Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"I was just wondering, he says in public very loudly, I don't fully understand where this is coming from, the pro-Russian position. Have you ever seen people from the United States move to Russia? Have you ever seen people from Europe wanting to emigrate to Russia? Have you ever seen them get out of European cars and get into Soviet Union cars?"
Hello Team!
Jonathan apologises if he doesn't make sense as he's had little sleep due to his twin 12-year-old boys having a sleepover with friends. He jokingly offers the twins for free to anyone who fills out an application.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- Ukrainian general staff figures for Russian losses on 07/07/2023: 630 liquidated personnel, 4 tanks, 9 APVs, 16 artillery systems, 3 MLRS, 2 anti-aircraft warfare systems, 14 drones, 16 vehicles/fuel tanks, 7 pieces of special equipment
- 16 artillery systems and 3 MLRS losses still high despite being lower than previous months
- 7 special equipment losses significant as average for whole war is under 2 per day
- Footage shows successful destruction of Russian equipment and personnel by Ukrainian Special Forces and artillery, using first-person view drones
- Attrition taking place with extended period of attrition on front lines
S-400 Complex Destroyed
- The S-400 complex reportedly used to attack Kramatorsk last week, killing 13 and wounding over 60, is said to be destroyed
- S-400 is an upgraded S-300, a high value system
- Deputy Defense Minister Hannah Malia claims Russians are losing 5.3 times as many troops as Ukrainians
- If true, represents an advantage to Ukrainians to keep doing what they're doing without committing to large offensives
Overnight Strikes and Shelling
- 5 Shahed drones shot down but some got through in Dnipropetrovsk and Kirovohrad regions
- Russians shelled Kryvyi Rih with drones, injuring a 26-year-old man and destroying warehouses at an agricultural enterprise
- Drones sighted in Voronezh, Russia heading towards an oil storage facility; Russians claim no damage from downed drone on tank roof
- Significant fire at Russian ammo depot in Luhansk 125km from front line, possibly from Storm Shadow strike
- Fires reported in several places in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, possibly from Ukrainian Grad strikes
Russia's Influence in Syria
- Russia attempting to control everything in Syria, altering Syrian composition by naturalizing Russians and granting them citizenship
- 5 Russian women falsified data to play for Syrian national team in Arab Games in Algeria
- Russia doing whatever they want in Syria with approval of "criminal" Bashar al-Assad, "Putin's spoiled child"
- Putin and Assad labeled as war criminals by Syrian critic
Zelensky Visits Snake Island
- Zelensky makes brave daylight visit to Snake Island, a "slap in the face" to Russian power
- Significant move showing strong leadership in contrast to Putin
- Many impressed by Zelensky, noting he looks more haggard after 500 days of war
- Speculation that Zelensky gets around so much he may be using a body double
Frontline Update
- Not much new information on front lines, operations have slowed down in some directions
- Ukrainian troops advanced up to 1km south of Bakhmut according to Deputy Defense Minister, but gains are in different areas, not cumulative
- Footage shows difficulty in taking over Russian trench lines due to booby traps, entire platoon can be taken out triggering them
- Cluster munitions would be useful to trigger booby traps and allow continued advancement
- Ukraine still needs certain Western weapons systems for new attacks
US Security Package
Significant $800 million package announced:
- Patriot air defense system missiles, AIM-7 missiles, Stinger anti-aircraft systems
- Additional HIMARS ammunition
- 31 155mm howitzers, 155mm artillery rounds including cluster munitions, 105mm artillery rounds
- 32 Bradley IFVs, 32 Stryker APCs (64 vehicles total)
- 31 howitzers, mine clearing equipment, TOW missiles for Bradleys
- Javelin and other anti-armor systems/rockets, precision aerial munitions, Penguin drones
- 27 tactical recovery vehicles, 10 tactical towing vehicles (more needed due to offensive losses)
- Demolition munitions and obstacle clearing systems
- Small arms and over 28 million rounds of ammunition, grenades, spare parts, field equipment
Other Military Aid
