Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"The way this war ends right now, without the US actually stepping in and saying we're not going to fund any more of it, is going to be some post-Zelensky warlord takes over with a couple hundred billion dollars of American military equipment, just like what happened after the Soviets invaded Afghanistan. And you see how far that got."
Hello Team!
Jonathan discusses a Wall Street Journal article claiming the US has stockpiled a "mountain of iron" for Ukraine's counter-offensive that cannot be repeated in 2024. He disputes this, citing the large numbers of various military vehicles the US has in its inventory.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Frontline Update - Bakhmut
- Significant military activity is taking place north of Bakhmut around Zaliznyansky
- Footage shows a mine-clearing vehicle being used in an offensive assault role
- The footage was geolocated by Andrew Perpetua
Frontline Update - Southern Front
- Claims of Russian forces voluntarily surrendering near Zavitny Bajania
- Ukrainian forces gaining territory towards Vobove, Novopivka and southeast of Robotny according to Pule Volon's map
- Ukrainian general staff report success in the directions of Novodanilivka, Novopropivka, and Malatok-Machka-Ocherevatovate
- Russian sources claim Novopokropivka has come under Ukrainian control, indicating a potentially large counter-offensive underway
- Significant Ukrainian forces massing (50-100 vehicles) for an assault from Orokiv towards Tokmak
- If true, this could be the biggest Ukrainian counter-offensive push so far
Frontline Update - Kherson
- Russian sources report units of the 205th Brigade are trapped on an island in the Kazachi-Lahiri area
- The Russian command allegedly stopped an attempt to rescue them
- A Russian mill blogger claims soldiers are being "crushed" with no artillery support and commanders trying to evacuate have been arrested
Military Aid
- Norway pledges 12 F-16 fighter jets and RST surface-to-air missiles to Ukraine
- Portugal joins the coalition to train Ukrainian pilots on F-16s
- The US confirms it will start training Ukrainian pilots on F-16s in Arizona starting October
- Germany delivers missiles for Patriot air defence, drone detection systems, trucks and ammunition to Ukraine
- Greece terminates a maintenance contract with Russia for TOR M1 and OSA AKM air defence systems, possibly to supply them to Ukraine
- The Turkish company Baykar has donated $100 million worth of equipment to Ukraine, more than some NATO countries
Geopolitics
- Swedish fashion giant H&M announces plans to reopen stores in Ukraine from November 2023, indicating confidence the stores will be safe
- Heineken leaves Russia, selling its Russian branch for 1 euro
- Slovenia joins the G7 Declaration on Support for Ukraine Security Guarantees
- Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy makes false claims about US support for Ukraine not being in America's interests. Jonathan strongly disagrees, calling Ramaswamy either "stupid or disingenuous".
- Putin told the Central African Republic president to distance himself from Yevgeny Prigozhin and Wagner in June. Russia is trying to assert direct state control over Wagner's African operations.
- The Pentagon says Wagner are no longer a factor on the battlefield in Ukraine
- With the addition of Argentina, Iran, Ethiopia, UAE and Saudi Arabia in 2024, BRICS will control 80% of world oil production and exceed $30 trillion GDP
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and asks them to like, subscribe and share the video. He appreciates all the support.
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