Ukraine Conflict (20231122): Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
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"The weather also plays into our hands in two ways: it prevents the Russians from arriving and because we have better equipment, we can advance more easily."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an overview of what the lines on his map mean and suggests pausing the video to review the key. He notes he doesn't have a huge number of sources for this update but will go through it nonetheless.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast Sector - Kupyansk to Svatove to Kreminna
- No changes to the map in this sector
- Russian forces continue to use "Storm Z" and "Storm V" units consisting of convict recruits and punished servicemen in the Kupyansk and other directions
- Russians are deploying reserves and regrouping in the Lyman direction in preparation for continued offensive operations
- Russian mil-bloggers claim Russians are accumulating strength and intensifying offensive operations in the Kupyansk direction
- There are hints the Russians may be building for an attack in the northeast sector
- Minor Russian gain west of Kreminna (possibly just a mapping correction)
Weather Impact
The weather is starting to change on the front lines, with rain causing mud in the trenches and snow in several areas. The situation varies in different areas of the front. In some places, the Russians have managed to stop Ukrainian advances and carry out offensive actions, while in other areas Russia continues to attack but meets strong resistance.
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Bakhmut
- No movement in the north of Bakhmut
- Some Russian gains south of Bakhmut according to pro-Ukrainian mappers
- Intense, constant fighting around Bakhmut with Russians piling in more troops
- Video montage shared by Ukrainian soldier Konstantin shows Russians getting obliterated by drone attacks
- Fighting is costly for both sides but Russians seem prepared to take losses to gain territory
Avdiivka
- Some Russian gains in one place near Avdiivka
- Varying claims about Ukrainian positions and counterattacks around Krasnohorivka and Stepove
- Russians attacking more with vehicles on asphalt roads to the southeast and with infantry on the flanks where there is soil
- Pro-Russian source Rybar claims Russian forces occupied 5 buildings in the industrial zone in a surprise attack, preventing Ukrainian reinforcements from launching a counter-attack
Southern Front - Vuhledar to Kherson
- Not much change in the Vuhledar area, some Russian probing attacks
- Minor Russian advance south of Velyka Novosilka
- Static lines around Robotyne with heavy fighting but no territorial changes
- In Kherson, Ukrainians continue to hold positions in Krynky and near the Antonivskiy Bridge
- Geolocated footage shows a Russian advance northeast of Krynky
- Ukrainian forces liberated an unnamed village on the left bank of the Dnipro that was occupied for over 1.5 years
- Ukrainian partisans actively fighting and inflicting casualties on Russians near Krynky and Oleshky
- UK intelligence says fighting around Krynky represents a setback for Russia's strategy to keep the sector quiet
Wrap Up
Jonathan notes it's the end of the frontline update without a huge amount of data. The situation seems generally more positive for the Russians than the Ukrainians, with a lot of positional fighting for Ukraine and stabilization of some areas where they previously had success like Hulivka and Kherson. He thanks viewers for watching and asks them to like, subscribe and share the video.
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