Ukraine War Update NEWS: Bumper Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
| Topic ID | Topic Title | Timestamp |
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"The US really is in a position to be able to give these Bradleys to Ukraine, given that they are suffering some losses as you would expect. Imagine how Russians would feel knowing that, oh, we've done quite well. We've taken out some vehicles and then the Americans just announced, yeah, we're going to give you another 200 or something."
Hello Team!
- Jonathan had his 5th COVID injection yesterday and is struggling a bit today
- Today's show is brought to you by the word "liberation" - freedom from limits on thoughts or behaviour
🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Ukrainian General Staff figures for Russian losses
- 470 liquidated personnel, 4 tanks, 6 APVs, 20 artillery systems (high number), 1 anti-aircraft warfare system, 1 helicopter (Ka-52 attack helicopter), 2 drones, 2 vehicles and fuel tanks
- Figures are fairly low again, similar to before this phase of the counter-offensive began
Russian Major General killed
- As a result of a missile attack on June 12th, Russian Major General Sergei Goryachev, Chief of Staff of the 35th Combined Armed Army, was killed
- This was announced by the Russians themselves
- There were reports of a missile attack on Primorsk, possibly connected
Desertions in Russian-occupied territories
- The number of desertions in the "Storm Z" assault units (mainly convict assault units) of the Russian occupying forces has increased
- About 25 Russian occupiers deserted in Mariupol and Novoazovsk due to unofficial termination of promised vacations
- Video evidence shown of Russian troops running away near Klishchivka by the Donbas Canal, crossing the canal which could be desertion into Ukrainian-held territory
Overnight missile attacks on Ukraine
- Ukrainian air defences downed 11 out of 14 Kh-101 and Kh-555 cruise missiles fired by Russian forces, and 1 out of 4 drones
- Kharkiv was hit, possibly by drones; Kryvyi Rih was badly hit with 6 people killed in residential buildings, causing significant destruction; Dnipropetrovsk and Ternopil may also have been hit
- Jonathan questions if this is "liberation" - either indiscriminate firing into residential areas or deliberately targeting emergency services is morally reprehensible
Other attacks and dangers
- Big blaze at an oil refinery in Krasnodar, Russia - officials claim a diesel processing column caught fire
- Another big fire at an industrial enterprise in St. Petersburg
- Ukraine's intelligence warns Russia is again laying explosives at the Crimean Titan plant in Armyansk, northern Crimea, risking an ammonia catastrophe
- Two anchor river mines washed ashore 100km apart in Odesa following flooding - one blown up by the military, the other taken home by a resident who thought it was a gas canister
Partisan activities
- The SSU (Security Service of Ukraine) liquidated a bot farm in Vinnytsia which created up to 500 fake accounts daily to spread Kremlin narratives
- In Melitopol, partisans blew up a diesel locomotive used by Russians to transport fuel to the front
- In Russia's Belgorod region, Russia admits two kamikaze drones attacked a freight train on Saturday evening, with 15 wagons derailed
- Railway partisans targeted Crimea's rail connection with mainland occupied Ukraine in a string of attacks from June 10-12
Military aid to Ukraine
- US providing up to $325 million more in military aid including Strykers, Bradleys, and munitions for NASAMS and HIMARS
- Discussion that US has large stocks of Bradleys (6,723) and other armoured vehicles to replace Ukrainian losses, which is demoralising for Russia
- Germany focusing on providing additional weapons and establishing repair hubs for damaged equipment
- Czechia purchased MR2 Victor vehicles (heavily armed Toyota Land Cruisers) for Ukraine
- Denmark donating $36 million of ammunition
- Japan passed law to increase military equipment production and allow exports, potentially to help Ukraine in future
- Norway donated 17 more emergency vehicles
- Ukraine's State Bureau of Investigation handed over $1 million worth of seized vehicles from Medvedchuk and Kozak's relatives to the armed forces, including trucks useful for logistics
Geopolitics
- Former Italian PM Silvio Berlusconi, a close friend of Putin, died - Jonathan suggests this benefits Ukraine by removing a prominent pro-Russian voice. Berlusconi's party is a minor coalition partner in Italy's right-wing government which has remained supportive of Ukraine
- Mondelez, maker of Oreo and Toblerone, faces growing boycotts in Nordic countries over its continued presence in Russia
- France, Germany and Poland met in Paris and promised long-term support to Ukraine while working on security guarantees. Long-term support sends a message to the Kremlin that the West is committed for the long haul
Frontline update
- Not a huge amount of change
- Claims from Kenneth Gregg (take with pinch of salt) that Ukraine using 1/3 of forces so far while Russia has used 90%, concentrated in Zaporizhzhia; Ukraine expanded in Novodarivka and Makarivka, Russian troops in Rivnopil in danger of being trapped
- General Staff claims 7 villages fully liberated and 90 sq km of territory taken, advancing up to 6.5 km deep
- Conflicting claims over control of Makarivka - pro-Russian sources claim Russia retook it, but other Russian bloggers and Ukrainian sources with geolocated footage say Ukraine still holds it
Wrap up
Jonathan hopes his words were coherent as he is struggling a bit after his COVID vaccine. He signs off wishing everyone well.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
The transcript was clear and I did not have any issues understanding the content. A couple of minor points:
I was not certain about the spelling of some place names like Novodarivka, Rivnopil, Armyansk so I used the spellings from the transcript.
The summary of aid from Japan was a little unclear if military equipment would be provided to Ukraine now or only potentially in the future.
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
Steps:
Extract video title, date and part from the YouTube title
Identify main topics in order, create subheadings
Summarize each topic, keeping context and relevant details
Include sources, opinions, analysis, reasoning from Jonathan
Use British English spellings and grammar
Add introduction and wrap-up sections
Choose a key quote
Review for any missed topics or details
