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Ukraine War Update NEWS

News Friday, 6th October 2023, 10:42
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"This is unacceptable. And if you support this, you are unacceptable. And I don't really want unacceptable, morally abhorrent people hanging around my place."

Hello Team!

Jonathan provides an update on the Ukraine war for 6th October 2023. He starts with the Ukrainian General Staff figures for Russian losses which are higher than usual at 620 personnel and significant armour losses. This is likely due to heavy fighting around Robotyne and Makivka.

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Russian losses and Ukrainian attrition

The high Russian losses are a result of their aggressive counter-attacks whenever they lose ground. While this stops Ukrainian advances, it is seriously attriting Russian forces which is a metric of success for Ukraine. Footage supports the high equipment losses reported. Jonathan argues territorial gain is not as important right now as attriting Russian forces.

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Horrific Russian attacks on civilians

Jonathan is extremely angry about a series of Russian attacks on civilians. In Groza, Kharkiv, 52 people including a child were killed in a deliberate Russian missile strike on a cafe and grocery store where a wake was taking place. Many bodies were unrecognisable. In central Kharkiv, apartment buildings were hit by Iskander missiles, killing a 10-year-old boy and injuring 16 others including an 11-month-old baby. A hospital in Bereslav was also destroyed by Russian bombs, with dozens of casualties. Jonathan condemns anyone attempting to justify these war crimes and atrocities. He argues the Russians cannot be allowed to win and must be stopped from committing such evil acts.

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Overnight news and strikes

Overnight, the Russians launched 33 Shahed drones at Ukraine, with 25 shot down (a 75% interception rate). However, some got through and damaged port infrastructure and granaries on the Danube, impacting Ukraine's ability to export food to the world. The Ukrainians conducted their own drone attacks on military targets in Russia's Kursk region. Jonathan contrasts this with Russia's attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure.

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Russian artillery shell analysis

An analysis of artillery shell usage shows the Russians are now firing around 16,000 shells per day in 2023, down from 30,000 per day in 2022. Their production of 1.5 million shells in 2023 is not enough to sustain this rate of fire. Estimates suggest Russian fire will drop to just 7,000 shells per day in Q4 2023. Meanwhile, Ukraine's shell usage has increased to 8-9,000 per day. With Western production ramping up, Ukraine may soon have a significant artillery advantage, especially given the higher accuracy and quality of their shells and guns compared to Russia's.

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Wrap up

Jonathan asks viewers for their thoughts on the artillery analysis. He notes it has been a long update with a lot of him talking.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

The transcript was clear and I did not have any issues understanding the content or summarising it coherently. Some of the place names and spellings may not be 100% accurate in the transcript but the overall meaning was apparent from the context.

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Watch the video and read through the transcript Identify the main topics covered in the video in the order they appear Summarise each topic using the key points, facts and figures provided Include any relevant quotes, opinions or insights from Jonathan Use British English spellings and grammar Format using the provided XML structure including title, date, part and quote of the video Review and refine the summary

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Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos