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Ukraine War Update NEWS: Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News

News🔷Hits and Losses Sunday, 8th September 2024, 10:34
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Table of Contents 📖

Topic IDTopic TitleTimestamp
1Hello Team00:00-01:08
2Russian Daily Losses01:08-03:06
3Destroyed German Marder 1A3 Infantry Fighting Vehicle03:06-04:09
4Increase in Dud MRL Shells04:09-05:09
5HIMARS Strike on Russian S-400 Air Defence System05:09-05:51
6Increase in HIMARS Footage & Effectiveness05:51-07:59
7Ukrainian Use of Thermite Munitions07:59-08:56
8Fires in Russia08:56-09:50
9Russian Drone & Missile Strikes09:50-11:53
10Missile Strike on Hotel Zarya11:53-15:30
11Impact of Ukrainian Drone Strikes on Russian Fuel Depots15:30-19:47
12Russian Troop Presence in Belarus19:47-23:26
13Ukraine Bans Phone Calls for Russian POWs23:26-25:58
14Russians & a Sea Mine25:58-27:12
15Wrap Up & Book Plug27:12-28:30

"Luckily for them, of course, it doesn't explode, but you're dicing with death there. It's just insane."

Hello Team

🎦 00:00-01:08

Jonathan kicks off the video with a warm welcome to viewers and shares a personal anecdote about introducing his son to the classic film "Desperado" – a cherished experience that left him feeling a tad tired. Due to a prior engagement (rugby match with his son), Jonathan informs his audience that his video output will be less frequent than usual.

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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA

  1. These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
  2. These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
  3. All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
  4. Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
  5. Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
  6. Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
  7. Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
  8. All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
  9. Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.

Russian Daily Losses

🎦 01:08-03:06

Jonathan delves into the Russian losses reported by the Ukrainian General Staff, acknowledging the usual caveats associated with these figures (detailed in the video description).

  • Personnel: 1270 (significantly high)
  • Tanks: 4
  • Armoured Fighting Vehicles (AFVs): 19 (unusual spike compared to previous days – potentially linked to fuel depot strikes hindering transportation)
  • Artillery Systems: 30 (slight increase, approaching double the daily average)
  • Multiple Launch Rocket Systems (MLRS): 2
  • Vehicles and Fuel Tanks: 47
  • Special Equipment: 10

Jonathan notes the substantial and consistent personnel losses suffered by the Russians. While acknowledging the lack of updated Ukrainian loss figures from Andrew Perpetua at this time, he assures viewers that he'll check again later.

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Destroyed German Marder 1A3 Infantry Fighting Vehicle

🎦 03:06-04:09

Visual analysis of a destroyed German-supplied Marder 1A3 infantry fighting vehicle.

  • The extent of the damage (melted interior, fire damage, destroyed wheels) suggests it's beyond repair.
  • Jonathan highlights the meticulous work done by Andrew Perpetua and his team in geolocating and verifying such footage to provide an accurate picture of losses.


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Increase in Dud MRL Shells

🎦 04:09-05:09

Jonathan cites Andrew Perpetua's observation of a significant increase in unexploded Russian MRL (Multiple Launch Rocket System) shells.

  • This could indicate the Russians are using older, less reliable ammunition, potentially sourced from North Korea, or that their higher-quality stockpiles are dwindling.


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HIMARS Strike on Russian S-400 Air Defence System

🎦 05:09-05:51

Footage reveals a successful Ukrainian HIMARS strike on a Russian 96L6E radar system belonging to an S-400 air defence unit.

  • The strike resulted in crew casualties and substantial damage to the radar, significantly impacting Russia's air defence capabilities.


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Increase in HIMARS Footage & Effectiveness

🎦 05:51-07:59

Jonathan points out a recent surge in HIMARS strike footage, sparking speculation about potential fluctuations in Ukrainian ordnance supplies or the randomness of footage release.

  • Notably, one video shows six Russian artillery pieces destroyed in a single HIMARS strike. While the timeframe is unclear, it underscores the effectiveness of HIMARS in counter-battery operations and its prioritization in degrading Russian artillery.
  • Jonathan emphasizes the importance of artillery suppression for the Ukrainians.


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Ukrainian Use of Thermite Munitions

🎦 07:59-08:56

Jonathan discusses the increasing frequency of Ukrainian drone attacks using thermite munitions, often referred to as "dragon drones."

  • He believes Ukraine is strategically exploiting this asymmetrical advantage while it lasts, recognizing that Russia will eventually adapt.


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Fires in Russia

🎦 08:56-09:50

Jonathan reports on a series of fires in Russia, including:

  • A fire at the Gerasimov Institute of Cinematography in Moscow, resulting in the evacuation of 50 staff and students. The cause remains unknown, but arson is suspected.
  • A devastating car park fire in Moscow that killed two people, attributed to ignited bitumen used for resurfacing.
  • Jonathan notes a possible uptick in such incidents within Russia recently.