- Czechia to send Ukraine more attack helicopters, hundreds of thousands of large caliber ammunition, help train pilots on F-16s with flight simulators
- Czechia has supplied 676 pieces of heavy equipment, over 4 million ammo rounds since invasion began
- Germany's updated deliveries: 1 Biber bridge layer, 1 Dachs engineering vehicle, 6 HX81 tank transporters, 2 anti-drone sensors/jammers, 3 radio jammers
- Ukraine and Slovakia signed contract for production of 16 Zuzana 2 self-propelled howitzers
- German lawmaker Markus Faber lobbied for and saw Leopard 2 tanks at Ukrainian front, reports crews happy and grateful as tanks saved lives
- UK providing 15 rapid intervention vehicles, 2 major foam firefighting vehicles to bolster Ukraine's capability
Cluster Munitions Controversy
- Turkey sent Ukraine cluster munitions as early as Nov 2022, so Ukraine has been using them in limited amounts
- Decision made to transfer cluster munitions because Ukraine and US running out of conventional 155mm shells
- Biden calls it a difficult but temporary decision during transition period while more 155mm weapons sent
- Russia criticizes move as "gesture of desperation" but has itself used cluster munitions extensively, including on Kharkiv civilians with over 30% dud rate
- US munitions have under 2.35% dud rate, 15 times lower than Russian ones
- Ukraine pledges to use cluster munitions only on Russian military targets, not in residential areas or Russian territory, will prioritize demining after liberation
- Cluster munitions allow Ukraine to continue offensive longer than otherwise as ammunition limited
Geopolitics - Erdogan and NATO
- Zelensky visits Turkey for first time since invasion, holds negotiations with Erdogan on peace formula, NATO summit, security guarantees, grain initiative, reconstruction, defense contracts
- Erdogan tells Zelensky that Ukraine has earned the right to NATO candidacy, a "slap in the face" to Putin
- But Erdogan also closes door on Sweden's NATO bid after Quran burning incidents, saying "we do not support those who embrace terrorists"
- Stoltenberg: NATO Vilnius summit to agree on 3-part package to bring Ukraine closer to NATO with multi-year program for interoperability, upgrade political ties via NATO-Ukraine Council, reaffirm Ukraine will become member
- Zelensky visits Slovakia for defense support talks, Euro-Atlantic integration, NATO summit, energy security, Zuzana howitzer deal
Sanctions on Russian Companies
- Russian companies making Zala and Lancet drones still operate without restrictions in US and EU, only sanctioned by Ukraine and UK
- Novotor Design Bureau (makes Kalibr cruise missiles) has evaded US and UK sanctions
- Design Bureau for Special Machine Building (makes sea-based cruise and ballistic missiles) not sanctioned by EU and UK
- UK doing poorly at sanctioning Russian missile companies compared to US, EU and Ukraine
Chinese Cars in Moscow
- Chinese cars like Haval, Chery and Exceed popping up all over Moscow, bought by ride-sharing apps
- Shows concessions and deals made for China to pump products into Russia as it becomes more of a "vassal state" to China
- Jonathan: "Great decision to invade Putin. You've really strengthened your country, haven't you?"
Wrap Up
Jonathan apologizes for the news update going on a long time as usual. He appreciates viewers' support and asks them to like, subscribe and share. One of his twins has a football tournament in the afternoon. His "extra" video, recorded the day before, will be a "book club" style discussion of passages from the book "The Bomber Mafia" by Malcolm Gladwell about WW2 that have relevance to the Ukraine-Russia war. A regular extra video will be posted the following day.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
A few of the place names and equipment/weapons systems were unclear in the transcript (e.g. "Jetsint-B guns", "Pol-21 electronic warfare station", "Exceed" cars). I did my best to look up the correct spellings but some may be inaccurate.
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
Steps:
Watch the video and read through the transcript carefully
Identify the main topics covered in the video and create sections with appropriate titles
Summarize the key points for each topic, keeping the context and Jonathan's insights/opinions
Look for any profound or poignant quotes to include
Note any parts of the transcript that were unclear
Review the summary to ensure all key topics were covered and the information is accurate
Structure the summary using the provided XML tags
