Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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Table of Contents 📖
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"40% of the entire front line, the large part of the entire front line, even down to Kherson and whatnot, is concentrated in this area. And that is devastating for this area, but also is a huge drain on logistics, obviously."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the war in Ukraine for December 30, 2022. He reviews the latest Ukrainian release figures on Russian losses, which include:
- 690 liquidated personnel
- 8 tanks
- 12 APCs
- 6 artillery systems
- 23 UAVs
📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Overnight News
- Another person has fallen out a window in Russia - the general designer of the new Angara launch vehicles, Vladimir Nesterov, has died
- A big fire broke out near the Rostov-Glavnich railway station in Russia, burning over 100 square meters. Locals reported it could be related to military equipment.
- Ukraine's Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba says Ukraine will receive ATACMs missiles with a range of up to 300km next year, but this depends on the battlefield situation and is not a definite agreement yet
- The Biden administration is apparently working on a deal to provide Bradley Fighting Vehicles to Ukraine, which could be more useful than providing Abrams tanks due to logistics and maintenance requirements
- Overnight, the AFU hit occupied Alchevsk with HIMARS, targeting a military base hosting Russian soldiers
Frontline Update
- The Ukrainian GUR intelligence chief stated that fighting in Ukraine is currently in a deadlock, with both sides lacking resources to move forward. He stressed Ukraine is awaiting new weapon supplies.
- This is consistent with the ISW assessment that the Russian offensive around Bakhmut may be culminating.
- However, the ISW noted indicators that Russian forces may be preparing for a decisive effort, likely defensive in nature, in Luhansk oblast. So the deadlock is not necessarily across the entire front.
Specific frontline updates:
- Kupyansk direction:
- Fighting continues around Dvorichna and on the western outskirts of Tavolzhanka
- Ukrainians may have pushed Russians out of Dvorichna but it remains contested
- Russians shelled Vilshana and Pershe Travnya
- Svatove-Kreminna direction:
- Deputy Chief Hromov confirmed the AFU advanced 2.5km in the Kreminna area, likely the advance south of Kreminna and Dibrova previously reported
- The AFU repelled an attack on Chervonopopivka
- Russian forces are retreating behind the Krasna River
- Fierce fighting continues around Kreminna with the Russians transferring more equipment and personnel, including Wagner forces, to the area
- The ISW assesses the Russians are preparing for a decisive effort in Luhansk oblast, but it's unclear if it will be offensive or defensive in nature
- Bakhmut direction:
- Northeast of Bakhmut, Russia made small gains near the Stupky railway station but further advance was stopped
- South of Klishchiivka, Russia retreated after being pinned down by artillery
- The AFU repelled attacks around Soledar, Bakhmutske, Pidhorodne, Bakhmut, Klishchiivka, and Kurdyumivka
- Pro-Russian sources claim progress around Pidhorodne, allegedly taking two trenches
- The ISW believes the Russian offensive on Bakhmut is likely culminating due to degraded personnel and equipment
- Russian forces are concentrating 40% of their artillery fire along the Kupyansk to Marinka front on Bakhmut, while deliberately reducing fire in Kherson and Zaporizhia to prioritize Bakhmut
- Donetsk City direction:
- In Marinka, Russia concentrated extra forces to push north and control the road to Krasnohorivka, which remains under AFU control
- In Avdiivka, small positional battles continue with the usual daily artillery exchanges
- Zaporizhia direction:
- No major changes beyond normal shelling
- Ukraine continues to systematically target Russian logistics and command centers in rear areas like Tokmak, Polohy, Berdyansk with GMLRS strikes
- Even though Russia has tried to adapt to HIMARS, the geography near the Azov sea limits how far back they can move equipment and still support the frontline, leaving them vulnerable
Wrap Up
Jonathan encourages viewers to:
- Join his live session on his A Tippling Philosopher channel about philosophy, history and geekery
- Tune in next week for a live discussion with Dr. Darren Girders, a conservative Christian, on how they can agree about Ukraine despite disagreeing on most other topics
He thanks his channel members for their support and asks viewers to like, subscribe and share the video.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
The transcript was clear and I did not have any issues understanding the content or extracting the key points for the summary.
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