Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
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"It does look like there is a change in momentum, possibly. Well, almost certainly the Ukrainians are pushing back."
Hello Team!
Jonathan discusses the Institute for the Study of War's (ISW) report on Prigozhin mocking Putin and questioning his judgment. Prigozhin referred to a "happy grandfather figure" who "thinks that he is good" and rhetorically asked what Russia should do if the grandfather turns out to be a "complete asshole". This escalating criticism may erode the norm in Putin's system where individuals cannot directly criticise Putin.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast Sector (Kupiansk to Svatove to Kreminna)
- Claims of Ukrainian activity and territorial gains near Vilshana and Pershe Travneve, but not reflected in ISW report
- ISW mentions unsuccessful Russian operations in Mazyutivka, Stelmakhivka, and Bilohorivka
- Rebar claims Ukrainians deployed additional forces to Dvorichna for defensive purposes
Bakhmut
- Minimal changes inside Bakhmut; Russians made small advances around the Olympic school and post office
- Ukrainians launched a counterattack and recaptured a significant area west of the water channel in the southwest
- Prigozhin and Russian sources claimed Ukrainian HIMARS strikes on Wagner-operated prison facility near Bakhmut
- Cherevaty reported only 8 clashes in Bakhmut area, suggesting recent claims of intensified Wagner operations are not reflective of sustained effort
- Ukrainian forces conducted successful counterattack southwest of Bakhmut, decimating Russian troops and pushing them back across the Sversky Donets Canal
- Prigozhin angry at 72nd Brigade for retreating, allowing Ukrainians to take 3 sq km where 500 Wagner troops died; ammunition shortages also an issue
- Possible Ukrainian counter-offensive coming, either flanking to force Russian withdrawal or directly pushing them out of Bakhmut
Avdiivka Sector and Donetsk
- Settled down around Avdiivka; unsuccessful Russian attacks around Pervomaiske, Avdiivka and Marinka
- Ukrainians made marginal gains in counterattack southwest of Avdiivka and north of Vodyane
- Ukrainians conducted successful limited counterattack near Novodonetsk, making marginal advances
Zaporizhzhia and Kherson
- Russian forces targeted Ukrainian positions west of Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia and in Kherson Oblast
- Footage of Russian Fab-500 glide bombs causing significant damage in Bereslav, Kherson Oblast
- Russian aviation active along Dnipro River, striking targets; Ukrainians attempting to take out Russian artillery with counter-battery fire
Wrap up
Jonathan notes the Ukrainians have made some territorial gains in a few places like Vilshana, south of Bakhmut, and on the edge of Donetsk Oblast. He anticipates mapping to be challenging over the next month during the expected Ukrainian counter-offensive. Thanks for watching, please like, subscribe, and share.
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