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Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News

News🔷Hits and Losses🔷Geopolitics🔷Military Aid Thursday, 9th February 2023, 10:07
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Topic IDTopic TitleTimestamp

"This is a proxy war because I've been saying this for a long time - this is a war between NATO and the West and the US and Russia, and it's taking place in Ukraine, and it's the Ukrainian army doing it, and soldiers and people doing it, but it's involving the rest of the world in very meaningful ways that makes it look rather like a proxy war."

Hello Team!

Jonathan provides the latest figures for Russian losses according to Ukrainian officials:

  • 910 liquidated personnel (well above average)
  • 2 tanks, 10 APCs, 8 artillery systems, 2 MLRS, 4 anti-aircraft warfare systems, 6 drones, 9 vehicles and fuel tanks


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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA

  1. These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
  2. These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
  3. All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
  4. Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
  5. Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
  6. Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
  7. Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
  8. All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
  9. Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.

Zelensky's UK and Europe Visit

  • Jonathan defends Zelensky against pro-Russian trolls, praising him as a successful statesman who has done an excellent job for Ukraine over the past year.
  • Zelensky's speeches and demeanor have created a powerful PR image, and he skillfully manipulates audiences to gain support.
  • During a press conference, Zelensky hugged a Ukrainian journalist, showcasing his humanity and contrasting with Putin's lack thereof.


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UK's Commitment to Ukraine

  • Zelensky visited a British military base where Ukrainian troops are being trained on Challenger tanks and other armored vehicles.
  • The UK reaffirmed its commitment to Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, as well as its right to pursue NATO membership.
  • In 2023, the UK will train at least double the number of Ukrainian forces trained in 2022 and provide at least £2.3 billion in military aid.
  • The UK is working with Ukraine to develop long-term force structures and capabilities to reverse Russian gains and build a deterrence force for the future.


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Potential Russian Offensive

  • Ukrainian officials are expecting a massive Russian invasion within the next 10 days, with hundreds of thousands of troops concentrated in the country's east.
  • However, some experts, like Michael Kaufman, are skeptical that the Russian offensive will be as large as suggested by Ukrainian officials.
  • The Ukrainian military estimates that Russia already has significant military assets inside Ukraine, including tanks, armored vehicles, artillery systems, fighter jets, and helicopters.


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Nord Stream Pipeline Sabotage

  • Seymour Hersh published a controversial article claiming that the US was involved in the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines.
  • The article relies on a single anonymous source, and Hersh's credibility has been questioned due to past inaccuracies in his reporting on Syria.
  • Jonathan believes it is plausible that non-Russian entities, particularly the US with the help of allies like Norway, could have carried out the sabotage to stop Russia from weaponizing energy and financing the war.
  • Reactions to the article have fallen along party lines, with critics pointing out the lack of strong evidence and reliance on a single source.


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Other News

  • The recruitment of prisoners to the Wagner Group has been completely stopped, possibly due to the Russian army now recruiting prisoners themselves.
  • SpaceX has restricted Ukraine's use of Starlink internet for drones, claiming it goes beyond the scope of their agreement, which was intended for humanitarian purposes. This has been met with strong pushback from Ukrainians.
  • Roger Waters, co-founder of Pink Floyd, has been acting as a pro-Russian spokesperson to the UN, drawing criticism for his stance on the conflict.


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Wrap up

Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and encourages them to like, subscribe, and share the video. He also mentions that a frontline update will be available later.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Extract key information for each topic discussed in the video, keeping in mind the context and background provided. Organize the topics in the order they were discussed, merging any topics that were revisited later in the video. Write a concise summary for each topic, focusing on the most important points and Jonathan's analysis/opinions where relevant. Use bullet points where appropriate. Include an introduction and wrap-up section. Select a key quote that captures the essence of the video. Review the summary to ensure all major topics were covered and the information is accurate based on the transcript.

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Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce

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