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Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update

Front Line Wednesday, 12th April 2023, 13:42
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"The end result is I don't think anything's changed in Avdivka despite what both sides say...How are they going to take Kramatorsk and Druzhkivka and Kostiantynivka and Chasiv Yar if that's the pig's ear they've made of Bakhmut?"

Hello Team!

Jonathan provides a frontline update for the war in Ukraine on April 12, 2023.

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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND

Northeast Sector (Kupyansk to Kreminna)

  • Geolocated footage indicates Russian forces have captured and likely occupied Lyman-Pershyi for some time, despite some mappers showing it as a grey zone or under Ukrainian control.
  • In the Kreminna forest area, elements of the Russian 76th Guards Air Assault (VDV) Division are using TOS-1A thermobaric artillery, suggesting they are being used in unconventional ways. However, the footage does not necessarily indicate a Russian advance in the area.
  • Russians claim to have taken strongholds near Kreminna, but there is no evidence to support this.


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Bakhmut

  • Yevgeny Prigozhin claims Wagner PMC has handed control of the right and left flanks of Bakhmut to regular Russian army forces, suggesting Wagner forces have culminated and are struggling with recruitment.
  • Russians have made significant territorial gains in southeast and east Bakhmut, with pro-Russian and pro-Ukrainian mappers starting to align. The area under Ukrainian control is shrinking.
  • Fighting continues near the Bakhmut-Kostiantynivka highway and southwest of Bakhmut, but no significant Russian gains reported.
  • ISW does not provide much information on Bakhmut in their daily reports, despite the significant changes in territorial control.


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Avdivka

  • No confirmed changes in control around Avdivka since the last update, according to WarMapper.
  • Poulet-Velon's map shows Russian pressure from the south and east of Avdivka, with a more generous representation of Ukrainian-held territory compared to pro-Russian mappers.
  • Russians claim advances near Avdivka, but the end result is that the situation remains unchanged.
  • A Ukrainian spokesperson suggests Russian forces are focusing on capturing Marinka to reach Kurakhove, as they are unable to capture Avdivka.


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Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts

  • No significant claims or attacks reported in Zaporizhzhia or Kherson oblasts, apart from routine artillery duels.
  • UK intelligence update reports Russians have built three lines of defences stretching 120 kilometres in Zaporizhzhia, consisting of forward fighting positions and two zones of complex defences, which will pose a serious challenge for Ukrainian counteroffensives.
  • Russian Su-35 aircraft have been launching guided aerial bombs at Bereslav in Kherson Oblast, possibly targeting a specific objective in the area.


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Wrap up

Jonathan concludes by noting that while not much is happening along most of the front line, the main focus remains on Bakhmut. He encourages viewers to like, subscribe, and share the video.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

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Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce, J.R. (Cartographer)

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