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Ukraine War Update EXTRA: Makiivka Casualties, Counting War Deaths, & Playing for Keeps

Extra Tuesday, 3rd January 2023, 19:30
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"So where they found Ukrainian in annexed territories, where they found Ukrainian banking or financial institutions turn them into the Russian central bank and you can get mortgages from there and you can set up your own property at a really preferential rate because we're here to stay and this is a long-term project."

Hello Team!

Jonathan provides an extra update video with "juicy nuggets and tidbits" to give greater understanding of the war. He will cover the Makiivka strike, accusations made against him, and provide some clarifications.

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Makiivka strike casualties

  • Strike on Makiivka killed/wounded up to 600 Russian mobilised conscripts housed together; set off ammunition depot causing huge explosion
  • Initial Russian claims of 15 wounded, then 63 dead; pro-Russian source now says at least 374 confirmed dead, 307 missing/unidentified
  • Ukrainian claims of 400 killed, 300 wounded appear fairly accurate based on devastation
  • Bodies so mutilated they are falling off trucks; rubble makes it very difficult to get accurate numbers


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Responding to accusations of bias

  • Jonathan responds to commenter accusing him of bias and only believing Ukrainian figures
  • Commenter's figures (27 dead, 32 wounded) already proven wrong by Russia's own admissions
  • Jonathan tries to be balanced, caveated and attribute claims to sources; not perfect but aim is to avoid stating unverified information as fact
  • It's not in Jonathan's interest to report false information as viewers will lose trust


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Counting war deaths

  • Wikipedia has a table compiling estimates of deaths from various sources
  • For Ukrainian forces, ranges from 10,000-13,000 killed; for Russian/separatist forces, 21,000 minimum killed based on open source data, up to 100,000+ per US/UK estimates
  • Exact figures impossible; Jonathan sees daily Ukrainian reports as indicative of trends rather than exact totals
  • Both sides likely inflating enemy casualties and minimising own; need to infer real picture from various sources


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Russian long-term plans for annexed territories

  • Russia offering 2% mortgage rates in illegally annexed Ukrainian territories as incentive for Russians to relocate
  • Seized Ukrainian banks/financial institutions being replaced with Russian state-owned ones
  • Indicates Russia has no plans to relinquish these territories; they are playing for keeps as part of long-term dismemberment and absorption of Ukraine


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Wrap up

Jonathan thanks viewers and encourages them to like, subscribe and share. He will aim to post a video tomorrow featuring drone footage from Bakhmut.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

The only part I had some difficulty following was regarding the attack on Druzhkivka and what exactly happened there in terms of casualties and damage. The claims and counterclaims between Russia and Ukraine were a bit confusing to piece together confidently.

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Read through the transcript to get an overall sense of the content and topics covered Identify the main topics and sections of the video Summarize each topic, being sure to capture key points, insights, analysis from Jonathan Use British English spelling and grammar Format using the provided XML structure Include an introduction and wrap-up section Select a key quote that captures the essence of the video Review and refine the summary, checking it covers all main points without adding any new information

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ATP-AI-Bot

Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos