Ukraine War Update BUMPER NEWS: Geopolitical News - Crockett on Fire
Table of Contents 📖
"Russia invaded Ukraine. Can we at least agree on that one?"
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:29⏩
- Jonathan welcomes viewers to ATP Geopolitics and introduces this Ukraine War News Update as part two of today's videos, expressing astonishment at current world events.
Tate Brothers Allowed to Leave Romania Amidst US Pressure
🎦 00:29-01:21⏩
- Jonathan reports on the controversial Tate brothers, describing them as "despicable human beings" and alleged sex traffickers under investigation in Romania.
- He highlights their release from Romania, suggesting it occurred due to pressure from the US, specifically the Trump administration.
- Jonathan criticises this situation, stating it sends a message that wealth and connections can override serious criminal charges.
Tate Brothers Allegedly En Route to Mar-a-Lago and Trump Jr. Connection
🎦 01:21-01:33⏩
- It is reported that the Tate brothers are believed to be flying to Mar-a-Lago and are expected to be guests of Donald Trump Jr., who has previously supported them.
- Jonathan expresses concern about the influence of "Trump administration adjacents" in championing individuals accused of serious crimes.
Romania, Trump Administration and Pro-Russian Candidate
🎦 01:33-03:37⏩
- Jonathan connects the Tate brothers' situation to a broader issue of Romania being targeted by the Trump administration and its allies.
- He mentions figures like Elon Musk and J.D. Vance allegedly advocating for Karlin Georgescu, a pro-Russian Romanian presidential candidate recently arrested for planning an armed rebellion.
- A user comment highlights the perceived hypocrisy of the Trump administration criticising Romania for detaining Georgescu while ignoring the lack of free elections in Russia.
Evidence of Karlin Georgescu's Russian Links and Neo-Nazi Salute
🎦 03:37-05:19⏩
- News surfaces of grenade launchers found at the home of Georgescu's bodyguard and associates, with links to Moscow and the Russian embassy.
- Georgescu's supporters are also linked to Kadyrov.
- Despite these connections, Georgescu was released, which Jonathan finds unacceptable.
- Upon release, Georgescu is reported to have given a Nazi salute, further highlighting the concerning nature of his affiliations.
US Support for EU Skeptics and Alleged Attempt to Undermine the EU
🎦 05:19-06:07⏩
- Jonathan suggests that the US, under the Trump administration, appears to be supporting individuals and groups aiming to undermine the unity of the EU.
- He cites examples of EU-sceptic parties like AFD and Rassemblement National and links them to figures like Karlin Georgescu.
- He reiterates the unacceptability of supporting such figures.
Georgescu's Wide Network and Potential Coup d'état in Romania
🎦 06:07-07:11⏩
- Details emerge suggesting Georgescu is not just an individual but a figurehead for a network of reserve army officers, paramilitary neo-Nazi groups, businessmen, and judges allegedly planning a violent coup in Romania.
- Pro-Russian propagandists are actively supporting Georgescu, potentially to be joined by Vance and Musk, according to reports.
- Jonathan emphasizes the importance of supporting Romanian voices countering this narrative, highlighting Romania's resistance to Russian narratives amidst wider capitulation.
Concerns over Rosia Montana Gold Mine Project and MAGA Backing
🎦 07:11-08:29⏩
- Jonathan discusses the Rosia Montana gold mine project in Romania, linked to Frank Timis, an American with alleged backing from Trump's campaign team.
- Georgescu is accused of wanting to give this project to Timis and "MAGA friends".
- A user comment questions the pattern of "patriots" claiming to fight globalists but ending up selling out their countries to foreign interests backed by MAGA billionaires.
Disturbing Implications for Romanian Sovereignty and NATO Security
🎦 08:29-08:54⏩
- Jonathan summarises the concerning situation as a MAGA-linked effort to undermine Romanian sovereignty and agency, putting pressure on Romania.
- He highlights the strategic importance of NATO bases in Romania for EU and Eastern European security, describing the situation as "really disturbing".
Cognitive Dissonance for MAGA/Republican Supporters
🎦 08:54-09:28⏩
- Jonathan delves into cognitive dissonance, questioning how individuals who support MAGA or the Republican party reconcile their views with morally problematic actions from within the party, particularly regarding Romania.
- He draws a parallel to his statements on Reform UK and anticipates a similar cognitive dissonance challenge for supporters.
Keir Starmer's US Visit and Macron's Groundwork
🎦 09:28-10:00⏩
- Jonathan shifts focus to Europe and Keir Starmer's upcoming visit to the US to meet with President Trump.
- He suggests Macron may have strategically "leapfrogged" Starmer by laying groundwork in advance of Starmer's meeting, which could be beneficial.
Limited Expectations for Starmer-Trump Meeting and US Shift
🎦 10:00-10:25⏩
- Jonathan believes Starmer's meeting with Trump is likely "a hiding to nothing" and suggests focusing on small, achievable goals rather than trying to change Trump's mind.
- He argues the US has "changed sides," evidenced by the situation in Romania and rhetoric emanating from the White House.
Trump's Rejection of Macron's Correction and Information Space
🎦 10:25-11:27⏩
- Jonathan notes Trump's immediate dismissal of Macron's public correction of Trump's statements, repeating the "lie".
- He emphasizes the problem is the "information space" controlled by outlets like Fox News, Newsmax, and OAN, which are amplifying Trump's narratives.
- He suggests this ecosystem is being manipulated by the Trump administration, moving towards authoritarian control of information.
Zelensky's Need to Secure US Security Guarantees
🎦 11:27-12:32⏩
- In this context, Jonathan discusses Zelensky's need to persuade the US to provide security guarantees for Ukraine, even with Trump's stance.
- He proposes that Zelensky should focus on the US acting as a "backstop" for European security guarantees, particularly in areas like air support and intelligence.
- He argues US support is crucial for any peacekeeping mission in Ukraine.
Kaja Kallas's Cancelled Meeting in DC and US Stance
🎦 12:32-13:02⏩
- Jonathan highlights the cancellation of a meeting between Estonian PM Kaja Kallas, a strong supporter of Ukraine, and Marco Rubio in DC.
- He interprets this cancellation as indicative of the current negative US stance on Ukraine and the EU, describing the situation as "really bad".
Justification for Criticising the US and Trade War Concerns
🎦 13:02-13:51⏩
- Jonathan responds to viewers who criticise his focus on the US, stating he "can't not" address it as it's defining Ukraine's future and geopolitics.
- He asserts his right to criticise as needed, emphasizing the severity of the situation.
- He notes the looming US-EU trade war, instigated by Trump, which will complicate unified support for Ukraine.
Trump's "Fire Hose of Lies" and EU Origins
🎦 13:51-14:42⏩
- Jonathan accuses Donald Trump of "just lying" repeatedly, citing fact-checks of Trump's statements showing widespread inaccuracies.
- He focuses on Trump's false claim that the EU was formed to "screw the United States".
- Jonathan expresses disbelief at the sheer volume of misinformation.
Trump's Narrative Creation and Comparison to Pathological Demand Avoidance
🎦 14:42-15:24⏩
- Jonathan draws a parallel between Trump's narrative creation and a characteristic of pathological demand avoidance (PDA), relating it to his own child on the spectrum.
- He suggests Trump creates narratives to justify morally dubious actions and believes his own fabrications.
- He reiterates that the EU was not formed to harm the US.
Historical Context of EU Formation and Reagan's View
🎦 15:24-16:19⏩
- Jonathan provides the historical context of the EU's formation, stating it was to prevent war in Europe, and the US supported its creation as a condition of post-war aid and to deter communism.
- He contrasts Trump's view with a quote from Ronald Reagan praising the leaders who built Europe and emphasizing unity and democracy.
Reagan as Statesman vs. Trump "Bullshit" and Growing US-EU Divide
🎦 16:19-17:20⏩
- Jonathan contrasts Reagan, whom he calls a "statesman" who didn't constantly "bullshit", with Trump.
- He expresses disbelief in Trump's claims compared to Reagan's historical perspective.
- He highlights the growing "chasm" between the EU and the US, driven by Trump's approach.
US Shift Towards Autocracy and Advice to UK on Military Dependence
🎦 17:20-17:48⏩
- Jonathan argues the US is on a "one-way ticket" to autocracy under Trump.
- He cites a report in The Times that US officials have advised the UK to reduce its dependence on American military equipment, signalling a significant shift in US reliability.
- He concludes "We're in dark times here."
Meloni's Support for NATO Membership for Ukraine
🎦 17:48-18:48⏩
- Jonathan quotes Italian PM Giorgia Meloni stating that lasting peace in Ukraine requires guarantees against future involvement and affirming NATO membership as the most effective security framework for Ukraine.
- Jonathan strongly agrees with Meloni's assessment.
UN Human Rights Council Walkout Against Russia and Russophobia Accusations
🎦 18:48-19:52⏩
- Dozens of dignitaries walked out of a Russian speech to the UN Human Rights Council in Geneva to support Ukraine, displaying Ukrainian and Crimean Tatar flags.
- Participants quoted emphasized solidarity with Ukraine, the need for a just peace based on the UN Charter and international law, and the importance of reacting to Russian actions to uphold UN principles.
- Russia's Deputy Foreign Minister accused Ukraine of "flagrant violation of fundamental human rights and of Russophobia" in response.
Russia "Dead Man Walking" Strategically
🎦 19:52-20:30⏩
- Jonathan cites Fabian Hoffman's analysis that Russia is strategically a "dead man walking", facing eventual exhaustion of manpower and equipment.
- Hoffman believes Putin is desperate to end the conflict quickly because he understands Russia's weakening position.
- Jonathan criticises the US for "facilitating Russia's ability not to collapse, not to lose" by hindering Ukraine's war effort.
US Undermining Ukraine War Effort and Lack of Political Will in Europe
🎦 20:30-21:24⏩
- Jonathan argues the US is actively working to prevent Russia from losing the war, which he finds frustrating.
- He suggests that with sufficient political will and ambition in Europe, Ukraine could have been sustained to exhaust Russia's resources.
- He points to a downward trend in Russian daily assaults, indicating potential resource depletion.
Russian Influence in UK Politics and Suppressed Report
🎦 21:24-22:52⏩
- Jonathan shifts focus to the UK, highlighting ongoing Russian influence in UK politics and the need for vigilance.
- He criticises the previous Conservative government under Boris Johnson for suppressing a report on Russian influence in the Brexit election, against intelligence agency advice.
- He quotes Dominic Grieve, then chair of the Intelligence and Security Committee, confirming the report was blocked by Johnson.
Reform UK, MAGA Comparison, and Nick Stanton's Criticism
🎦 22:52-24:21⏩
- Jonathan discusses his previous video on Reform UK and responds to criticism from supporter Nick Stanton who disputes Jonathan's assertion that Reform UK is similar to MAGA.
- Stanton argues against the comparison and claims Jonathan is not being objective.
- Jonathan explains he hasn't seen Stanton's full reply due to YouTube comment system limitations.
Jonathan's Reply to Nick Stanton and Disdain for Reform UK
🎦 24:21-25:07⏩
- Jonathan clarifies he will look for Stanton's reply due to the effort put into it but defends his "disdain" for Reform UK.
- He acknowledges not being "truly objective" but tries to be as objective as possible, admitting his political biases.
Justification for Disdain: Reform UK's Russian Appeasement and MAGA Alignment
🎦 25:07-26:56⏩
- Jonathan justifies his disdain for Reform UK, citing their "MAGA appeasement position" on Russia and Ukraine.
- He lists six points to support his view:
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- He concludes these points justify his "disdain" and warns against cognitive dissonance.
Politics as a Subset of Morality and Cognitive Dissonance
🎦 26:56-31:14⏩
- Jonathan discusses morality as fundamental to human beings and politics as a subset of morality.
- He explains cognitive dissonance as the discomfort experienced when core beliefs are challenged by evidence.
- He uses the example of a Reform UK supporter facing his criticism to illustrate how cognitive dissonance can lead to dismissing evidence or the messenger rather than changing core beliefs.
