Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"So it starts making these claims look more realistic."
Hello Team!
Jonathan is feeling unwell due to his children bringing back an illness from school. He may not be able to produce his normal output of 3 videos today, although he usually manages to anyway.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- Ukraine released figures for Russian losses on 6 March:
- 1,060 liquidated personnel (2nd highest daily loss of the war)
- 9 tanks, 11 APCs
- 23 artillery systems lost (possibly targeted by Ukraine)
- 3 anti-aircraft warfare systems
- 1 aircraft, 1 helicopter (K-52 attack helicopter wreckage found)
- 9 drones, 16 vehicles/fuel tanks, 2 pieces of special equipment
- High Russian losses don't necessarily mean low Ukrainian losses
- Oryx visually confirmed 66 pieces of Russian equipment lost including 23 tanks, compared to 28 for Ukraine
- Wreckage of a Russian K-52 attack helicopter was found near Vuhledar
Aircraft Losses
- US Air Force commander in Europe General Hecker said Ukraine has lost roughly 60 aircraft since the invasion began, while Russia has lost more than 70
- This is much lower than the 592 aircraft Ukraine claims Russia has lost
- Jonathan believes the real number is higher than 70 but lower than Ukraine's claims, based on recent evidence
Strikes on Russian Targets
- Footage shows 5 Russian tanks destroyed in one location, supporting Ukrainian loss claims
- Hundreds of Russian soldiers may have been killed in Ukrainian strikes on:
- Melitopol (Zaporizhzhia Oblast)
- Volnovakha (soldiers gathered for a commemoration event)
- Further strikes reported on Yenakiieve (50km NE of Donetsk) and Sevastopol (Crimea)
Military Aid to Ukraine
- Russia has refrained from buying ballistic missiles from Iran due to fears Ukraine will receive long-range missiles in response
- Unconfirmed reports Ukraine said the UK will double its donation of Challenger 2 tanks to 28, but the UK has not announced this
- Ukraine is now using inflatable decoys produced by Czech company Inflatech to fool Russian drones/aircraft. Decoys cost $25,000 each.
- Ukraine now has JDAM-ER precision guided bombs with a range of 45 miles (3x standard JDAM range). Exact variant is unclear but could be powerful 2000lb version. Ukraine has a limited number so far.
Geopolitics
- Ukraine has fulfilled all 7 EU recommendations to become a candidate country. It wants to start accession negotiations this year, but the process takes a long time and could annoy countries further along.
- Russia's budget deficit rose to $34 billion in Jan-Feb 2023, up from $25 billion in January alone, as Western sanctions nearly halved oil and gas revenues.
Bits and Bobs
- Videos show Russian soldiers complaining about intimidation from commanders, using outdated weapons, and threats of punitive measures
- A video went viral showing a Ukrainian prisoner of war being shot by Russians after saying "Glory to Ukraine" - a horrific war crime
- Ukraine's National Security Council decided its forces will not withdraw from Bakhmut. The situation is difficult but Ukraine is trying to trap and concentrate fire on Russian forces.
- An Economist article suggests Ukraine has sent less well-trained troops to defend Bakhmut in order to buy time to train and equip forces for a major counteroffensive.
- Ukraine is transforming its army with an influx of Western equipment and training tens of thousands of troops abroad on combined arms warfare
- This allows Ukraine to attrit Russian forces at a high rate in Bakhmut while preparing for offensives elsewhere
Wrap Up
The video was longer than intended. Jonathan promises a shorter one tomorrow and thanks viewers for watching.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
No parts of the transcript were unclear to me. I was able to understand and summarise all the key points Jonathan made.
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
Steps:
Extract key information about video (title, date, part)
Identify main topics discussed in order
Summarise each topic, keeping key facts, figures, analysis and opinions
Note any parts that were unclear or not fully understood
Select most profound or poignant quote
Review summary to ensure all key topics were covered and British English used throughout