Ukraine War Upd. EXTRA: Holey Sub! Poor Air Defence, RU Losses, & Poland
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Table of Contents 📖
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"If NATO went to war with Russia, Russia would be, and I've said this since the beginning of the war, since realizing the Russian army is just not what it's cracked up to be. NATO would make mincemeat of Russia within days."
Hello Team!
Jonathan introduces the video as an extra update providing additional tidbits and nuggets about the war in Ukraine.
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Damage to Russian submarine in Sevastopol
- Photos have emerged showing significant damage to the Russian Rostov-on-Don submarine that was hit in dry docks in Sevastopol
- Experts believe the submarine was struck twice, once on the bow and once on the starboard side behind the wheelhouse
- The damage likely pierced the strong hull and affected the torpedo and living compartments as well as possibly auxiliary rooms and batteries
- Repairs would require transporting the sub to St. Petersburg but are likely unprofitable; it would be easier to build a new submarine
- This submarine represents a quarter of Russia's cruise missile firing submarines in the Black Sea, so the damage is hugely significant
Poor Russian air defences
- The submarine attack demonstrates the weakness of Russian air defences, even in their most important military base
- Ukraine was able to strike in the heart of Sevastopol with just a few cruise missiles like Storm Shadow, causing major damage
- If NATO provided Ukraine with more advanced weapons in larger quantities, like Tomahawk missiles, Russia would be in serious trouble
- Russia has already escalated as much as they can short of going nuclear; their only response is to launch more cruise missiles which are increasingly getting shot down
- Jonathan argues the West should give Ukraine everything they need now, like ATACMS, to finish the war quickly while support remains high
Sevastopol's importance for ship repairs
- Sevastopol has been the primary ship repair centre for the Russian/Soviet Black Sea Fleet since the late 18th century
- After the fall of the USSR, Russia lost most of its ship repair facilities in the Black Sea except for Sevastopol
- The city's two main shipyards, the 13th Ship Repair Plant and Sevastopol Marine Plant, handle the majority of maintenance for the fleet
- Alternative locations like Novorossiysk are not well-equipped for military repairs, especially on submarines
- If Sevastopol's facilities are damaged or destroyed, it would cripple the Black Sea Fleet even without directly striking the ships
Heavy Russian losses in Andriivka
- The Russian 94th Regiment is reportedly suffering massive casualties trying to retake the recently liberated town of Andriivka
- Soldiers claim hundreds are being killed in frontal "meat assaults" without proper equipment or artillery support
- Men are being sent on obviously suicidal missions and are not allowed to retreat; barrier troops are positioned behind the front to shoot any who flee
- Commanders are allegedly lying about the situation, falsely claiming they still control areas that Ukraine has clearly retaken
- The men have no good options - attack and die, retreat and be shot, or surrender
- Wives and families of soldiers are afraid to speak out for fear of losing their salaries and pensions or being labeled "enemies of the people"
Correction on Poland's stance towards Russia
- In a previous video, Jonathan suggested the 2010 Smolensk plane crash that killed the Polish president was a major factor in Poland's anti-Russian stance
- A Polish viewer corrected him, explaining that Polish opposition to Russia is deeply rooted in centuries of history and not tied to one incident
- Poland is well aware of the threat posed by Russia and there are no major pro-Russian political parties
- The current Polish government (PiS) is right-wing and considered autocratic and corrupt by critics, but even they are firmly anti-Russian
- Jonathan acknowledged his error and the importance of being open to corrections
Russian manipulation of the far-right
- In a clip from the Bulwark Podcast, journalist Anne Applebaum argues that Russia has been deliberately promoting far-right extremism in the West for the past 15 years
- The far-right is receptive to Russian propaganda portraying Russia as the savior of white Christian civilization against Islam and the decadence of liberal democracy
- In reality, Russia is a multi-ethnic country with a significant Muslim population, but the far-right buys into this "completely fake image"
- By encouraging far-right movements, Russia weakens Western democracies and sows division, giving it more freedom to act aggressively
- Applebaum compares this to how the far-left was once attracted to Soviet communism as an idealized alternative to their own societies
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for their support and encourages them to like, subscribe and share the video. He expresses appreciation for the channel members.
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