Cognitive Dissonance Reduction Techniques and Nuance
🎦 31:14-32:42⏩
- Jonathan lists cognitive dissonance reduction techniques: burying head in sand, compartmentalization, dismissing evidence as "fake news".
- He argues that in Nick Stanton's case, there doesn't seem to be justification for dismissing his position on Reform UK's Russian compromise.
- He reiterates his disdain for Nigel Farage's pro-Russian statements and Richard Tice's similar views.
Cognitive Dissonance and Political Identity
🎦 32:42-34:49⏩
- Jonathan further explains cognitive dissonance in the context of political identity, using "Jeff" (a viewer) and his American/Republican identity as an example when Jonathan criticizes the US.
- He argues criticism of political stances can be perceived as a criticism of someone's core identity and morality.
- He advocates for nuance, suggesting it's possible to support a party or figure for some reasons but acknowledge their flaws in other areas, like Trump on Ukraine or Reform UK on Russia.
Danger of Political Party Adulation and Need for Nuance
🎦 34:49-36:17⏩
- Jonathan warns against putting political parties or figures "on a pedestal" and believing everything they do is perfect, as this can lead to dangerous consequences and unaccountability.
- He uses Trump's "Fifth Avenue" quote to illustrate this point.
- He stresses the importance of nuanced views and critical evaluation of political entities.
Jonathan's Political Independence and Voting Approach
🎦 36:17-36:53⏩
- Jonathan clarifies he is not a member of any political party and his voting is based on evaluating manifestos and issues independently, not on blind party loyalty.
- He emphasizes his ability to criticise parties he might generally support, highlighting his political independence.
Correction on Budapest Memorandum and US Obligations
🎦 36:53-38:06⏩
- Jonathan corrects a previous claim about the Budapest Memorandum, admitting he was wrong.
- He clarifies that the US is not contractually obliged to provide security assistance to Ukraine in general, but specifically if nuclear weapons are used.
- He acknowledges this is a common myth and stresses the importance of checking original sources.
US Shift on Ukraine: Hegseth's Evolution and Current Stance
🎦 38:06-39:53⏩
- Jonathan illustrates the shift in US stance on Ukraine by contrasting Pete Hegseth's past strong support for Ukraine against Russia with his current reluctance to even acknowledge Russia as the aggressor.
- He shows a clip of Hegseth in the past advocating for strong support for Ukraine against Russian aggression.
- He contrasts this with Hegseth now struggling to admit Russia invaded Ukraine, indicating a significant change in position, along with figures like Marco Rubio.
US-Russia Talks in Turkey and Arctic Resource Cooperation
🎦 39:53-41:58⏩
- Jonathan reports that US-Russia talks are taking place in Turkey, with Ukraine not on the agenda, according to the State Department.
- He expresses concern that the US and Russia are using the Ukraine war as an "excuse" to meet and are now discussing economic deals, including joint extraction of Arctic resources and trade routes.
- He criticizes this as morally bankrupt, comparing it to doing business with Nazi Germany while ignoring atrocities.
- He questions the "excuse" that these deals are meant to prize Russia away from China, citing the failure of similar approaches with Germany.
Russian Expectations and Peskov's Statement on Occupied Territories
🎦 41:58-42:32⏩
- Maria Zakharova states the US-Russia talks are meant to "strengthen trust", which Jonathan finds absurd given Russia's actions.
- Kremlin representative in Riyadh, Kirill Dmitryad, expresses Russia's expectation for the return of US oil companies and joint Arctic projects.
- Peskov, Putin's spokesperson, states Russia is unwilling to discuss returning occupied territories to Ukraine, contradicting Trump's negotiation claims.
Trump's Stance on Security Guarantees and "America First" Approach
🎦 42:32-44:28⏩
- Jonathan reports Trump's statement that he will not provide security guarantees for Ukraine and that Europe should handle it.
- He presents an interaction between Trump and a reporter where Trump repeatedly prioritizes "America First" and saving money over supporting Ukraine, democracy, and global leadership.
