Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"This isn't just an attack on Ukraine. It's an attack on all the recipients of that grain and they've stopped the grain deal as well."
Hello Team!
Jonathan is recording from a different location as his home is without electricity. His video output for the day is contingent on many variables.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- General staff figures for Russian losses are fairly average, with 530 liquidated personnel, 6 tanks, 6 APVs
- 19 artillery systems lost is another bad day for Russians and could degrade their defensive and offensive capabilities
- Progozhin, Wagner leader, claims 22,000 Wagner forces dead and 40,000 wounded in Bakhmut region alone, suggesting over 100,000 Russian army casualties
- Visually confirmed Russian equipment losses from Oryx are 67 vs 17 for Ukrainians, suggesting Ukrainians are not committing huge amounts of equipment to offensives and are focusing on attriting Russian forces
Strikes and Attacks
- Russian headquarters in Solidar hit, potentially by a JDAM, degrading command and control capabilities
- T-90 tank taken out by first-person view drone, which should be able to withstand that kind of munition
- Krasnohorivka mine assault by Russians with many vehicles destroyed along a single mine-cleared path, making them vulnerable to Ukrainian artillery
- Significant fire in Mariupol thought to be arson at a palace of culture, possibly a partisan attack on a Russian-occupied cultural site
Overnight Missile and Drone Attacks
- Russians launched 19 cruise missiles and 19 loitering munitions, with Ukrainian air defences destroying only 18 of 38
- Onyx and Kh-22 supersonic/hypersonic missiles are difficult for Ukraine to shoot down without Patriot or SAMP/T air defence systems
- Attacks focused on Odesa and Mykolaiv ports, damaging grain and oil terminals, loading equipment and causing fires
- Explosions also reported in occupied Crimea, possibly from Ukrainian drone attacks
Black Sea Shipping and Grain Deal
- Russia announced any ships sailing to Ukrainian ports will be considered potential military cargo carriers and flag countries will be considered involved in the conflict
- This is a horrific move, holding the world to ransom over commercial shipping to deliver grain
- Russia has also placed additional sea mines on routes to Ukraine's ports, a likely war crime as Ukraine has no navy so the mines are aimed at destroying commercial ships
- The grain deal and shipping implications will be discussed further in part 2
Wrap Up
Thank you for listening and watching. Please like, subscribe and share. Jonathan will continue the discussion in part 2 of the news update video.
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