REUPLOAD Ukraine War Update: Kursk Attack News & Analysis
Table of Contents 📖
"So the Ukrainians have two metrics here, potentially, taking land and not losing troops, right? They don't losing many troops while it's also having that land being significant in terms of logistics railroads power etc etc this might be the prime real estate for the Ukrainians to take"
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:20⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to another update and mentions he has had to re-record the video a few times.
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Zelensky's Comments on Kursk
🎦 00:20-00:51⏩
Jonathan discusses Zelensky's comments on wanting the US, UK, and France to strike deep into Kursk. He mentions the significant missile and drone attacks on Kursk, noting Russian sources are calling it one of the most powerful attacks since the war began.
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Analysis of Russian Source on Makhanovka and Sudia
🎦 00:51-03:13⏩
Jonathan analyses a Russian source claiming a Russian counterattack retook Martinovka, though he expresses doubt about its accuracy. He then discusses claims of Ukrainian forces potentially encircling Sudia, with evidence of Ukrainian presence in areas east of the town, including Magnovka. There are reports of fighting near Belia and potential Ukrainian advances from the south toward Bilitzia, as well as heavy shelling in Tetkino. Jonathan speculates that the attacks could involve elements of the Russian Defense Corps or the Russian Freedom Legion, aiming to keep the Russians on the defensive.
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Jonathan's Analysis of Ukraine's Strategy in Kursk
🎦 03:13-05:36⏩
Jonathan analyses the strategic rationale behind Ukraine's offensive in Kursk, suggesting it could be a land grab for potential future negotiations. He compares the size of the territory taken in Kursk to the heavily fortified Avdiivka front, highlighting the speed and efficiency of the Ukrainian advance in Kursk. He theorizes that Ukraine is prioritizing taking ground quickly with minimal casualties, aiming to exchange this land for territories lost in other areas.
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Further Evidence of Ukrainian Advance in Kursk
🎦 05:36-06:13⏩
Jonathan cites reports of Ukrainian forces advancing in Belovsky district, causing the evacuation of Belaya village. He highlights the presence of Ukrainian DRG units, Ukrainian flags being raised, and the removal of Russian flags as signs of Ukrainian control.
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Russian Reports and Ukrainian Battlefield Shaping
🎦 06:13-07:04⏩
Jonathan presents evidence from NOL Reports about explosions in Kursk. He points to a Russian report of missile debris hitting a residential building. He then discusses rumors of a new Ukrainian push eastward aimed at the towns of Blitzy and Belia and their railroad junctions, emphasizing their strategic importance. Jonathan notes reports of mandatory evacuations in Belya and heavy shelling in Tetkino, with Russian forces there reportedly cut off from communications.
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Analysis of Potential Ukrainian Losses and Russian Responses
🎦 07:04-08:30⏩
Jonathan analyses claims by David D regarding potential Ukrainian successes, including the downing of Russian aircraft. While acknowledging that some losses have occurred, Jonathan remains cautious about the maximal claims, suggesting some are exaggerated. He examines reports of heavy fighting and the use of MANPADS and Stingers in the region. Jonathan then discusses Russian efforts to dig new defensive lines around Kursk, particularly around the nuclear power plant, indicating Russian anxieties. He highlights the significance of engineering equipment in the conflict, mentioning Constantine's fundraising efforts for excavators that are already operational in the Kursk region.
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Further Evidence of Deep Ukrainian Incursions
🎦 08:30-09:21⏩
Jonathan discusses a video of a Russian Iskander strike on a reported Ukrainian position 25km inside Russian territory, emphasizing the depth of Ukrainian penetration. He refers to claims that Ukrainians are halfway to the strategically vital Rilsk-Kurs E-38 motorway. Additionally, Jonathan mentions a Russian Telegram channel confirming Russian struggles near Belaya and confirming the tank shelling of the hospital in the area. He notes significant FIRMS data suggesting Ukrainian efforts to shape the battlefield and eliminate key targets, including a possible air defense battery or ammunition depot.
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Jonathan's Concluding Thoughts on the Kursk Offensive
🎦 09:21-10:20⏩
Jonathan reiterates his belief that the Ukrainians are successfully shaping the battlefield in Kursk. He suggests that the capture of this territory could be used as leverage in negotiations to reclaim Ukrainian land. Jonathan analyses two potential strategic objectives for Ukraine: territorial gains and minimizing troop casualties. He argues that the offensive in Kursk might be a way to achieve both, as it allows Ukraine to capture significant territory rapidly without heavy losses.
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Wrap up
🎦 10:20-10:20⏩
Jonathan wraps up the video, apologizing for the rushed nature of the report. He says he'll be back soon.
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