- Trump dismisses Ukraine's need for security and country back, suggesting they should "negotiate" with Russia and stating "Not my problem."
- Jonathan expresses disbelief and dismay at Trump's stance.
NATO Origins, Russian Disinformation and Reform UK Comparison
🎦 44:28-45:30⏩
- Jonathan addresses the Russian disinformation narrative that NATO expansion caused the war, noting this is also a talking point used by Reform UK.
- He reiterates his comparison of Reform UK to MAGA, highlighting Farage's MAGA alignment and shared viewpoints.
- He questions how anyone can deny Reform UK's MAGA connection given Farage's close ties and similar rhetoric.
US-Russia Economic Deals and Zelensky's Meeting with Trump
🎦 45:30-46:44⏩
- Jonathan reports on Kremlin representative Kirill Dmitryad in Riyadh saying Russia expects the return of US oil companies and joint Arctic projects, confirming economic deals are being discussed.
- He cites Gene Keefe's concern that Trump's actions are "about to kick Putin's war machine into overdrive with billions of US money".
- Jonathan expresses worry that US economic engagement with Russia will indirectly fund the war against Ukraine.
- Zelensky confirms an upcoming meeting with Trump, emphasizing the importance of continued US assistance for Ukraine.
Ben Wallace on Minerals Deal and Alleged US Extortion
🎦 46:44-48:31⏩
- Jonathan discusses Ben Wallace's view of the US-Ukraine minerals deal, suggesting Trump seeks to "prove to his electorate" he is getting something back.
- Wallace views the original minerals deal as "extortion" given the aid already provided to Ukraine, which often benefited US companies and the Pentagon itself.
- He notes historical precedent of the US seeking repayment of war loans, but acknowledges Ukraine's desperate situation and need for any support.
Ukraine's "Masterful" Minerals Agreement Strategy
🎦 48:31-49:40⏩
- Jonathan presents John Jackson's analysis that Ukraine has crafted a "masterful" minerals agreement.
- Key points of Jackson's analysis:
- 1
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- Jonathan describes this as "fascinating" and praises Ukraine's strategic drafting.
Zelensky on Minerals Deal and Security Guarantees Discussion
🎦 49:40-50:15⏩
- Jonathan notes that Zelensky confirms no security guarantees are in the US minerals deal yet, but they are to be discussed later.
- While lacking concrete guarantees, the agreement states US "supports Ukraine's efforts to obtain security guarantees".
- Jonathan questions the extent and nature of this "support".
Russian FSB Comment on Trump's "Commitments" and US Policy Shift
🎦 50:15-52:46⏩
- Jonathan revisits a comment from the Russian FSB made after the US election, stating Trump will rely on "commitments to the forces that brought him to power" rather than election pledges, interpreted as suggesting Russian influence.
- He raises the question of whether Trump's pro-Russian policies are fulfilling these alleged commitments.
- He mentions an interview with Craig Unger, author on Trump's Russia connections, raising the question of how compromised Trump is.
US Refrains from Co-Authoring WTO Statement Condemning Russia
🎦 52:46-53:16⏩
- Jonathan reports the US for the first time refrained from co-authoring a joint statement at the WTO condemning Russian aggression in Ukraine.
- He sees this as further evidence of the US administration's reluctance to acknowledge Russia as the aggressor, even avoiding calling the conflict a "war," using "special military operation" instead.
- He states it seems like the "US administration is an extension of the Kremlin".
Trump's 25% Tariffs on EU and Trade War Concerns
🎦 53:16-55:15⏩
- Jonathan reports Trump vowing to impose 25% tariffs on the EU, reiterating the false claim that the EU was formed to "screw the US".
- He warns of a looming US-EU trade war, which he states will be "bad for everyone".
- He notes the contradiction of a supposed "free market advocating fiscal conservative" pushing for protectionist tariffs and increased deficits.
US Budget Deficit, Medicare/Medicaid Cuts, and Stock Market Reaction
🎦 55:15-56:00⏩
- Jonathan discusses the US budget, highlighting trillions added to the deficit, likely Medicare/Medicaid cuts to fund tax cuts for the rich, and the negative reaction of the US stock market, which fell by $500 billion after Trump's tariff announcement.
