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Ukraine War Update EXTRA: Proxy War

Extra Saturday, 11th February 2023, 21:56
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"I really strongly believe that, as according to this definition, this war is a proxy war. But I don't think it really matters whether you call it a proxy war or whatever. Whatever word you call it, I mean, we are doing those things, right?"

Hello Team!

Jonathan introduces the video as a Ukraine War Update Extra, providing nuggets and tidbits for a greater understanding of the conflict. He mentions he's been doing some DIY and has painted hands.

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Is the Ukraine war a proxy war?

  • Jonathan believes the Ukraine war qualifies as a proxy war based on the definition that it involves parties acting on behalf of other parties not directly involved. The West is providing funding, military training, arms and material assistance to Ukraine.
  • He cites a Washington Post article confirming US provides real-time intelligence to Ukraine for targeting HIMARS.
  • Jonathan argues that short of putting troops on the frontline, the West is doing everything else so it could be considered a war with Russia in all but name.
  • However, he acknowledges it doesn't really matter what it's called as the West is doing these things regardless. He welcomes respectful disagreement and debate in the comments.


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The importance of mines in slowing offensives

  • Mines are laid all over the front and rear lines by both sides which will significantly slow any offensives.
  • Hitting even one mine can stop a whole convoy in its tracks while sappers clear a route. Decoy mines can create fear and paranoia.
  • Jonathan believes mines are a key factor in the slow progress of the new Russian offensive. Thunder runs like in the Kharkiv counteroffensive will not be possible again.
  • Mines will also impact the speed of future Ukrainian counteroffensives. It will be slow going.


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Russia using religion for recruitment

  • Russia is using religion to generate sympathy and recruit people for the war effort. A message on a wall calls for believers to join the "Russian Holy Army" to fight Satan and be saved by Jesus.
  • Jonathan compares this to praying for your own football team to win and says there's no more evidence God backs Russia than Ukraine.
  • He discusses how Putin has used the Russian Orthodox Church over the past decade to stoke culture wars and generate fervent nationalism in Russia as a contrast to Western liberalism.


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Thoughts on military propaganda videos

  • Jonathan pokes fun at a North Korean propaganda video showing soldiers doing stunts like hitting trees, covering themselves in snow, punching and doing press-ups.
  • He says if the British Army put out a video like that, people would laugh as it comes across as false bravado and overcompensation.
  • Jonathan contrasts this with current British Army ads focusing on humanitarian aid and decision-making rather than physical strength and war-fighting.
  • He wonders if this different approach to recruitment will lead to a weaker British Army in future but acknowledges it's an unknown.


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Equipment maintenance issues

  • A photo shows a Russian Susanna self-propelled howitzer with its barrel blown off, likely from overuse or poor maintenance.
  • Fixing it will require sending it back to another country at great time and expense.
  • Jonathan notes the difficulty in balancing current needs to fire as much as possible versus having working equipment in the future. It's a tricky logistical challenge.


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Wrap up

Jonathan wraps up this first part of the extra update and invites viewers to comment if they agree or disagree with his takes, acknowledging he's no military expert. He requests likes, subscribes and shares to help the channel. In part 2, he will discuss what Russia has got wrong and right in the war.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

The transcript was clear and I understood all the topics discussed. No queries.

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Identify the main topics discussed in the video Summarize each topic, providing enough context and detail Include any sources, quotes or opinions from Jonathan Use British English spelling and grammar Format the summary using the provided XML structure Re-read the transcript to ensure all topics are covered

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