate more cautiously after seeing Wagner's degradation
Avdiivka and Western Donetsk Update
- Russians made limited gains south of Avdiivka while Ukrainians advanced between Krasnohorivka and Pervomaiske
- Ukrainians took over a key position near Marinka that Russia held since 2015
- Intense fighting reported around Avdiivka and Marinka overall
- Ukrainians repelled Russian attack near Vuhledar
Southern Donetsk/Zaporizhzhia Update
- Ukrainians made advances of up to 8km in some areas compared to May 30 lines
- Heavy fighting around Rivnopil with the settlement at major risk for Russians
- Attacks and counterattacks reported near Velyka Novosilka and Makarivka
- Unconfirmed claims Ukrainians broke through first line of Russian trenches near Robotyne
- Geolocated footage shows Ukrainians hitting Russian trenches near Zherebyanky with drones as they slowly advance
Wrap Up
Jonathan notes the Ukrainian offensive is progressing slowly but steadily, with a sense they are getting closer to a potential breakthrough. How fast they can advance after that remains to be seen. He also mentions unconfirmed reports of Ukrainian raids and a foothold across the Dnipro river near Kherson.
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