Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"It's incredible that [the Russians] use that many [vehicles] when I've been saying lately that actually most attacks involve far fewer vehicles than you would expect... This looks like a really big one."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:57⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to a late-night frontline update. He apologises for being behind on mapping due to a busy schedule, noting he's only had time to update Andrew Perpetua's and Suriyat Maps' maps.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Russian Advances Near Vovchansk and Hlyboke
🎦 00:57-03:46⏩
Jonathan begins with the northern Kharkiv Oblast frontline, where Russian forces are pushing back in several areas around Vovchansk and Hlyboke. Suriyat Maps indicate Russian forces pushed Ukrainian troops out of parts of Hlyboke, including the northern warehouses. The ISW reports Russian forces are concentrating their efforts in these areas.
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Ukrainian Gains West of Starytsa
🎦 03:46-05:26⏩
Near Starytsa, Ukrainians have retaken control of a reservoir northwest of the village, according to Suriyat Maps. Jonathan clarifies this capture likely occurred between late June and early July, highlighting the difficulty of confirming territorial changes without direct evidence. He notes a discrepancy between Andrew Perpetua's and Suriyat Maps' assessments of Russian control in the area.
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Russian Progress in Kupyansk-Svatove Sector
🎦 05:26-07:39⏩
Moving to the Kupyansk-Svatove sector, Jonathan observes that Andrew Perpetua and Suriyat Maps both show Russian control over Pischane. Suriyat Maps further depicts Russian control extending westward towards the Oskil River, a concerning development for Ukraine as it could allow for further Russian advances. Jonathan emphasizes that such gains take considerable time and resources.
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Limited Changes Near Siversk and Chasiv Yar
🎦 07:39-08:33⏩
On the Siversk front, Russians made gains in Rozdolivka, confirmed by multiple sources. Jonathan highlights the lack of changes on the Chasiv Yar front, positive news for Ukraine considering the tough fighting in the region. He notes the ISW's report of increased Russian attacks north of Chasiv Yar, particularly near Hryhorivka and Bohdanivka.
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Ukrainian Losses and Russian Advances in the Turetsk Area
🎦 08:33-09:14⏩
Jonathan then focuses on the Turetsk area, where Ukrainians have been ceding territory and Russians advancing into urban areas. However, no changes are reflected in the latest updates from the two mappers. Andrew Perpetua's map shows a minor Russian gain of a couple of tree lines at the base of the bridgehead into New York.
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Concerning Developments in the Prokrovsk Region
🎦 09:14-15:08⏩
Jonathan expresses concern about the situation around Prokrovsk, where Russians are making grinding gains despite heavy equipment losses, a cost they seem willing to bear. Suriyat Maps highlights several Russian successes:
- Russians advancing in Lozove, attempting to encircle Ukrainian trenches north of Prokhorivka.
- Russian troops entering the first houses of Vovcha and capturing a trench system northwest of Yevhenivka.
- Complete Russian control of Novoselivske and Pershotravneve.
Jonathan points to a chaotic retreat by a Ukrainian infantry brigade holding Prokhorivka, attributed to poor training by Deep State. While the 47th Mechanized Brigade intervened, it couldn't hold the town due to insufficient infantry. Consequently, Ukrainian forces, particularly the 1st and 3rd Battalions of the 31st Mechanized Brigade, are at risk of encirclement north of Prokhorivka, although a withdrawal order hasn't been issued. Ukrainian journalist Yuri Butusov echoes concerns about the situation, citing Russian advances of six kilometres in a week. He criticizes poor command and control within vulnerable Ukrainian brigades and a lack of coordination with drones and electronic warfare, leading to avoidable losses. Jonathan speculates on the potential deployment of Robert Magyar's drone unit to this challenging front.
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Heavy Fighting in Novo Mykhailivka
🎦 15:08-21:03⏩
While no mapping changes are yet reflected, Jonathan discusses a significant Russian assault on Novo Mykhailivka, a town previously captured at a heavy cost. Recent reports on Twitter mention a large-scale attack involving numerous Russian armored vehicles. Ukrainian sources claim a major victory, repelling the assault and inflicting heavy losses. However, Jonathan urges caution regarding some footage circulating online, noting the lack of geolocation and the possibility of different videos being combined. He speculates this engagement will be covered in more detail in upcoming hits and losses videos.
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Southern Frontline and Nepro River Delta
🎦 21:03-21:05⏩
Jonathan briefly mentions no changes along the southern frontline or in the Nepro River Delta area.
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Wrap up
🎦 21:05-21:12⏩
Jonathan signs off, acknowledging the lateness of the hour and thanking viewers for their support.
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