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Ukraine War Up. EXTRA: Spies, Lies, & Ammo Supplies

Extra Friday, 17th February 2023, 17:15
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"The world is quite different for the Russian service now. Because of the expulsion, subsequent arrests and a more hostile environment in Europe, their capability has been degraded considerably."

Hello Team!

Jonathan discusses the performance of French Caesar self-propelled guns in Ukraine, noting that only one has been destroyed and one damaged out of those supplied, which is a good return on investment. He then provides an artillery lesson, explaining the complexities of manufacturing precise artillery shells and the different types of fuses used.

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Artillery Ammunition Production

  • The West can produce as much artillery ammunition as Ukraine needs if governments invest in expanding production
  • The US is investing in expanding production, but European governments need to sign multi-year orders for massive amounts of ammo to enable European producers to invest in new production lines
  • Free market economics alone cannot address strategic planning needs like ammunition production - government intervention is required


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Opinion Polls on the Ukraine War

  • A majority of Europeans (61%) think Ukraine will win the war, with Poland the most optimistic at 81% and Italy the most pessimistic at 51%
  • 66% of Europeans believe Russia is to blame for the war, ranging from 88% in Poland to 54% in Italy
  • Around 20% of Europeans are estimated to be pro-Russian to some degree


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Russian Spies in Europe

  • US and European security officials say Russia's spy agencies have sustained greater damage over the past year than at any time since the Cold War
  • Increased cooperation among European services and a post-Ukraine shift in mindset in countries like Germany has driven the pace of arrests and exposures of Russian spies
  • Russia is trying to compensate for its losses by relying more on cyber espionage and attempting to exploit refugee flows to deploy new spies
  • The CIA and FBI have stepped up intelligence sharing with European services to root out Russian penetrations
  • It's unclear if the damage to Russian spy networks has reduced their capabilities or if they are just keeping a low profile, but online operations targeting Ukrainian refugees have increased


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Wrap up

Jonathan thanks viewers for watching, asks them to like, subscribe and share, and gives a shout out to channel members for their support. He notes additional ways to support the channel are in the video description.

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Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce

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