Ukraine War Update NEWS: Bumper Overnight & Other News
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Table of Contents 📖
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"The breakthrough of the dam apparently was not linked to the offensive operation. The enemy turned out to be unprepared for it, just like our troops." - Igor Girkin
Hello Team!
Jonathan discusses the latest Russian losses reported by Ukraine's General Staff. Despite some skepticism about exact numbers, the data paints a clear picture of the war's progress. Losses are up significantly, likely due to the beginning of Ukraine's counteroffensive. Tank and artillery losses are particularly high and unsustainable for Russia.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Propaganda Fails
- Russian state media falsely claimed a Ka-52 helicopter took out two Leopard tanks, but the vehicles were actually agricultural equipment. This gaffe has led to ridicule and further erosion of trust in Russian claims.
- Russians also accidentally took out one of their own Iranian Mohajer-6 drones, mistaking it for a Ukrainian drone.
Kakhovka Dam Destruction
The destruction of the Kakhovka Dam has caused catastrophic flooding, impacting agriculture, wildlife, and human lives. Evidence strongly suggests Russia is responsible:
- The dam was mined from the Russian-controlled side
- Both sides were unprepared, caught by surprise
- Inconsistent Russian messaging
- Open source intelligence revealed Russians discussing plans to blow up the dam as early as December 2022
The disaster demonstrates Russia's disregard for the occupied territories and will have severe long-term consequences.
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Military Aid and Geopolitics
- The US is preparing new military aid packages for Ukraine
- President Zelensky says Ukraine will receive a "significant number" of F-16 fighter jets
- Germany is sending 20 more Marder IFVs by end of July
- Czech Republic will repair and modernize Ukrainian T-64 tanks
- Poland aims to facilitate Ukraine's EU accession during its 2025 EU presidency
- Controversy over a proposed Polish law that could block an opposition leader from running due to past Russian ties
- Washington Post reports US intelligence suggesting Ukraine may have been behind the Nord Stream pipeline attack, contradicting other theories
Wrap Up
Jonathan apologizes for any unclear explanations, noting the challenges of processing so much complex information. He encourages viewers to like, subscribe, and share the video.
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