Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"In the present circumstances, I don't think that they're going to entice people to join, except for maybe the diehard patriots or people who are out of economic opportunity"
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides his usual update on Russian losses according to Ukrainian figures. Key points:
- 570 liquidated Russian personnel, one of the lowest numbers in the last week but still above average for the war
- Losses of 7 tanks, 13 APCs, 15 artillery systems - considerable daily losses that are unsustainable
- Russia is struggling to replace lost equipment and is resorting to using older vehicles
🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Hits and Losses
- Claim of a Ukrainian Mi-8 helicopter shot down near Zaporizhzhia, but no evidence yet
- Russia attacked Ukraine with drones overnight, 13 out of 15 were shot down
- In Dnipro, a private enterprise was hit by a drone causing a large fire
- A Shahed-136 drone hit something in Kyiv
- The town of Bilopillia in Sumy Oblast was hit again, possibly with an Kh-59 cruise missile
- Kramatorsk was also hit by a missile strike, damaging a school, kindergarten, houses and an enterprise building
Fires in Belarus
A fire was reported at the Minsk Automobile Plant in Belarus after two "pops" were heard. It's unclear if this was an accident, partisan activity, or an attack from Ukraine. This could be in response to the announcement that Russia will place tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus.
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Frontline Updates
- Bakhmut and Avdiivka remain particularly difficult for the Ukrainians, but the Russians are struggling to take all of Bakhmut
- In one incident, Ukrainians lured Russians into a booby-trapped building in Bakhmut and blew it up, taking out about 10 soldiers
- The main task of Ukrainian forces now is to "drain the superior forces of Russia" according to the commander of Ukraine's ground forces
Military Aid
- Germany has confirmed delivery of 18 Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine
- German military aid to Ukraine will be massively expanded, possibly to over 15 billion euros in coming years
- Portugal has delivered 3 Leopard 2A6 tanks to Ukraine
- UK Defense Minister Reznikov confirmed arrival of the first 3 Challenger tanks from the UK
- Bulgaria may secretly send $189 million of ammunition to Ukraine through intermediaries
- France is considering giving Ukraine 40 Mirage 2000 fighter jets
Russian Recruitment Struggles
Russia is seeking up to 400,000 contract soldiers this year to avoid another forced mobilization, but this will be very difficult. Those willing to fight are likely already there, so they can only attract the economically desperate. Another large mobilization would require moving to a wartime economy and martial law, which the Kremlin wants to avoid before the 2024 elections where Putin will seek a 5th term. The number of new volunteer recruits is running behind previous years.
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Other News
- Russia has changed tactics and is using aviation more for strikes, especially in southern Ukraine with guided aerial bombs
- Despite Crimea's proximity to the war zone, Russian Railways expects to take 3 million people there this summer and is adding trains
- Graffiti in Moscow points "The Hague" being 2500km away, a reference to the ICC arrest warrant for Putin
- Lt. General Andrey Kuzmenko replaces the dismissed commander of Russia's Eastern Group after failures around Vuhledar
- China opposes Russia placing nuclear weapons in Belarus, saying a nuclear war cannot be won and should be avoided
- Russian TV propaganda is calling the UK the "greatest evil" that should be destroyed
- The IOC is meeting to discuss allowing Russian and Belarusian athletes at the Paris 2024 Olympics after athletics upheld their ban
Wrap up
Jonathan encourages viewers to like, subscribe, share and press the bell icon to get notified of new videos. He thanks everyone for following and being part of the channel. He also mentions he hopes to release more videos later today including a frontline update, the first in 3 days.
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