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Russian Drone & Missile Strikes

🎦 09:50-11:53

Jonathan details the latest Russian drone and missile attacks:

  • Overnight Drone Wave: Despite a slightly smaller wave, Russia continues its consistent drone assaults, launching 23 Shahed drones into Ukraine. Ukrainian forces intercepted 15 drones and neutralized two through electronic warfare, leaving six unaccounted for.
  • Romanian Airspace Incursion: Confirmed reports indicate that at least one, possibly more, Russian drones entered Romanian airspace during an attack on Odesa. While Romania scrambled fighter jets, no drones were shot down. The incident raises concerns about potential NATO involvement.
  • Airstrike on Sumy: Russia conducted an airstrike on Sumy, damaging 20 houses and resulting in two fatalities and four injuries. Jonathan acknowledges the possibility of Ukrainian military presence in some of the houses, given their proximity to the border.
  • Explosions in Kyiv and Belgorod: Reports of explosions in Kyiv and Belgorod emerge. Details are scarce, with no confirmation of the cause (missile strikes, drones, or ground incidents).


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Missile Strike on Hotel Zarya

🎦 11:53-15:30

Jonathan reports on a missile strike that destroyed the Hotel Zarya in Mykhailivka, near Sloviansk (Donetsk Oblast).

  • The hotel is located in a region frequently targeted by Russian forces.
  • Jonathan speculates that the hotel might have housed international journalists, a pattern observed in previous hotel strikes.
  • The attack is reminiscent of the August 25th strike on the Sapfir Hotel in Kramatorsk, which killed a journalist and injured eight civilians, suggesting a deliberate campaign to target media personnel covering the war.


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Impact of Ukrainian Drone Strikes on Russian Fuel Depots

🎦 15:30-19:47

Jonathan provides an in-depth analysis of the impact of Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian fuel depots:

  • Estimated Fuel Destroyed: Over 100,000 tons of Russian fuel estimated to have been destroyed in Ukrainian drone attacks.
  • Underground to Surface Storage: Jonathan highlights the irony of Russia moving fuel storage above ground to cut costs, only to be targeted by drones, potentially forcing them back underground.
  • Rostov Region Attacks: In August 2024, Ukrainian drones targeted two major fuel storage facilities in Russia's Rostov region – "Base Number 7" (Atlas) and "Flagman" (formerly Kavkaz). Satellite imagery reveals extensive damage, with significant fuel losses and long-term operational disruptions.
  • Financial and Strategic Impact: Direct financial losses from destroyed fuel alone exceed $77.8 million. The attacks severely hamper Russia's ability to supply its Southern Military District, requiring costly fuel transfers from other regions and impacting logistical operations.
  • Historical Context: The targeted fuel depots were initially built underground in 1962 during the Cuban Missile Crisis, highlighting Russia's strategic foresight but also exposing its current vulnerability.
  • Russia's Response: Facing mounting losses, Russia is considering a partial reversal of the ban on underground fuel storage, particularly for facilities serving the Ministry of Defence and other security agencies.


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Russian Troop Presence in Belarus

🎦 19:47-23:26

Jonathan discusses the significant reduction of Russian troops stationed in Belarus:

  • Past Presence: Russia previously maintained up to 12,000 troops in Belarus, ostensibly for training purposes but primarily posing a threat to Ukraine from the north.
  • Withdrawal of Troops: According to Belarusian State Security Service, Russian units have been gradually withdrawn from Belarus over the past year and no longer pose a significant threat.
  • Implications: This withdrawal suggests a potential shortage of Russian personnel, requiring them to consolidate forces within Russia and Ukraine.


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Ukraine Bans Phone Calls for Russian POWs

🎦 23:26-25:58

In response to the horrific war crimes committed against Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs), evidenced by recent execution videos, Jonathan examines Ukraine's decision to ban Russian POWs from making phone calls home.

  • Ukraine's Dilemma: While understandable, this decision reflects a difficult balancing act for Ukraine – grappling with the natural desire for retribution while upholding moral high ground and maintaining international support.
  • Jonathan's Perspective: Jonathan advocates for maintaining the moral high ground by treating Russian POWs humanely, as difficult as it may seem.
  • Information Warfare: The ban on phone calls, while potentially controversial, serves as a strategic element in the information war. Allowing POWs to reassure their families back in Russia could inadvertently portray Ukraine in a more favorable light.


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Russians & a Sea Mine

🎦 25:58-27:12

Jonathan shares a bizarre and concerning incident where beachgoers in Sochi, Russia, discovered a sea mine and, instead of alerting authorities, decided to roll it up the beach with their bare hands – all while bystanders filmed the event. Jonathan expresses astonishment at their recklessness and the potential for disaster.

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Wrap Up & Book Plug

🎦 27:12-28:30

Jonathan acknowledges the relatively lighter news day and takes the opportunity to showcase a viewer's testimonial praising his book "The Family Book of Word of the Day." He humorously plugs the book, describing it as a timeless resource for expanding vocabulary and suitable for all ages. Jonathan wraps up the video with a playful acknowledgement of the "Big Words" sponsorship and bids his viewers farewell.

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Expand Your Mind with Jonathan's Books

Writing as Johnny Pearce, dive into Jonathan's captivating fiction where imagination meets intellect. Escapism for the thinker.

Delve into Jonathan's thought-provoking works on philosophy, theology, and skepticism. His books challenge readers to question assumptions and explore complex ideas:

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