Ukraine War Update NEWS: Geopolitical News

"I only help people who are really powerful."

Hello Team

🎦 00:00-00:45⏩

Jonathan welcomes viewers to an ATP Geopolitics update, the second part of the Ukraine War news for July 24, 2024. He mentions adjusting his chair and teases upcoming US political updates inspired by his own interest. Viewers are assured they can choose what content they engage with.

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Russia's Financial Struggles and Continued External Operations

🎦 00:45-03:24⏩

Jonathan discusses Putin's declaration of Russia's financial constraints, emphasising the need for financial discipline while simultaneously funding military bases, power plants, and social facilities abroad. He highlights the contrast between Russia's external ambitions and its internal struggles, noting the crumbling state of internal welfare services.

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UK's Bipartisan Support for Ukraine and the New Labour Government

🎦 03:24-10:11⏩

Jonathan expresses gratitude for the UK's bipartisan support for Ukraine, praising both the Labour and Conservative parties for their unified stance. He highlights the cordial exchange between newly elected Prime Minister Keir Starmer and former Prime Minister Rishi Sunak during Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs), where Sunak's first question emphasised the importance of continued support for Ukraine. Jonathan commends this demonstration of unity and the shared goal of Ukrainian victory.

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Portugal's Stance on Ukraine Leading Peace Talks

🎦 10:11-12:05⏩

Jonathan discusses Portugal's stance that Ukraine alone should lead any peace process, contrasting this with calls for Russia's inclusion in peace summits. He praises Portuguese Foreign Minister Paulo Rangel's statement, highlighting the importance of Ukraine's autonomy in determining its future.

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Ukraine's Conditions for Peace Negotiations and Kuleba's Meeting with China

🎦 12:05-12:53⏩

Jonathan addresses Ukraine's Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba's statement that Ukraine is ready to negotiate with Russia but sets conditions for these negotiations, including rationality, practicality, and the goal of lasting peace. Kuleba's remarks were made during a meeting with the Chinese Foreign Minister.

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Hungary and Slovakia's Dependence on Russian Oil and Blockade of EU Aid

🎦 12:53-15:56⏩

Jonathan delves into the controversy surrounding Ukraine's decision to halt Russian oil transit to Hungary and Slovakia. He reports Hungary's Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó's threat to block €6.5 billion in EU military aid to Ukraine if oil supplies aren't resumed, framing this as retaliation for Ukraine's supposed threat to their energy security. Jonathan expresses sympathy for Ukraine's position, criticising Hungary and Slovakia for their dependence on Russian oil while simultaneously hindering aid to Ukraine. He also notes Akashmaniam's commentary on the situation, highlighting the absurdity of Hungary's actions and questioning the threshold for triggering Article 7, a mechanism for addressing EU member states' violations.

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Georgian Politics, Assassination Attempt, and Russian Influence

🎦 15:56-21:27⏩

Jonathan shifts focus to Georgia, reporting on the Georgian security services' claims of preventing an assassination attempt on pro-Russian oligarch Bidzina Ivanishvili, alleging Ukrainian involvement. Jonathan provides context, reminding viewers of Russia's recent offer to support the pro-Russian ruling party, Georgian Dream, amidst growing public support for Ukraine ahead of Georgian elections. He expresses skepticism towards the assassination attempt narrative, suggesting it could be a ploy to further Russian influence in Georgia. Jonathan notes the persecution of Georgian volunteers who fought for Ukraine, indicating a concerning shift towards Russia in Georgian politics.

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Suspected Russian Interference in the Paris Olympics

🎦 21:27-23:50⏩

Jonathan discusses the arrest of a Russian national suspected of plotting to disrupt the Paris Olympics, highlighting concerns about foreign interference related to the war in Ukraine and the situation in Gaza. He references the incident with coffins inscribed "French soldiers of Ukraine" placed near the Eiffel Tower and the arrest of individuals connected to this act. Additionally, he mentions the case of a Spanish man sentenced for sending a letter bomb to the Ukrainian embassy, suggesting a broader pattern of Russian-backed activities.

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JD Vance, US Presidential Election and Implications for Ukraine

🎦 23:50-26:46⏩

Jonathan segues into American politics, specifically addressing JD Vance, Trump's vice-presidential running mate. He criticizes Vance's recent poor performance at a rally and suggests Vance might be a liability for Trump's campaign. Jonathan then focuses on Vance's controversial statement that the US should cut support for Ukraine and pursue negotiations with the Kremlin due to Russia's size advantage. Jonathan vehemently disagrees with Vance's rationale, drawing an analogy to ignoring a mugging because the perpetrator is bigger than the victim. He expresses concern about Vance's extreme views on reproductive rights, potentially alienating a crucial demographic for Trump's re-election.

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Tucker Carlson's Sexist Remarks on Female Leaders and Ukraine

🎦 26:46-35:13⏩

Jonathan dissects Tucker Carlson's sexist remarks about female leaders, specifically regarding their supposed role in driving conflict. He plays a clip from an interview where Carlson argues that female leaders have not yielded significant successes, claiming they are more conciliatory and less likely to engage in war. Carlson then points to Victoria Nuland's involvement in the Ukraine war as evidence, completely ignoring the role of Russian actors. Jonathan criticizes Carlson's baseless assertions, highlighting his lack of empirical evidence and his blatant disregard for the complexity of geopolitical situations. He challenges Carlson's simplistic view of female leaders and their alleged proclivity for war, passionately defending women in leadership positions.

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Analysis of Jake Sullivan's Role in the Biden Administration

🎦 35:13-47:55⏩

Jonathan discusses the potential changes in the US National Security framework, particularly the speculation surrounding Jake Sullivan's position as National Security Advisor. He examines arguments both for and against Sullivan's dismissal, acknowledging his blunders while also exploring the broader context of the Biden administration's approach to foreign policy. He references Colby Badwar's analysis, which suggests that Sullivan may be a convenient scapegoat, shielding Biden from criticism while also highlighting the influence of the Obama-era foreign policy establishment on the Biden administration's decision-making. Jonathan emphasizes the importance of Ukraine building relationships with the next US administration, regardless of who wins the election, and acknowledges that significant policy changes are unlikely without sustained lobbying efforts from Ukraine.

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Wrap up

🎦 47:55-48:00⏩

Jonathan thanks viewers for watching, encourages them to like, subscribe, and share the video. He acknowledges the length of the update and signs off.

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