- He points out imported goods will become significantly more expensive for US consumers.
USAID Cuts and Destruction of US Soft Power
🎦 56:00-57:20⏩
- Jonathan reports the Trump administration is eliminating over 90% of USAID, cutting foreign aid contracts and $60 billion in overall US assistance worldwide.
- He argues this is "absolutely destroying US soft power around the world".
- He notes the drastic cuts leave little for advocates to save, indicating a determined effort to dismantle USAID.
Elon Musk's Influence, Cabinet Meeting, and Ebola "Mistake"
🎦 57:20-58:25⏩
- Jonathan describes the "weird" situation of Elon Musk seemingly being in charge within the Trump administration, despite no official role.
- He mentions Musk standing in a cabinet meeting while Trump appears "hunched over", highlighting Musk's perceived power.
- He recounts Musk's dismissive comment about Ebola protections as a "mistake" and re-hiring sacked personnel, which Jonathan finds appalling and indicative of incompetence.
Disturbing Cabinet Meeting and "Dictatorship" Comparison
🎦 58:25-59:06⏩
- Jonathan plays a clip from the cabinet meeting where Trump asks if anyone is unhappy with Elon Musk and threatens to "throw them out of here" if they are.
- He finds this "deeply disturbing" and compares it to a "dictatorship", unable to see "any functional difference".
Taiwan Sold Down the River and Billionaire Control
- Jonathan notes that Taiwan seems to be "sold down the river" as Trump refuses to comment on whether China should take Taiwan by force.
- He quotes Robert Reich on the dangers of billionaires controlling vital communication platforms, calling it a "win for oligarchy", not free speech.
Bezos/Washington Post and Media Alignment with Trump
- Jonathan discusses Jeff Bezos and the Washington Post, reporting the opinion editor was effectively let go for refusing to align with Bezos's desire for the opinion section to be more pro-Trump.
- He argues the Washington Post editorial team now has to "toe the MAGA Party line".
- He concludes the media is "fully coming in line with the Trump administration's objectives".
Hegseth's Refusal to Acknowledge Russia Invasion and US Media Shift
- Jonathan returns to Pete Hegseth, highlighting his previous detailed tracking of Russia's invasion of Ukraine as a Fox News presenter, contrasting with his current refusal to acknowledge the invasion.
- He plays a clip of a nominee for Deputy Secretary of Defense also refusing to say if Russia invaded Ukraine, citing "negotiations" and "sensitivities".
- Jonathan finds this refusal "disgusting", suggesting a memo has been issued to avoid acknowledging the Russian invasion.
Jasmine Crockett's "On Fire" Speech Slamming US Approach
- Jonathan praises Jasmine Crockett for an "amazing job" slamming this approach in a speech.
- He plays a significant portion of Crockett's speech where she powerfully criticises the US administration's actions, comparing them to Russia and questioning the commitment to the Constitution and freedom of the press.
- Crockett challenges Republicans to admit Russia invaded Ukraine and highlights the dangers of conspiracy theories and lies, linking them to real-world consequences like deaths from COVID and the January 6th Capitol attack.
- Jonathan finds her speech "amazing" and "brilliant".
Jim Jordan, Jamie Raskin, and Free Speech Hypocrisy
- Jonathan describes an "amazing interaction" between Jim Jordan and Jamie Raskin following Crockett's speech.
- Jim Jordan argues against social media fact-checkers and for "free speech" as the way to correct misinformation.
- Jamie Raskin counters by pointing out that Donald Trump is suing CBS and ABC for billions and millions respectively over alleged false claims and interview editing, highlighting the hypocrisy of advocating "free speech" while suing media outlets.
- Jonathan finds this interaction "amazing" and a "must-watch".
Wrap up
- Jonathan concludes, stating he needs to go to a live stream and acknowledging the growing concern about the move towards autocracy.
- He intends to discuss clips from J.B. Pritzker and others on this topic in a future video.
- He recommends viewers check out the interaction between Crockett, Jordan, and Raskin.
- He thanks viewers and signs off.