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Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update

Front Line Friday, 28th July 2023, 13:01
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
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Table of Contents 📖

Topic IDTopic TitleTimestamp

"It's not, you know, war takes as long as war takes or something like that."

Hello Team!

Jonathan introduces himself and explains the meaning behind his middle initials "MS" (multiple sclerosis). He shares a map legend to help viewers understand the frontline maps that will be shown.

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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND

Russia Ready for Dialogue

Dmitry Peskov, Kremlin spokesperson, stated Russia is ready for a dialogue on a settlement but Ukraine refuses. Jonathan believes this reflects that things are difficult for Russia militarily and they could be in trouble going forward.

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Kupyansk to Svatove

  • Not much information coming out of Kupyansk area
  • Russian gains reported southwest of Svatove over last 3-5 days around Kalmativnivka, Nodjanie and Raiha-Rodka
  • Institute for the Study of War (ISW) notes Russian MoD claims but no visual confirmation; suggests Russians may be exaggerating
  • Ukrainian source claims they pushed back Russian elements close to original positions using American cluster munitions
  • Mappers show conflicting information; Jonathan trusts Andrew Perpetua's mapping more in this case


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Kreminna

  • Russian forces continue offensive operations west of Kreminna
  • Claimed gains by Russian MoD and milbloggers on July 27th
  • Fighting reported in Serebiansky forest southwest of Kreminna
  • Gains shown by pro-Russian mapper Syriac Maps south of Dibrova and Kuzmyrna


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Bakhmut

  • Geolocated footage indicates Ukrainian marginal advances north of Klishchivka
  • Conflicting claims over control of Klishchivka
  • Ukrainian forces maintain presence in southwestern part per ISW
  • Fighting also reported in Zalizhnyansky, Bakivka, Pivichne, Andreevka
  • Footage of Akhmat TikTok fighters pulling back injured from south of Bakhmut
  • Destroyed Ukrainian BTR geolocated north of Andreevka, suggesting Ukrainian control
  • Andrew Perpetua's mapping seems more accurate than Syriac Maps based on available evidence


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Avdiivka

Fighting remains intense around Avdiivka according to Ukrainian Deputy Defence Minister. No territorial changes reported to the north or around Vodyane and Opytne. Russian milbloggers claim they can interdict remaining Ukrainian ground lines of communication in the area, but ISW notes they have routinely made such claims prematurely.

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Marinka

No granular news coming out of Krasnohorivka, Marinka and surrounding areas despite ongoing activity.

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Velyka Novosilka

  • Ukrainian advances acknowledged by both Syriac Maps and Andrew Perpetua
  • Staromayorske liberated per multiple sources; footage shows Ukrainian 35th Marine Brigade inspecting the town
  • Russians ordered to withdraw from Robotyne, Staromayorske and Urozhaine per Russian milblogger
  • Pressure remains on Priyutne
  • 3 Russian tanks (2 destroyed, 1 captured) reported lost in Staromayorske
  • Ukrainian gains put them closer to Serevikin line of major Russian defensive trenches


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Zaporizhzhia Front

  • Minor Ukrainian gain near Drozhnyanky per Andrew Perpetua
  • Significant Ukrainian territorial gains around Robotyne shown by Andrew Perpetua and to a lesser extent Syriac Maps
  • Footage of failed Ukrainian BMP-1 assault near Robotyne with heavy losses
  • Geolocated footage shows Ukrainian IFV reached Russian anti-tank trench near Verbove, 3.5km beyond assessed front line
  • 3.9 sq km liberated in Robotyne area per monitor
  • Conflicting Russian milblogger claims about scale and success of Ukrainian attacks
  • Discussion of Ukrainian use of main counteroffensive forces vs other units


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Pyatykhatky and West

  • No map changes but other sources report Ukrainian success west of Zolota Nyva
  • Ukrainian advances also claimed in Kamyanske area per Sendar and War Monitor
  • Ukrainians reportedly within 2km of Luhove
  • Russians reinforcing line with Bars Battalion reserves and marines redeployed from Myrne
  • Increased pressure on Zaryabiyanky
  • Jonathan suggests if Russia is moving troops from Myrne to reinforce, it shows lack of depth and brittle defences that Ukraine could potentially exploit


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Kherson

No reports from Antonivsky Bridge area. Arabat Spit now prohibited for Russian general public, possibly to be used as a logistics route. Jonathan suggests Ukrainian Storm Shadow missiles could potentially target Henichesk bridges in the near future.

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Wrap Up

Jonathan thanks viewers and asks them to like, subscribe and share the video.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

There were a few instances where I wasn't 100% clear on the exact locations being referred to, likely due to my knowledge cutoff in 2021. I did my best to provide context clues where possible. The transcript also had some typos/errors with place names that I tried to correct.

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Extract video title, date and part from the YouTube title provided Read through transcript and identify main topics discussed in order Summarize each topic, keeping in mind to: Provide enough context Include sources/credits mentioned Capture Jonathan's insights, analysis and opinions Note any particularly profound, inspiring or poignant quotes Use British English spellings and grammar Format summary into structured sections with topic titles Add introduction and wrap-up sections Select most profound/poignant/inspiring quote Review summary and check it covers all key points without adding any new information Format into XML structure as specified

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ATP-AI-Bot

Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce, J.R. (Cartographer)

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos